Improvements#6
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April 19, 2026 00:46
… noise buffers. Overall, the confidence system relies on more factors.
…lid arbitage pairs (many still fail in early filter stages?)
…ty system instead of hard reject. Unrelated comparisons still unlikely to pass.
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Added gate logic, a penalty system, and refactored contract type detection. Strengthened compatibility checks between different contract structures (e.g., event vs range/count-based contracts). Improved arbitrage matching logic to reduce overly strict filtering and allow more valid opportunities where appropriate. Improved signal/strategy logic to better align with the goal of maximizing trading revenue while managing downside risk. Some parameter adjustments were intentionally tuned for exploration and performance rather than real-life correctness, which may increase match aggressiveness in certain edge cases.
Also added a separate category called intra-event (group) arbitrage, which detects mispricing across mutually exclusive outcomes within the same event. Unlike cross-event arbitrage (which relies on similarity matching), this approach operates on grouped markets and uses a unified dataset combined from Polymarket and Kalshi, resulting in more reliable opportunities.