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still trying to fix BMA
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slides/lecture_11.tex

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@@ -72,7 +72,7 @@ \section*{Bayesian rules}
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\end{idea}
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\end{frame}
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%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%
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\begin{frame}{How to be Bayesian I: clarity openness}
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\begin{frame}{How to be Bayesian I: clarity \& openness}
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Being subjective does not mean ``anything goes''.
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As a scientist, you are still bound by the laws of logic and reason.
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slides/lecture_7.tex

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@@ -78,15 +78,15 @@ \section*{Bayesian model choice}
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where the $w_i$ are the \textbf{prior probabilities} for each model.
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\end{frame}
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%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%
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\begin{frame}{An intuitive predictive}
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A nice consequence of the formulation we just saw is that the predictive distribution looks quite intuitive:
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\begin{align}
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\nonumber
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p(\tilde{x} \mid \boldsymbol{x}) &= \sum_{j} w_j \frac{1}{m_j(\boldsymbol{x})}\int_{\boldsymbol{\Theta}_j} f_j(\tilde{x} \mid t_j) f_j(\boldsymbol{x}\mid t_j)\pi_j(t_j)\,dt_j,\\
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\label{eq:predictive_1}
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&= \sum_{j} \pr(\mathcal{M}_j \mid \boldsymbol{x}) p_j(\tilde{x} \mid \boldsymbol{x}).
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\end{align}
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\end{frame}
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% \begin{frame}{An intuitive predictive}
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% A nice consequence of the formulation we just saw is that the predictive distribution looks quite intuitive:
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% \begin{align}
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% \nonumber
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% p(\tilde{x} \mid \boldsymbol{x}) &= \sum_{j} w_j \frac{1}{m_j(\boldsymbol{x})}\int_{\boldsymbol{\Theta}_j} f_j(\tilde{x} \mid t_j) f_j(\boldsymbol{x}\mid t_j)\pi_j(t_j)\,dt_j,\\
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% \label{eq:predictive_1}
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% &= \sum_{j} \pr(\mathcal{M}_j \mid \boldsymbol{x}) p_j(\tilde{x} \mid \boldsymbol{x}).
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% \end{align}
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% \end{frame}
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%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%
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\begin{frame}{Hello, my old friend}
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Here, Bayes factors also play a central role:
@@ -110,7 +110,7 @@ \section*{Bayesian model choice}
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\label{eq:predictive_2}
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&= \sum_j w_j^\prime \int_{\boldsymbol{\Theta}_j} f_j(\tilde{x} \mid t_j) p(t_j \mid \boldsymbol{x})\,dt_j.
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\end{align}
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which is another version of the expression in (\ref{eq:predictive_1}).
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% which is another version of the expression in (\ref{eq:predictive_1}).
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\end{frame}
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%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%
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\begin{frame}{Model checking}

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