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πŸ“Š Marketing Mix Modeling & Revenue Optimization System

πŸ“ˆ Scenario Induced Dashboard

Scenario Induced Dashboard

Executive Summary

This project analyzes marketing channel efficiency, customer acquisition costs, conversion performance, and ROI contribution across multiple acquisition channels using Marketing Mix Modeling (MMM) and scenario-based revenue forecasting.

The system combines:

  • channel performance diagnostics
  • budget optimization
  • revenue forecasting
  • marginal ROI simulation
  • spend reallocation analysis

to support data-driven marketing investment decisions.


Business Problem

Marketing teams often struggle to determine:

  • which acquisition channels drive the highest ROI
  • where marketing spend is inefficient
  • how budget reallocations impact revenue
  • which channels should be scaled or reduced

This project was designed to simulate marketing budget optimization scenarios and identify high-efficiency growth opportunities using data-driven analysis.


🎯 Business Objective

The objective of this project is to evaluate marketing acquisition efficiency, identify underperforming channels, optimize budget allocation, and simulate revenue forecasting scenarios using Marketing Mix Modeling (MMM) principles and business intelligence analytics.

The system helps answer critical business questions such as:

  • Which marketing channels generate the highest ROI?
  • Where is acquisition spend inefficient?
  • How should budget be reallocated to maximize revenue efficiency?
  • Which channels should be scaled, reduced, or optimized?

πŸ“Š Dashboard Walkthrough

πŸ“ˆ Executive Performance Overview

Tracks:

  • Revenue trends
  • Marketing ROI
  • CAC performance
  • Revenue seasonality
  • Rolling revenue performance
  • Channel efficiency ranking

Key objective:

Evaluate portfolio-level marketing efficiency and revenue performance trends.


πŸ” Marketing Channel Performance Diagnostics

Analyzes:

  • CAC efficiency
  • Revenue contribution
  • Conversion rates
  • Spend allocation
  • Channel-level ROI

Key objective: Identify high-performing acquisition channels and inefficient spend areas.


🎯 Budget Optimization & Scenario Analysis

Simulates:

  • spend reallocation strategies
  • marginal ROI impact
  • projected revenue lift
  • optimized budget distribution

Key objective: Support marketing investment decisions using scenario-based forecasting.


🧠 Analytical Framework

This project combines multiple analytical approaches:

  • Marketing Mix Modeling (MMM)
  • Revenue forecasting
  • Marginal ROI simulation
  • Budget optimization analysis
  • Customer acquisition cost analysis
  • Conversion efficiency diagnostics
  • Scenario-based forecasting

The framework evaluates both current marketing efficiency and projected revenue impact under different budget allocation strategies.

πŸ–ΌοΈ Dashboard Preview

πŸ“Š Executive Overview

Executive Summary

Channel Diagnostics

Channel Diagnostics

πŸ“ˆ Scenario Analysis

Scenario Analysis


πŸ—‚οΈ Data Structure

Fact Table β€” marketing_performance

The primary dataset contains:

Field Description
date Transaction/reporting date
channel Marketing acquisition channel
spend Marketing spend
revenue Revenue generated
customers Acquired customers
impressions Campaign impressions
clicks Campaign clicks
leads Generated leads
conversion_rate Channel conversion rate
cac Customer acquisition cost
campaign_type Campaign classification
device Device segmentation

πŸ“ Data Model

The dashboard follows a star-schema-inspired analytical model.

🧩 Tables Included

Table Purpose
marketing_performance Primary fact table
Calendar Time intelligence dimension
Measure Centralized DAX measure table
Parameter Tables What-if scenario modeling

πŸ” Time Intelligence Features

The Calendar table supports:

  • Year-Month analysis
  • Quarterly analysis
  • Weekly reporting
  • Rolling calculations
  • MoM calculations
  • WoW calculations
  • PM calculations

πŸ“Š Core Metrics

  • Customer Acquisition Cost (CAC)
  • Marketing ROI
  • Conversion Rate
  • Revenue Contribution
  • Marginal ROI
  • Revenue Lift
  • Optimized Spend Allocation
  • Revenue Forecasting
  • Monthly Growth Rate

🧰 Tools & Technologies

  • Power BI
  • Power Query
  • DAX
  • Python
  • Scenario Modeling
  • Marketing Mix Modeling Concepts
  • Time Intelligence
  • Data Visualization
  • KPI Analytics
  • Executive Dashboard Design
  • Gen AI - Dataset generator

πŸ” Key Insights

πŸ“ˆ 1. Email Delivers Highest ROI Efficiency

Email generated the strongest ROI and lowest CAC across all acquisition channels, making it the most scalable revenue driver.

πŸ’° 2. LinkedIn Spend Is Operationally Inefficient

LinkedIn demonstrated the highest customer acquisition cost with weak revenue contribution and lower conversion efficiency, reducing marginal return effectiveness.

🎯 3. Referral Campaigns Show Strong Revenue Efficiency

Referral channels consistently maintained strong ROI performance while requiring lower relative spend allocation.

⚠️ 4. Budget Allocation Is Not Optimized

Current spend distribution over-invests in lower-performing channels while underfunding high-efficiency channels.

πŸ“Š 5. Scenario Modeling Improves Revenue Forecasting

Budget reallocation simulations projected improved ROI performance and incremental revenue lift through optimized channel investment strategies.


πŸ’Ό Business Impact

This system enables:

  • smarter marketing budget allocation
  • improved ROI forecasting
  • identification of inefficient acquisition spend
  • optimization of customer acquisition efficiency
  • data-driven GTM investment decisions
  • executive-level marketing performance visibility

πŸ“ˆ Executive Recommendations

  • Increase investment in Email and Referral campaigns due to stronger marginal ROI efficiency and lower acquisition costs.

  • Reduce exposure to channels with elevated CAC and weaker conversion performance, particularly LinkedIn campaigns.

  • Continuously monitor marginal ROI before scaling acquisition spend to avoid diminishing return inefficiencies.

  • Combine MMM with cohort and retention analysis to improve lifecycle visibility and long-term revenue forecasting.

  • Use scenario analysis to guide future GTM investment and budget allocation decisions.


Future Enhancements

Potential future improvements include:

  • Econometric marketing mix modeling
  • Machine learning forecasting
  • Campaign-level attribution modeling
  • Predictive customer lifetime value analysis
  • Automated optimization engines
  • AI-assisted budget allocation recommendations
  • Real-time data integration

🧾 Final Takeaway

Marketing performance should not be evaluated solely on spend volume or top-line revenue.

Sustainable growth depends on:

  • acquisition efficiency
  • marginal ROI performance
  • conversion quality
  • optimized budget allocation
  • data-driven forecasting

This project demonstrates how marketing analytics can support smarter revenue investment decisions through integrated business intelligence and scenario-based optimization.


πŸ‘€ Author

Abodunrin (Richard) Oketade

Data Analytics | Business Intelligence | Marketing Analytics | Power BI | SQL | Python

β€œTurning data into business decisions.”


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Marketing Mix Modeling (MMM) and revenue optimization system analyzing CAC, ROI, channel efficiency, revenue forecasting, and scenario-based budget allocation using Power BI and advanced business analytics.

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