From 57bbaf99953a54ceddd198491152f9a4101ad6c8 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: Ryan-Siglag Date: Wed, 27 May 2026 15:55:00 -0400 Subject: [PATCH 1/5] Basic Tweet Collection --- src/benchmark/collect-tweets.ts | 36 +++++++++++++++++++++++ src/benchmark/results.json | 51 +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ 2 files changed, 87 insertions(+) create mode 100644 src/benchmark/collect-tweets.ts create mode 100644 src/benchmark/results.json diff --git a/src/benchmark/collect-tweets.ts b/src/benchmark/collect-tweets.ts new file mode 100644 index 0000000..8c35a2a --- /dev/null +++ b/src/benchmark/collect-tweets.ts @@ -0,0 +1,36 @@ +import { twitterClient } from '../../src/api/twitter-client'; +import { + TWITTER_ACCOUNTS, + getHighPriorityAccounts, + getMediumPriorityAccounts, +} from '../../src/data/twitter-accounts'; +import fs from 'fs/promises'; + +const ACCOUNTS_PER_BATCH = 1; + +const allHighPriorityAccounts = getHighPriorityAccounts(); +const highPriorityAccounts = allHighPriorityAccounts.slice(0, ACCOUNTS_PER_BATCH); + +async function main() { + const results = await twitterClient.batchFetchTimelines( + highPriorityAccounts.map(a => a.username), + 15 + ); + + // See full nested objects in console + console.dir(Object.fromEntries(results), { + depth: null + }); + + // Convert Map -> Object before saving + const serializable = Object.fromEntries(results); + + await fs.writeFile( + 'results.json', + JSON.stringify(serializable, null, 2) + ); + + console.log('Saved results to results.json'); +} + +main().catch(console.error); \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/src/benchmark/results.json b/src/benchmark/results.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000..a21e40f --- /dev/null +++ b/src/benchmark/results.json @@ -0,0 +1,51 @@ +{ + "BBCBreaking": { + "tweets": [] + }, + "Reuters": { + "tweets": [ + { + "id": "2059721401708237217", + "text": "US and Iran remain divided on Hormuz deal as White House rejects Tehran TV report https://t.co/URYqVyuBfZ https://t.co/URYqVyuBfZ", + "author": "Reuters", + "created_at": "2026-05-27T19:40:24.000Z", + "metrics": { + "likes": 4, + "retweets": 2, + "replies": 5, + "quotes": 0 + }, + "url": "https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/2059721401708237217" + }, + { + "id": "2059720090048717060", + "text": "Boeing increasing 737 production after consulting FAA https://t.co/pMYj00zjbu https://t.co/pMYj00zjbu", + "author": "Reuters", + "created_at": "2026-05-27T19:35:11.000Z", + "metrics": { + "likes": 8, + "retweets": 1, + "replies": 2, + "quotes": 0 + }, + "url": "https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/2059720090048717060" + }, + { + "id": "2059719590532239495", + "text": "The personal assistant who injected 'Friends' star Matthew Perry with a fatal dose of hallucinogenic drug ketamine was sentenced to 41 months ​in federal prison, bringing to a close the prosecution of ‌five people who admitted roles in the actor's death https://t.co/XsxhZ7XYNC https://t.co/q90B3Z8OHq", + "author": "Reuters", + "created_at": "2026-05-27T19:33:12.000Z", + "metrics": { + "likes": 6, + "retweets": 5, + "replies": 3, + "quotes": 2 + }, + "url": "https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/2059719590532239495" + } + ] + }, + "AP": { + "tweets": [] + } +} \ No newline at end of file From d3bb2784becaea2c2f7b2d6baacb53a7b6038bd7 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: Ryan-Siglag Date: Thu, 28 May 2026 16:28:42 -0400 Subject: [PATCH 2/5] Collection for markets and meta data --- src/benchmark/collect-tweets.ts | 36 ----------------------- src/benchmark/results.json | 51 --------------------------------- 2 files changed, 87 deletions(-) delete mode 100644 src/benchmark/collect-tweets.ts delete mode 100644 src/benchmark/results.json diff --git a/src/benchmark/collect-tweets.ts b/src/benchmark/collect-tweets.ts deleted file mode 100644 index 8c35a2a..0000000 --- a/src/benchmark/collect-tweets.ts +++ /dev/null @@ -1,36 +0,0 @@ -import { twitterClient } from '../../src/api/twitter-client'; -import { - TWITTER_ACCOUNTS, - getHighPriorityAccounts, - getMediumPriorityAccounts, -} from '../../src/data/twitter-accounts'; -import fs from 'fs/promises'; - -const ACCOUNTS_PER_BATCH = 1; - -const allHighPriorityAccounts = getHighPriorityAccounts(); -const highPriorityAccounts = allHighPriorityAccounts.slice(0, ACCOUNTS_PER_BATCH); - -async function main() { - const results = await twitterClient.batchFetchTimelines( - highPriorityAccounts.map(a => a.username), - 15 - ); - - // See full nested objects in console - console.dir(Object.fromEntries(results), { - depth: null - }); - - // Convert Map -> Object before saving - const serializable = Object.fromEntries(results); - - await fs.writeFile( - 'results.json', - JSON.stringify(serializable, null, 2) - ); - - console.log('Saved results to results.json'); -} - -main().catch(console.error); \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/src/benchmark/results.json b/src/benchmark/results.json deleted file mode 100644 index a21e40f..0000000 --- a/src/benchmark/results.json +++ /dev/null @@ -1,51 +0,0 @@ -{ - "BBCBreaking": { - "tweets": [] - }, - "Reuters": { - "tweets": [ - { - "id": "2059721401708237217", - "text": "US and Iran remain divided on Hormuz deal as White House rejects Tehran TV report https://t.co/URYqVyuBfZ https://t.co/URYqVyuBfZ", - "author": "Reuters", - "created_at": "2026-05-27T19:40:24.000Z", - "metrics": { - "likes": 4, - "retweets": 2, - "replies": 5, - "quotes": 0 - }, - "url": "https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/2059721401708237217" - }, - { - "id": "2059720090048717060", - "text": "Boeing increasing 737 production after consulting FAA https://t.co/pMYj00zjbu https://t.co/pMYj00zjbu", - "author": "Reuters", - "created_at": "2026-05-27T19:35:11.000Z", - "metrics": { - "likes": 8, - "retweets": 1, - "replies": 2, - "quotes": 0 - }, - "url": "https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/2059720090048717060" - }, - { - "id": "2059719590532239495", - "text": "The personal assistant who injected 'Friends' star Matthew Perry with a fatal dose of hallucinogenic drug ketamine was sentenced to 41 months ​in federal prison, bringing to a close the prosecution of ‌five people who admitted roles in the actor's death https://t.co/XsxhZ7XYNC https://t.co/q90B3Z8OHq", - "author": "Reuters", - "created_at": "2026-05-27T19:33:12.000Z", - "metrics": { - "likes": 6, - "retweets": 5, - "replies": 3, - "quotes": 2 - }, - "url": "https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/2059719590532239495" - } - ] - }, - "AP": { - "tweets": [] - } -} \ No newline at end of file From c8698bbc10624477d87e27bca97d6c7ae34a9b82 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: Ryan-Siglag Date: Thu, 28 May 2026 16:29:21 -0400 Subject: [PATCH 3/5] Add data --- src/benchmark/collect-data.ts | 65 + .../results_2026-05-28T20-25-51-162Z.json | 26376 ++++++++++++++++ 2 files changed, 26441 insertions(+) create mode 100644 src/benchmark/collect-data.ts create mode 100644 src/benchmark/unlabeled_data/results_2026-05-28T20-25-51-162Z.json diff --git a/src/benchmark/collect-data.ts b/src/benchmark/collect-data.ts new file mode 100644 index 0000000..1e8f041 --- /dev/null +++ b/src/benchmark/collect-data.ts @@ -0,0 +1,65 @@ +import { twitterClient } from '../../src/api/twitter-client'; +import { fetchPolymarkets } from "../api/polymarket-client"; +import { fetchKalshiMarkets } from '../api/kalshi-client'; +import { + TWITTER_ACCOUNTS, + getHighPriorityAccounts, + getMediumPriorityAccounts, +} from '../../src/data/twitter-accounts'; +import fs from 'fs/promises'; + +const MAX_ACCOUNTS_PER_BATCH = -1; +const COLLECTION_MINUTES = 15 + +const allHighPriorityAccounts = getHighPriorityAccounts(); +const highPriorityAccounts = allHighPriorityAccounts.slice(0, MAX_ACCOUNTS_PER_BATCH); + +export async function collect_data() { + const collectionEnd = new Date(); + const collectionStart = new Date(collectionEnd.getTime() - COLLECTION_MINUTES * 60 * 1000); + + const tweet_results = await twitterClient.batchFetchTimelines( + highPriorityAccounts.map(a => a.username), + COLLECTION_MINUTES + ); + + // Flatten all tweets from all accounts into a single array + const tweets = Array.from(tweet_results.values()).flatMap(account => account.tweets); + + const polymarket_markets = await fetchPolymarkets() + const kalshi_markets = await fetchKalshiMarkets() + const markets = [...polymarket_markets, ...kalshi_markets]; + + const serializable = { + meta: { + collected_at: collectionEnd.toISOString(), + window_start: collectionStart.toISOString(), + window_end: collectionEnd.toISOString(), + window_minutes: COLLECTION_MINUTES, + twitter_accounts_queried: highPriorityAccounts.map(a => a.username), + tweet_count: tweets.length, + market_count: markets.length, + polymarket_count: polymarket_markets.length, + kalshi_count: kalshi_markets.length, + }, + tweets, + markets, + }; + + const timestamp = collectionEnd + .toISOString() + .replace(/[:.]/g, '-'); + + await fs.mkdir('unlabeled_data', { recursive: true }); + + const filename = `unlabeled_data/results_${timestamp}.json`; + + await fs.writeFile( + filename, + JSON.stringify(serializable, null, 2) + ); + + console.log(`Saved results to ${filename}`); +} + +collect_data().catch(console.error); \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/src/benchmark/unlabeled_data/results_2026-05-28T20-25-51-162Z.json b/src/benchmark/unlabeled_data/results_2026-05-28T20-25-51-162Z.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000..ca2aacf --- /dev/null +++ b/src/benchmark/unlabeled_data/results_2026-05-28T20-25-51-162Z.json @@ -0,0 +1,26376 @@ +{ + "meta": { + "collected_at": "2026-05-28T20:25:51.162Z", + "window_start": "2026-05-28T20:10:51.162Z", + "window_end": "2026-05-28T20:25:51.162Z", + "window_minutes": 15, + "twitter_accounts_queried": [ + "BBCBreaking", + "Reuters", + "AP", + "spectatorindex", + "BNONews", + "Redistrict", + "NateSilver538", + "gelliottmorris", + "JakeSherman", + "AnnaAPalmer", + "federalreserve", + "NickTimiraos", + "economics", + "FT", + "WSJeconomics", + "VitalikButerin", + "saylor", + "APompliano", + "WatcherGuru", + "elonmusk", + "sama", + "nvidia", + "JensenHuang", + "ylecun", + "demishassabis", + "AnthropicAI", + "GeopoliticsMag", + "JenniferJJacobs", + "eha_news", + "NATOPress", + "AFP", + "AdamSchefter", + "wojespn", + "ShamsCharania", + "FabrizioRomano", + "BlackRock", + "GoldmanSachs", + "jpmorgan", + "business" + ], + "tweet_count": 13, + "market_count": 926, + "polymarket_count": 500, + "kalshi_count": 426 + }, + "tweets": [ + { + "id": "2060095056497803723", + "text": "Philippine senator Estrada faces arrest on corruption charges https://t.co/Go9SUwrHzJ https://t.co/Go9SUwrHzJ", + "author": "Reuters", + "created_at": "2026-05-28T20:25:10.000Z", + "metrics": { + "likes": 1, + "retweets": 0, + "replies": 0, + "quotes": 0 + }, + "url": "https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/2060095056497803723" + }, + { + "id": "2060092548538867997", + "text": "Ukraine's parliament ratified loan agreement with eu https://t.co/Lv71kxuMpO https://t.co/Lv71kxuMpO", + "author": "Reuters", + "created_at": "2026-05-28T20:15:12.000Z", + "metrics": { + "likes": 7, + "retweets": 1, + "replies": 4, + "quotes": 0 + }, + "url": "https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/2060092548538867997" + }, + { + "id": "2060092495724237255", + "text": "Yoshiki, co-founder of the Japanese rock band X Japan, will return to the US stage this summer for two performances at the Walt Disney Concert Hall, marking his first American concerts since undergoing cervical spine surgery in late 2024 https://t.co/Mfql3Sa05K", + "author": "Reuters", + "created_at": "2026-05-28T20:15:00.000Z", + "metrics": { + "likes": 6, + "retweets": 1, + "replies": 4, + "quotes": 0 + }, + "url": "https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/2060092495724237255" + }, + { + "id": "2060092382754865205", + "text": "Strategy CEO @PhongLe discusses $BTC, $STRC, $MSTR, and our capital markets strategy to acquire Bitcoin and increase Bitcoin Per Share with @LizClaman. https://t.co/scu8d4ER1N", + "author": "saylor", + "created_at": "2026-05-28T20:14:33.000Z", + "metrics": { + "likes": 391, + "retweets": 56, + "replies": 132, + "quotes": 4 + }, + "url": "https://twitter.com/saylor/status/2060092382754865205" + }, + { + "id": "2060092313150611851", + "text": "Cybercab driving itself out of the GigaTexas factory https://t.co/EwAMVVDjYy", + "author": "elonmusk", + "created_at": "2026-05-28T20:14:16.000Z", + "metrics": { + "likes": 4696, + "retweets": 622, + "replies": 1016, + "quotes": 77 + }, + "url": "https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/2060092313150611851" + }, + { + "id": "2060092506918809887", + "text": "President Donald Trump could soon appear on a new $250 bill, in the Republican's latest move to shatter US traditions by putting his personal stamp on national institutions. \nhttps://t.co/trULW4eD2C https://t.co/HDNWxipsrv", + "author": "AFP", + "created_at": "2026-05-28T20:15:02.000Z", + "metrics": { + "likes": 3, + "retweets": 0, + "replies": 1, + "quotes": 0 + }, + "url": "https://twitter.com/AFP/status/2060092506918809887" + }, + { + "id": "2060094200054448340", + "text": "Sources said the Grizzlies voted against the new lottery reform solely because of the new rule disallowing a team from picking top 5 in 3 consecutive years. As @BobbyMarks42 says, the Grizzlies have the more favorable 2027 first-rounder of Cleveland, Minnesota and Utah, and https://t.co/BMbYAbr776", + "author": "ShamsCharania", + "created_at": "2026-05-28T20:21:46.000Z", + "metrics": { + "likes": 177, + "retweets": 26, + "replies": 22, + "quotes": 6 + }, + "url": "https://twitter.com/ShamsCharania/status/2060094200054448340" + }, + { + "id": "2060092495325737435", + "text": "🚨 Florentino Perez: “People know I will bring the best in the world to Real Madrid. Always”. https://t.co/WfPQQ5PBh8", + "author": "FabrizioRomano", + "created_at": "2026-05-28T20:15:00.000Z", + "metrics": { + "likes": 5873, + "retweets": 312, + "replies": 553, + "quotes": 35 + }, + "url": "https://twitter.com/FabrizioRomano/status/2060092495325737435" + }, + { + "id": "2060094321190113729", + "text": "Gap lowered its outlook for net sales growth for the year, as Old Navy and Banana Republic fell short of expectations https://t.co/pdpwUtnYf5", + "author": "business", + "created_at": "2026-05-28T20:22:15.000Z", + "metrics": { + "likes": 2, + "retweets": 0, + "replies": 1, + "quotes": 0 + }, + "url": "https://twitter.com/business/status/2060094321190113729" + }, + { + "id": "2060093902212722885", + "text": "With traditional TV audiences diminishing, everyone from Piers Morgan to OpenAI is trying to capitalize on the moment https://t.co/qRJ33vZ7UT", + "author": "business", + "created_at": "2026-05-28T20:20:35.000Z", + "metrics": { + "likes": 3, + "retweets": 1, + "replies": 2, + "quotes": 0 + }, + "url": "https://twitter.com/business/status/2060093902212722885" + }, + { + "id": "2060093314183913563", + "text": "Engineering software maker Autodesk has agreed to buy MaintainX, a firm focused on maintenance tools https://t.co/GiH9jPVs8q", + "author": "business", + "created_at": "2026-05-28T20:18:15.000Z", + "metrics": { + "likes": 3, + "retweets": 1, + "replies": 2, + "quotes": 0 + }, + "url": "https://twitter.com/business/status/2060093314183913563" + }, + { + "id": "2060092553051930890", + "text": "Dell gave an outlook for annual sales that far surpassed analysts’ estimates, fueled by demand for servers that power artificial intelligence work https://t.co/mmpzONGMU8", + "author": "business", + "created_at": "2026-05-28T20:15:13.000Z", + "metrics": { + "likes": 10, + "retweets": 3, + "replies": 3, + "quotes": 0 + }, + "url": "https://twitter.com/business/status/2060092553051930890" + }, + { + "id": "2060092442498490705", + "text": "Nextpower agreed to acquire battery company Prevalon Energy for as much as $365 million, marking the solar-tracking provider’s move into energy storage and the fast-growing AI data-center market https://t.co/8ZrtKeh4va", + "author": "business", + "created_at": "2026-05-28T20:14:47.000Z", + "metrics": { + "likes": 5, + "retweets": 2, + "replies": 3, + "quotes": 0 + }, + "url": "https://twitter.com/business/status/2060092442498490705" + } + ], + "markets": [ + { + "id": "polymarket-0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nA permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:\n\n- The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.\n\n- Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "permanent", + "peace", + "deal", + "may", + "peace deal", + "ukraine", + "russia", + "peace agreement", + "ceasefire", + "resolve", + "states", + "agree", + "specified", + "date", + "otherwise", + "refers" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.12, + "noPrice": 0.89, + "volume24h": 7301971.106429987, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.317Z", + "numericId": "1919425", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.05, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xd7540d64e03b1894ececcbb54c02b88d9c5c0e854ba66ec4e1ece20477994ac5", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the US-Iranian ceasefire remains in effect through the listed date (ET). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nThe US-Iranian ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect if the US government officially publicly confirms or if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that the U.S. conducted a kinetic military action on Iranian soil before the resolution date. \n\nConfirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action must occur within one calendar day following the underlying action (i.e., by 11:59 PM ET on the following calendar day) in order to qualify. Accordingly, this market will remain open for one calendar day following the listed end date to allow for confirmation of a qualifying kinetic military action occurring near the deadline.\n\nA qualifying \"kinetic military action\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory. \n\nKinetic action against Iranian forces which do not occur within Iranian terrestrial territory will not qualify. \n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.", + "keywords": [ + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "ceasefire", + "ukraine", + "russia", + "peace", + "conflict", + "continue", + "through", + "may", + "resolve", + "iranian", + "remains", + "effect", + "listed", + "date", + "otherwise", + "considered" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.99, + "noPrice": 0.01, + "volume24h": 2555181.3009309988, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-ceasefire-continues-through", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.317Z", + "numericId": "2308197", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.001 + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xe98938875eadeffcc491c02ae0e0f11d45352c8f70c1bcdec397ffc7dfdec8a9", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nTo qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.\n\nThe resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.", + "keywords": [ + "officially", + "declare", + "war", + "venezuela", + "june", + "resolve", + "states", + "formally", + "declares", + "through", + "act", + "congress", + "senate", + "legislation", + "house", + "between", + "december", + "otherwise", + "qualify", + "must" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.02, + "noPrice": 0.98, + "volume24h": 2126980.202575, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-officially-declare-war-on-venezuela-in-2025", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.317Z", + "numericId": "950187", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.009, + "endDate": "2025-12-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x65307f30dce84ac35e41813035d3c04933da830dc4efbbb2fcdc4b282700ef3b", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "south", + "korea", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "knockout", + "stage" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 1912707.673322001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.318Z", + "numericId": "558961", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xbeab83146920be8f52b52fdbcb3464b24dc553f7b47eb4249243385b0faad271", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to \"Yes\", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.\n\nAgreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.", + "keywords": [ + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "deal", + "may", + "resolve", + "official", + "agreement", + "iranian", + "research", + "weapon", + "development", + "defined", + "publicly", + "announced", + "mutual", + "reached", + "between", + "states" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.21, + "noPrice": 0.79, + "volume24h": 1583044.1745739907, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-may-31-974", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.318Z", + "numericId": "2111640", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.07, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x366f89649caea042c96ee741b185461ec7faa408a2664ec44469a0061924b537", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nA permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:\n\n- The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.\n\n- Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "permanent", + "peace", + "deal", + "june", + "peace deal", + "ukraine", + "russia", + "peace agreement", + "ceasefire", + "resolve", + "states", + "agree", + "specified", + "date", + "otherwise", + "refers" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.23, + "noPrice": 0.77, + "volume24h": 1521483.792932004, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.318Z", + "numericId": "2334107", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.06, + "endDate": "2026-06-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xe5bd80313b8859e3f5761568ac9498866ea9d4419e4d1b6a877a9a9bd2754cb4", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "croatia", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "knockout", + "stage", + "immediately" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 1504252.5292049998, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.318Z", + "numericId": "558976", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xb2e7dd21dd889b9b56447857f03ea6188ebcef50599c3c1556c2f9141772d7bb", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. officially announces an extension of the ceasefire agreement between the U.S. and Iran, defined as a publicly announced commitment to the continued halt of direct military engagement with Iran or announces a new peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue by the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf a qualifying announcement is officially made before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire extension ultimately takes effect.\n\nA qualifying announcement requires clear public confirmation from the U.S. government that the U.S. has either:\n\n1. Extended its commitment to the ceasefire, either as a dated/time-based extension (e.g. a 60 day extension) or through an explicit statement that the ceasefire has been extended.\n\n2. Renewed the existing ceasefire as part of a broader peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue.\n\nStatements which merely acknowledge, reaffirm, or describe the current ceasefire as remaining in effect, or which outline further negotiations or de-escalation measures, without announcing a new extension period, or successor agreement under which the ceasefire will continue, will not qualify.\n\nThe following would qualify:\n- President Trump announcing that “the ceasefire has been extended for another 60 days.”\n- An official U.S. statement announcing that “the United States and Iran have agreed to extend the ceasefire framework while negotiations continue.”\n- President Trump’s April 21, 2026 announcement extending the ceasefire “until the Iranian negotiators could reach a unified proposal.”\n- An announcement that the US and Iran have agreed to a new temporary framework under which the ceasefire would continue as Iran gradually reopens the Strait of Hormuz and the United States begins to unfreeze Iranian assets would qualify.\n\nThe following would not qualify:\n- Statements that the ceasefire merely “remains in effect” or “continues to hold,” without announcing a new extension, renewal, or successor agreement.\n- Statements that “the ceasefire will remain in effect while negotiations continue,” without announcing that the ceasefire itself has been extended, or a new framework or deal has been reached\n- Statements that negotiations are progressing, that talks are ongoing, or that the parties are “getting closer” to a deal, without announcing that the ceasefire itself has been extended, renewed, or continued under a new agreement.\n\nAn overwhelming consensus of credible reporting that a qualifying extension or successor agreement has been definitively established will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThis market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the U.S. government and will not require confirmation from Iran. ", + "keywords": [ + "announces", + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "agreement", + "ceasefire", + "ukraine", + "russia", + "peace", + "conflict", + "extension", + "may", + "resolve", + "officially", + "between", + "defined", + "publicly", + "announced", + "commitment" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.03, + "noPrice": 0.97, + "volume24h": 1355183.3602130013, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.318Z", + "numericId": "2354002", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0575, + "endDate": "2026-05-28" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x518a5b030b205706b8ffe6bbad9bd3de59548348e5c0471827f5de21e513333c", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for May 31, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.", + "keywords": [ + "strait", + "hormuz", + "traffic", + "returns", + "normal", + "may", + "resolve", + "imf", + "portwatch", + "publishes", + "moving", + "average", + "transit", + "calls", + "arrivals", + "ships", + "equal", + "date", + "between", + "creation" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 1243161.5927359997, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-may", + "category": "technology", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.318Z", + "numericId": "1809560", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.002, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x0eee746a50b8852348403c3832b0c1fde83ed7604953e3f82b0a01e19e1c3fd5", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\n\"Dancing\" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.\n\nAI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. \n\nVideos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.\n\nThis market will resolve based on video footage.", + "keywords": [ + "donald", + "trump", + "president", + "potus", + "administration", + "gop", + "republican", + "dance", + "may", + "donald trump", + "resolve", + "dances", + "between", + "specified", + "date", + "otherwise", + "dancing", + "defined", + "deliberate", + "rhythmic" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 1174900.8530890031, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-dance-on", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.318Z", + "numericId": "2108049", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.004, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x789c947a9415600d30d56a4aae88d4111996679b0caed166d0c96242fdce92a2", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis requires a broad consensus of reporting indicating that core structures of the Islamic Republic (e.g. the office of the Supreme Leader, the Guardian Council, IRGC control under clerical authority) have been dissolved, incapacitated, or replaced by a fundamentally different governing system or otherwise lost de facto power over a majority of the population of Iran. This could occur via revolution, civil war, military coup, or voluntary abdication, but only qualifies if the Islamic Republic no longer exercises sovereign power.\n\nRoutine political events such as elections, reforms, or leadership succession do not qualify. Internal coups or power shifts that preserve the Islamic Republic’s core structures also do not qualify. Only a clear break in continuity—such as a new provisional government, revolutionary council, or constitution replacing the Islamic Republic will qualify.\n\nPartial loss of territory or challenges from rebel or exile groups will not qualify unless the Islamic Republic no longer administers the majority of the Iranian population within Iran. \n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. ", + "keywords": [ + "iranian", + "regime", + "fall", + "may", + "resolve", + "islamic", + "republic", + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "current", + "ruling", + "overthrown", + "collapsed", + "otherwise", + "ceases", + "govern", + "requires", + "broad" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 1136163.0056239998, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-may-31", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.319Z", + "numericId": "1707932", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.001, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xdb22a7749b831aa07a52cbc83213e6c8ceb88226b224a831512f4460011bb0a1", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Iran closes its airspace by May 27?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN).\n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14/) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iranian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14/). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/iran-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz/3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https://www.intellinews.com/iran-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997/).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.", + "keywords": [ + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "closes", + "airspace", + "may", + "resolve", + "initiates", + "closure", + "solely", + "due", + "weather", + "conditions", + "listed", + "date", + "otherwise", + "defined", + "broad", + "cancellation" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 1013614.0324320004, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-closes-its-airspace-by", + "category": "technology", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.319Z", + "numericId": "2296135", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.012, + "endDate": "2026-05-27" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x6a8cfe84d17693425f27831db5949d7511f3393d4624b182ac6956164cd32b10", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. officially announces an extension of the ceasefire agreement between the U.S. and Iran, defined as a publicly announced commitment to the continued halt of direct military engagement with Iran or announces a new peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue by the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf a qualifying announcement is officially made before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire extension ultimately takes effect.\n\nA qualifying announcement requires clear public confirmation from the U.S. government that the U.S. has either:\n\n1. Extended its commitment to the ceasefire, either as a dated/time-based extension (e.g. a 60 day extension) or through an explicit statement that the ceasefire has been extended.\n\n2. Renewed the existing ceasefire as part of a broader peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue.\n\nStatements which merely acknowledge, reaffirm, or describe the current ceasefire as remaining in effect, or which outline further negotiations or de-escalation measures, without announcing a new extension period, or successor agreement under which the ceasefire will continue, will not qualify.\n\nThe following would qualify:\n- President Trump announcing that “the ceasefire has been extended for another 60 days.”\n- An official U.S. statement announcing that “the United States and Iran have agreed to extend the ceasefire framework while negotiations continue.”\n- President Trump’s April 21, 2026 announcement extending the ceasefire “until the Iranian negotiators could reach a unified proposal.”\n- An announcement that the US and Iran have agreed to a new temporary framework under which the ceasefire would continue as Iran gradually reopens the Strait of Hormuz and the United States begins to unfreeze Iranian assets would qualify.\n\nThe following would not qualify:\n- Statements that the ceasefire merely “remains in effect” or “continues to hold,” without announcing a new extension, renewal, or successor agreement.\n- Statements that “the ceasefire will remain in effect while negotiations continue,” without announcing that the ceasefire itself has been extended, or a new framework or deal has been reached\n- Statements that negotiations are progressing, that talks are ongoing, or that the parties are “getting closer” to a deal, without announcing that the ceasefire itself has been extended, renewed, or continued under a new agreement.\n\nAn overwhelming consensus of credible reporting that a qualifying extension or successor agreement has been definitively established will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThis market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the U.S. government and will not require confirmation from Iran. ", + "keywords": [ + "announces", + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "agreement", + "ceasefire", + "ukraine", + "russia", + "peace", + "conflict", + "extension", + "may", + "resolve", + "officially", + "between", + "defined", + "publicly", + "announced", + "commitment" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.3, + "noPrice": 0.7, + "volume24h": 934095.1536910007, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.319Z", + "numericId": "2340843", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.02 + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x9ca9ea6bcad843f3e94c213ad978b4f21d712d90f9a28372d9248ec99bb7193a", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.\n\nIf multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.", + "keywords": [ + "sergio", + "rez", + "drivers'", + "champion", + "resolve", + "according", + "listed", + "driver", + "finishes", + "1st", + "standings", + "season", + "soon", + "official", + "results", + "scheduled", + "race", + "known", + "multiple", + "drivers" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 875306.7414660015, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-f1-drivers-champion", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.319Z", + "numericId": "898430", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.001, + "endDate": "2026-12-06" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xbaf7780f9059e34b84301fd411f8dc573b4d56adfe6e0cda33daf304b1438da4", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "ecuador", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "knockout", + "stage", + "immediately" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 718344.5495309999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.319Z", + "numericId": "558955", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.001, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x742df1dc386e60e2bd48efc2383657df85a0c6477efc8fa861522743a69e110e", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Andy Pages lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the player who records the most runs batted in (RBIs) during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player that hits more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "andy", + "pages", + "mlb", + "baseball", + "rbis", + "regular", + "season", + "resolve", + "according", + "player", + "records", + "runs", + "batted", + "during", + "event", + "tie", + "official", + "leader", + "determined", + "rules" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.02, + "noPrice": 0.98, + "volume24h": 634017.02, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-rbis-leader", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.319Z", + "numericId": "2037504", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0005, + "endDate": "2026-09-28" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x6114a8a3f9ac214f48a7e20d169f1c7a5c84082cb6f7058ed9fe1137b11fd0e7", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nA permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:\n\n- The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.\n\n- Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "permanent", + "peace", + "deal", + "june", + "peace deal", + "ukraine", + "russia", + "peace agreement", + "ceasefire", + "resolve", + "states", + "agree", + "specified", + "date", + "otherwise", + "refers" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.4, + "noPrice": 0.6, + "volume24h": 633772.1897989998, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.319Z", + "numericId": "1962237", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.08, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x37a6de1b21803e5f3fb1965116218215d79963af4f7e51659696366267a63a03", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "morocco", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "knockout", + "stage", + "immediately" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 632090.9910250003, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.319Z", + "numericId": "558963", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x4f3421fb2daf5cca7430ed8d8132463963081572d75434393a1808fdb8829fe8", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "portugal", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "knockout", + "stage", + "immediately" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.1, + "noPrice": 0.9, + "volume24h": 617133.3674789998, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.319Z", + "numericId": "558940", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.004, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x106ccc4508432a065a67394837d4c2c529a8d77ed69fa3ba90b81eedf5236598", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "turkiye", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "knockout", + "stage", + "immediately" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 580621.983978, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.320Z", + "numericId": "558985", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.001, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xd86a816093fcd0a0e1ca440bc5ce199bd3c5a8d6139e044b076958164f8c5423", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nA permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:\n\n- The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.\n\n- Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "permanent", + "peace", + "deal", + "june", + "peace deal", + "ukraine", + "russia", + "peace agreement", + "ceasefire", + "resolve", + "states", + "agree", + "specified", + "date", + "otherwise", + "refers" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.29, + "noPrice": 0.71, + "volume24h": 552490.3905860005, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.320Z", + "numericId": "2270330", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.09, + "endDate": "2026-06-15" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x80971af8befc488bbdd6dcc075d388793851a0ea1c46f7ffd353b190691c7199", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.\n\nIf multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.", + "keywords": [ + "isack", + "hadjar", + "drivers'", + "champion", + "resolve", + "according", + "listed", + "driver", + "finishes", + "1st", + "standings", + "season", + "soon", + "official", + "results", + "scheduled", + "race", + "known", + "multiple", + "drivers" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 531087.8833070002, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-f1-drivers-champion", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.320Z", + "numericId": "898414", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.001, + "endDate": "2026-12-06" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x7b52405ad0e0d31bfe970940b67d77f24ecedeab8a2361c11148c02a006e325c", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "norway", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "knockout", + "stage", + "immediately" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.03, + "noPrice": 0.97, + "volume24h": 514850.0247660003, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.320Z", + "numericId": "558951", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.003, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x3a26ca6425e2d98f14935670bc22cdb0744defc6f6d83c65f8c413a921c5c70c", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "switzerland", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "knockout", + "stage", + "immediately" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 499813.68248099997, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.322Z", + "numericId": "558974", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0005, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x23e817f30871533d3bd7da01e68b802c5fccb8f44f053ef4ea5789c8a28563fe", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?", + "description": "The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "jannik", + "sinner", + "men's", + "french", + "scheduled", + "may", + "june", + "resolve", + "player", + "wins", + "singles", + "tournament", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "listed", + "rules", + "tournamen" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 486525.67211599974, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-french-open-winner", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.322Z", + "numericId": "1087513", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.7345, + "endDate": "2026-06-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x46666ceb4c63814f38a8c83784ae10e1c2e1ef52e2db648372bd86dea521cf64", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and June 15, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for June 15, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.", + "keywords": [ + "strait", + "hormuz", + "traffic", + "returns", + "normal", + "june", + "resolve", + "imf", + "portwatch", + "publishes", + "moving", + "average", + "transit", + "calls", + "arrivals", + "ships", + "equal", + "date", + "between", + "creation" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.09, + "noPrice": 0.92, + "volume24h": 459532.470293001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15", + "category": "technology", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.322Z", + "numericId": "2354976", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.05, + "endDate": "2026-06-15" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x71c49500d051a9b32b9aa5bc22e0a6925a8b2282840c3e62e0a3afcd0403ba03", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. officially announces an extension of the ceasefire agreement between the U.S. and Iran, defined as a publicly announced commitment to the continued halt of direct military engagement with Iran or announces a new peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue by the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf a qualifying announcement is officially made before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire extension ultimately takes effect.\n\nA qualifying announcement requires clear public confirmation from the U.S. government that the U.S. has either:\n\n1. Extended its commitment to the ceasefire, either as a dated/time-based extension (e.g. a 60 day extension) or through an explicit statement that the ceasefire has been extended.\n\n2. Renewed the existing ceasefire as part of a broader peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue.\n\nStatements which merely acknowledge, reaffirm, or describe the current ceasefire as remaining in effect, or which outline further negotiations or de-escalation measures, without announcing a new extension period, or successor agreement under which the ceasefire will continue, will not qualify.\n\nThe following would qualify:\n- President Trump announcing that “the ceasefire has been extended for another 60 days.”\n- An official U.S. statement announcing that “the United States and Iran have agreed to extend the ceasefire framework while negotiations continue.”\n- President Trump’s April 21, 2026 announcement extending the ceasefire “until the Iranian negotiators could reach a unified proposal.”\n- An announcement that the US and Iran have agreed to a new temporary framework under which the ceasefire would continue as Iran gradually reopens the Strait of Hormuz and the United States begins to unfreeze Iranian assets would qualify.\n\nThe following would not qualify:\n- Statements that the ceasefire merely “remains in effect” or “continues to hold,” without announcing a new extension, renewal, or successor agreement.\n- Statements that “the ceasefire will remain in effect while negotiations continue,” without announcing that the ceasefire itself has been extended, or a new framework or deal has been reached\n- Statements that negotiations are progressing, that talks are ongoing, or that the parties are “getting closer” to a deal, without announcing that the ceasefire itself has been extended, renewed, or continued under a new agreement.\n\nAn overwhelming consensus of credible reporting that a qualifying extension or successor agreement has been definitively established will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThis market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the U.S. government and will not require confirmation from Iran. ", + "keywords": [ + "announces", + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "agreement", + "ceasefire", + "ukraine", + "russia", + "peace", + "conflict", + "extension", + "may", + "resolve", + "officially", + "between", + "defined", + "publicly", + "announced", + "commitment" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.1, + "noPrice": 0.9, + "volume24h": 453784.1563639996, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.323Z", + "numericId": "2364498", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.04, + "endDate": "2026-05-29" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xbdf600335afb140555bdb13a2e6c6b554971bacc0c4668a9763ac54283874596", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 22 12:00 PM ET to May 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", + "keywords": [ + "elon", + "elon musk", + "tesla", + "spacex", + "doge", + "musk", + "post", + "140", + "159", + "tweets", + "may", + "twitter", + "x", + "resolve", + "according", + "number", + "times", + "elonmusk", + "posts", + "purposes" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.02, + "noPrice": 0.98, + "volume24h": 443110.6103979995, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-22-may-29", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.323Z", + "numericId": "2335036", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0035, + "endDate": "2026-05-29" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x348cd9adf4f6855f58bd9c6dbf9ff251c4142ef77233a5dc95c65b4b61cd2187", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for June 30, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.", + "keywords": [ + "strait", + "hormuz", + "traffic", + "returns", + "normal", + "june", + "resolve", + "imf", + "portwatch", + "publishes", + "moving", + "average", + "transit", + "calls", + "arrivals", + "ships", + "equal", + "date", + "between", + "creation" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.39, + "noPrice": 0.61, + "volume24h": 421647.6856050002, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-june", + "category": "technology", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.323Z", + "numericId": "1971905", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.02, + "endDate": "2026-06-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x9b6fef249040fd17e9c107955b37ac2c3e923509b6b0ff01cc463a331ddeb894", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "france", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "knockout", + "stage", + "immediately" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.17, + "noPrice": 0.83, + "volume24h": 420341.4432890002, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.323Z", + "numericId": "558936", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.003, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x0c4cd2055d6ea89354ffddc55d6dbcef9355748112ea952fc925f3db6a5c457f", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "argentina", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "knockout", + "stage", + "immediately" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.09, + "noPrice": 0.91, + "volume24h": 417192.8307930001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.323Z", + "numericId": "558938", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.002, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x7976b8dbacf9077eb1453a62bcefd6ab2df199acd28aad276ff0d920d6992892", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "spain", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "knockout", + "stage", + "immediately" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.17, + "noPrice": 0.83, + "volume24h": 416719.18957099965, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "technology", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.323Z", + "numericId": "558934", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.003, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xde04b189b3f19eaccda02529a3ea67abfc46bff5c0c8fc42d8a2d0ed7b8f0d41", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?", + "description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.", + "keywords": [ + "there", + "change", + "fed", + "federal reserve", + "fomc", + "interest rates", + "interest", + "rates", + "june", + "meeting", + "defined", + "upper", + "bound", + "target", + "federal", + "funds", + "range", + "decisions", + "committee", + "meetings" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.98, + "noPrice": 0.02, + "volume24h": 412773.5017590019, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-june-825", + "category": "economics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.323Z", + "numericId": "906974", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.002, + "endDate": "2026-06-17" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xb7dd41c16cd5b59e543ffcdab6a0d876f5ccef5329ea42ef1798d80c9a2b8499", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Iran closes its airspace by May 31?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN).\n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14/) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iranian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14/). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/iran-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz/3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https://www.intellinews.com/iran-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997/).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.", + "keywords": [ + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "closes", + "airspace", + "may", + "resolve", + "initiates", + "closure", + "solely", + "due", + "weather", + "conditions", + "listed", + "date", + "otherwise", + "defined", + "broad", + "cancellation" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.11, + "noPrice": 0.89, + "volume24h": 410754.3159580003, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-closes-its-airspace-by", + "category": "technology", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.323Z", + "numericId": "2133405", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0115, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x5b4be999538e689a0f20055c215e5df11df4da7a6ca7a4bcd8b913ae922d6efb", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?", + "description": "On February 28, 2026, a nationwide internet blackout began in Iran amid military engagement with the United States and Israel.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if internet access in Iran is restored by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nFor purposes of this market, internet access will be considered restored only if either of the following conditions is satisfied.\n\n1. Internet access will be considered restored if there is a clear, broad, and unambiguous consensus of credible international reporting stating that general internet connectivity has been restored for a majority of people in Iran and across most common applications, and that such connectivity has been sustained for at least 24 consecutive hours. Reporting describing planned restorations, gradual easing, partial reconnection, access limited to specific regions, networks, user groups, or applications, or access restricted to filtered, throttled, or government-controlled networks will not qualify. The reporting must explicitly indicate that normal international internet access has materially resumed.\n\n2. Alternatively, internet access will be considered restored only if both of the following requirements are met.\n\n- According to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, the “Outage” annotation associated with the nationwide internet shutdown must cease to apply to newly published hourly data points for at least 24 consecutive hours in the “Traffic trends” chart for the last 4 weeks. During this same period, the same chart must show a clear increase in either Total bytes or HTTP bytes relative to the outage period, indicating a meaningful restoration of internet traffic. Only the first of the consecutive qualifying hourly data points must occur before the market’s resolution time. If necessary to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until all qualifying data points are observed.\n\n- In addition, NetBlocks must report that the Iranian national internet outage has been resolved, or must publish a clearly equivalent statement indicating that internet access has been restored for the majority of people and across applications. Reports describing only limited, partial, or localized connectivity; connectivity restricted to filtered or government-controlled networks; traffic increases that NetBlocks characterizes as attempts to generate a false or misleading narrative of restored connectivity, or similar reports, will not qualify, even if the Cloudflare threshold is met.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be Cloudflare Radar (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d) data for Iran and public reporting from NetBlocks (https://netblocks.org/); however, a consensus of credible international reporting meeting the standards described above may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "internet", + "access", + "restored", + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "may", + "february", + "nationwide", + "blackout", + "began", + "amid", + "military", + "engagement", + "states", + "israel", + "gaza", + "hamas", + "middle east" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.84, + "noPrice": 0.16, + "volume24h": 394498.66037599987, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/internet-access-restored-in-iran-by", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.323Z", + "numericId": "1831356", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.531, + "endDate": "2026-03-14" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x1595b4818eeb1ea1e0bec5de6f057218e557feee9b405a0e930d290384fa1d16", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "germany", + "german", + "euro", + "bund", + "europe", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.05, + "noPrice": 0.95, + "volume24h": 381149.0010409997, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.323Z", + "numericId": "558939", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x9be56371f6a29d12769b2f196847ee825b9585ebb8bfa042136be031b081eba1", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "netherlands", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "knockout", + "stage", + "immediately" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.04, + "noPrice": 0.96, + "volume24h": 375214.73694100033, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.323Z", + "numericId": "558941", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.001, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x27ad7baca4066891d8e8e5a4df38b164e95b56757041a5c198d24f9cd984b877", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?", + "description": "This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "dip", + "$70", + "000", + "may", + "immediately", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "during", + "month", + "specified" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.14, + "noPrice": 0.86, + "volume24h": 372441.21135899995, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-may-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.323Z", + "numericId": "2132779", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0675, + "endDate": "2026-06-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x5ccfe1b69a582d2985db08a8481a0d74c314b1fce9b4711ae2efb2c6467fe6aa", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "mexico", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "knockout", + "stage", + "immediately" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 368919.077949, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.323Z", + "numericId": "558945", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xcdb1f0400949238a63d3e88243d2ada08cd9c2a71985ced9f0cfd5e66354cf90", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "usa", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "knockout", + "stage", + "immediately" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 367060.104084, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.323Z", + "numericId": "558943", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xcddc048c672ee233890b99b18885dbd510e3db3d67c53afb408ddc93f9aadff4", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "confirm", + "aliens", + "exist", + "may", + "resolve", + "president", + "states", + "member", + "cabinet", + "joint", + "chiefs", + "kansas city", + "nfl", + "mahomes", + "super bowl", + "staff", + "federal", + "agency", + "definitively", + "extraterrestrial" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 357478.5218060001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.324Z", + "numericId": "2034747", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.001, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x20af55ab35186377b81219db6cb8615240cba42cea41731091be9484a5f5b122", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nA permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:\n\n- The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.\n\n- Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "permanent", + "peace", + "deal", + "july", + "peace deal", + "ukraine", + "russia", + "peace agreement", + "ceasefire", + "resolve", + "states", + "agree", + "specified", + "date", + "otherwise", + "refers" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.57, + "noPrice": 0.43, + "volume24h": 357420.948853, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.324Z", + "numericId": "2270338", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.085, + "endDate": "2026-07-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis requires a broad consensus of reporting indicating that core structures of the Islamic Republic (e.g. the office of the Supreme Leader, the Guardian Council, IRGC control under clerical authority) have been dissolved, incapacitated, or replaced by a fundamentally different governing system or otherwise lost de facto power over a majority of the population of Iran. This could occur via revolution, civil war, military coup, or voluntary abdication, but only qualifies if the Islamic Republic no longer exercises sovereign power.\n\nRoutine political events such as elections, reforms, or leadership succession do not qualify. Internal coups or power shifts that preserve the Islamic Republic’s core structures also do not qualify. Only a clear break in continuity—such as a new provisional government, revolutionary council, or constitution replacing the Islamic Republic will qualify.\n\nPartial loss of territory or challenges from rebel or exile groups will not qualify unless the Islamic Republic no longer administers the majority of the Iranian population within Iran. \n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. ", + "keywords": [ + "iranian", + "regime", + "fall", + "june", + "resolve", + "islamic", + "republic", + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "current", + "ruling", + "overthrown", + "collapsed", + "otherwise", + "ceases", + "govern", + "requires", + "broad" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.03, + "noPrice": 0.97, + "volume24h": 356774.57022600074, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-june-30", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.324Z", + "numericId": "958443", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.002, + "endDate": "2026-06-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x6e9f90a6f471b52d03499a81586ca478519474eb152f1327c8c767f020d62529", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?", + "description": "This is a polymarket on whether the listed team will win the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "psg", + "paris saint germain", + "soccer", + "france", + "champions", + "champions league", + "football", + "europe", + "uefa", + "ucl", + "polymarket", + "listed", + "team", + "resolve", + "officially", + "crowned", + "winner", + "otherwise", + "point", + "becomes" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.57, + "noPrice": 0.43, + "volume24h": 356457.6848360001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/uefa-champions-league-winner", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.324Z", + "numericId": "566136", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xf950740bc71136155d6525cc0528a582c81f88812bff227803190c32ca25f54d", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "scotland", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "knockout", + "stage", + "immediately" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 351253.90314100013, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.324Z", + "numericId": "558973", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x0189df05ed7bf84d799213b01a79571e305c03b2ac5359cfbb3a323448ba20fa", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "japan", + "japanese", + "yen", + "nikkei", + "jpy", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.02, + "noPrice": 0.98, + "volume24h": 348841.2263729999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.324Z", + "numericId": "558949", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xb01e70a56199a6d5467f47a2b94e75e7c7218c128c8d0b8beb6dafed2f0d15c2", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?", + "description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.", + "keywords": [ + "fed", + "federal reserve", + "fomc", + "interest rates", + "increase", + "interest", + "rates", + "bps", + "basis points", + "june", + "meeting", + "defined", + "upper", + "bound", + "target", + "federal", + "funds", + "range", + "decisions", + "committee" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 343333.8026639998, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-june-825", + "category": "economics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.324Z", + "numericId": "906976", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-06-17" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x289568d555ec620ed6fa33c936c5f42649d3a2e30748a1daf7079f42453fbea4", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "ivory", + "coast", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "knockout", + "stage" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 340525.53765899997, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.324Z", + "numericId": "558966", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x30d55d8124ee1e12dabe89201badc45669b81dff69e4ce44d961f32878ec178a", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "brazil", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "knockout", + "stage", + "immediately" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.09, + "noPrice": 0.91, + "volume24h": 338716.0294709999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.324Z", + "numericId": "558937", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xfe230d510eaf545198c0d62bb17871e5fe8989f1b19aa54c0c062b858360987c", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "austria", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "knockout", + "stage", + "immediately" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 338572.13218499994, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.324Z", + "numericId": "558975", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x84edef36bded182da6a395ac6c785dba8f3e09b6c5ad041385b2042536cbef25", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 337353.32600000006, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.324Z", + "numericId": "558959", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x375409bc5eeeff961e82b479caeccc20f33d15738e5bce1186d628aa3d9dfb1f", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "england", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "knockout", + "stage", + "immediately" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.11, + "noPrice": 0.89, + "volume24h": 335837.870719998, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.324Z", + "numericId": "558935", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.001, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x8b369e10358094a99ffe7f85a81a8e8ca68c611eee0fe63a2efa790ad045bcd6", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?", + "description": "On April 12, 2026, President Donald Trump announced that the United States will blockade the Strait of Hormuz. You can read more about that here: https://www.nbcnews.com/world/iran/live-blog/live-updates-us-iran-fail-reach-deal-peace-talks-day-negotiations-rcna315918.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces the end of the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nQualifying statements must clearly and explicitly indicate that the United States has lifted, ended, or will lift or end its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on a specified date or use equivalently definitive language unambiguously signaling that such blockade has ceased or is set to cease on a specified date (e.g., statements unambiguously indicating that US naval activity in the relevant area has ceased will qualify). \n\nStatements that merely describe actions inconsistent with the blockade (e.g., \"Iran resumed shipping through the Strait of Hormuz\") without explicitly indicating the blockade as lifted will not alone suffice.\n\nInformal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.\n\nWritten public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nNote: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the blockade is effectively enforced or whether maritime traffic resumes absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered.", + "keywords": [ + "donald", + "trump", + "president", + "potus", + "administration", + "gop", + "republican", + "announce", + "states", + "blockade", + "strait", + "hormuz", + "lifted", + "may", + "donald trump", + "april", + "announced", + "you", + "can", + "read" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.23, + "noPrice": 0.78, + "volume24h": 326197.1102029999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-announces-us-blockade-of-hormuz-lifted-by", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.324Z", + "numericId": "1972137", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.005, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x4e4a7df876b0c04f0b8b29b9073eddfbaf5c787192da825ae7ca1031bc8cfd15", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?", + "description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.", + "keywords": [ + "fed", + "federal reserve", + "fomc", + "interest rates", + "decrease", + "interest", + "rates", + "bps", + "basis points", + "june", + "meeting", + "defined", + "upper", + "bound", + "target", + "federal", + "funds", + "range", + "decisions", + "committee" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 324822.49255299993, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-june-825", + "category": "economics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.325Z", + "numericId": "906972", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-06-17" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x7fd1fba1f81e6c97248fba1567da883afa6995e7b271204641b66adc6cf7143a", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Tiger Woods receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "trump", + "president", + "potus", + "administration", + "gop", + "republican", + "pardon", + "tiger", + "woods", + "june", + "resolve", + "receives", + "presidential", + "commutation", + "reprieve", + "donald", + "otherwise", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "issue" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 323318.7251679999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-pardon-tiger-woods-by-june-30", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.325Z", + "numericId": "1839164", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.003, + "endDate": "2026-06-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x6ad63235931f80951a48f2338956dea7bb70c97f99a7bd03f5f501d6e4673842", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?", + "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. \n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).", + "keywords": [ + "fabien", + "roussel", + "french", + "presidential", + "election", + "currently", + "expected", + "held", + "around", + "april", + "pertains", + "outcome", + "regardless", + "follows", + "scheduled", + "current", + "term", + "earlier", + "president", + "france" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 322696.02973699995, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-french-presidential-election", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.325Z", + "numericId": "679032", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2027-04-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xe99cc59f32b10d23acf196d1a0e8264ea30fca198428acadd3464b06ff60e771", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "colombia", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "knockout", + "stage", + "immediately" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.02, + "noPrice": 0.98, + "volume24h": 321002.45554399985, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.325Z", + "numericId": "558947", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xa70fc3695a65833b91b45df6db6015096f3e1471b70352ca411b4209010e7633", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to \"Yes\", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.\n\nAgreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.", + "keywords": [ + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "deal", + "june", + "resolve", + "official", + "agreement", + "iranian", + "research", + "weapon", + "development", + "defined", + "publicly", + "announced", + "mutual", + "reached", + "between", + "states" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.52, + "noPrice": 0.48, + "volume24h": 316968.43041799986, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.325Z", + "numericId": "957019", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.11, + "endDate": "2026-06-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xf1ed2e6df582b055e94b3ff00b9dce996af9f04c5cc67e9a6fbfef487169c0e7", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?", + "description": "This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", + "keywords": [ + "tesla", + "ev", + "electric vehicle", + "elon musk", + "largest", + "company", + "cap", + "june", + "resolve", + "resolution", + "source", + "consensus", + "credible", + "reporting" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 313434.05217900005, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/largest-company-end-of-june-712", + "category": "technology", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.325Z", + "numericId": "631185", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-06-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x6786eb0f18f38f4132b3501f142728ba2ed15b72ddc4f65ddde548c509d7f6ff", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?", + "description": "This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", + "keywords": [ + "amazon", + "amzn", + "aws", + "cloud", + "bezos", + "largest", + "company", + "cap", + "june", + "resolve", + "resolution", + "source", + "consensus", + "credible", + "reporting" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 312897.918, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/largest-company-end-of-june-712", + "category": "technology", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.325Z", + "numericId": "631187", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-06-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x9769f78cbc95a5ed11895e6064bac471d8fd8f930b260cf581b68d3f58630d27", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nA permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:\n\n- The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.\n\n- Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "permanent", + "peace", + "deal", + "december", + "peace deal", + "ukraine", + "russia", + "peace agreement", + "ceasefire", + "resolve", + "states", + "agree", + "specified", + "date", + "otherwise", + "refers" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.78, + "noPrice": 0.22, + "volume24h": 299607.37078799994, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.325Z", + "numericId": "2155052", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.01, + "endDate": "2026-12-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xa7cb4135c6d9c36da0e343874dd5b455de739c6d1b9f9f5583dd9320aacf5db2", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?", + "description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.", + "keywords": [ + "fed", + "federal reserve", + "fomc", + "interest rates", + "increase", + "interest", + "rates", + "bps", + "basis points", + "june", + "meeting", + "defined", + "upper", + "bound", + "target", + "federal", + "funds", + "range", + "decisions", + "committee" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 295066.62769099994, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-june-825", + "category": "economics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.325Z", + "numericId": "906975", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.001, + "endDate": "2026-06-17" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x4d1ee0c046938319f654f99c6aca2380c1f6d88a65887dd360fda3d0509eddb4", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Iran agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of a previously announced ceasefire agreement), will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:\n\n- Israel and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.\n\n- Both Israel and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.\n\nThe inclusion of Israel and Iran in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "israel", + "gaza", + "hamas", + "middle east", + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "permanent", + "peace", + "deal", + "may", + "peace deal", + "ukraine", + "russia", + "peace agreement", + "ceasefire", + "resolve", + "agree", + "specified", + "date" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.04, + "noPrice": 0.96, + "volume24h": 291343.31311499956, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.325Z", + "numericId": "2126515", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.006, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x6972edb1b3f8cd8192651a665fc424dff846efe1c4a2376f628d4b20c704144c", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "senegal", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "knockout", + "stage", + "immediately" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 286020.94249899976, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.325Z", + "numericId": "558965", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xdde06286a7b9464d344f410ab0b3d2ebc6469904e72c27fd982f65fdbf78768d", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?", + "description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.", + "keywords": [ + "fed", + "federal reserve", + "fomc", + "interest rates", + "decrease", + "interest", + "rates", + "bps", + "basis points", + "june", + "meeting", + "defined", + "upper", + "bound", + "target", + "federal", + "funds", + "range", + "decisions", + "committee" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 283897.0010499999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-june-825", + "category": "economics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.325Z", + "numericId": "906973", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.004, + "endDate": "2026-06-17" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x58078283e2356f9b9537b42e7479d7785b83bcd6f18002de8a2526c499eda837", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?", + "description": "This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "$85", + "000", + "may", + "immediately", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "during", + "month", + "specified", + "title" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 275752.8539760001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-may-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.325Z", + "numericId": "2132776", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.002, + "endDate": "2026-06-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xdcc2d63e013c9fa79c2516ceb2daad64537eabdc358cb374724aa95acaecdfd7", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 28?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "between", + "$76", + "000", + "$78", + "may", + "resolve", + "according", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "timezone", + "noon" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 268690.839403, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-price-on-may-28-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.325Z", + "numericId": "2321939", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.2845, + "endDate": "2026-05-28" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x32cfa52198e85e070d1b17d1b53c5c3a6aaae7736cdc33fa6aa04d353f0c2811", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "belgium", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "knockout", + "stage", + "immediately" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.02, + "noPrice": 0.98, + "volume24h": 266222.043574, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.325Z", + "numericId": "558946", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xc8ad40bce2905fbb5a77414f242ed73a3ba8331c4264b12fb12afee7e4bc0627", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Yaxel Lendeborg be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed player is drafted fifth overall in the 2026 NBA Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026 NBA Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "yaxel", + "lendeborg", + "5th", + "overall", + "pick", + "nba", + "basketball", + "draft", + "resolve", + "listed", + "player", + "drafted", + "fifth", + "otherwise", + "canceled", + "postponed", + "completed", + "july", + "resolution", + "source" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 264675, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-nba-draft-5th-overall-pick", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.325Z", + "numericId": "2167728", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0005, + "endDate": "2026-06-24" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x5db999fad322cea2914535aae5517060c3f80ad6d8c0231cde2124a434d16846", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.", + "keywords": [ + "invade", + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "resolve", + "states", + "commences", + "military", + "offensive", + "intended", + "establish", + "control", + "portion", + "december", + "otherwise", + "purposes", + "land", + "facto", + "controlled" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.17, + "noPrice": 0.82, + "volume24h": 262524.195751, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.326Z", + "numericId": "665374", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.01, + "endDate": "2026-12-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x7412d284c8f63791fec807f9b1f61c6fe61163621775a3dc8686cd2575272abe", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "egypt", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "knockout", + "stage", + "immediately" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 258581.36815999987, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.326Z", + "numericId": "558968", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xd39905267d79b715f078279ef41f311b791c6e2c7361fea38011492b632212ef", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.\n\nTo qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors).\n\nAny agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.\n\nAgreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", + "keywords": [ + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "agrees", + "surrender", + "enriched", + "uranium", + "stockpile", + "may", + "resolve", + "publicly", + "otherwise", + "official", + "pledge", + "qualify", + "resolution" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.07, + "noPrice": 0.93, + "volume24h": 251412.11979899995, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-agrees-to-surrender-enriched-uranium-stockpile-by", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.326Z", + "numericId": "2126542", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0105, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xaba4bb720c6c1b2e48087f5af4a57fd1e9f05814a936e9f6b1c37f10436a34fc", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?", + "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. \n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).", + "keywords": [ + "fran", + "ois", + "asselineau", + "french", + "presidential", + "election", + "currently", + "expected", + "held", + "around", + "april", + "pertains", + "outcome", + "regardless", + "follows", + "scheduled", + "current", + "term", + "earlier", + "president" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 247623.0518560003, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-french-presidential-election", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.326Z", + "numericId": "679036", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2027-04-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x664003f1aece788384d7a1f7bf082a4272e26b74ff0ab44bda9e46a6604bc4d6", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Darryn Peterson be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed player is drafted fifth overall in the 2026 NBA Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026 NBA Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "darryn", + "peterson", + "5th", + "overall", + "pick", + "nba", + "basketball", + "draft", + "resolve", + "listed", + "player", + "drafted", + "fifth", + "otherwise", + "canceled", + "postponed", + "completed", + "july", + "resolution", + "source" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 245709, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-nba-draft-5th-overall-pick", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.326Z", + "numericId": "2167719", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.001, + "endDate": "2026-06-24" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x52847ca1413b76a5570b97c0c432e38dbe61b0140f9d45e912604591b08f6fca", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup based off the rules of the NHL.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the NHL.\n", + "keywords": [ + "montreal", + "canadiens", + "nhl", + "hockey", + "stanley", + "resolve", + "otherwise", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "team", + "based", + "rules", + "resolution", + "source" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.02, + "noPrice": 0.98, + "volume24h": 239529.8258200009, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-nhl-stanley-cup-champion", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.326Z", + "numericId": "553849", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.059, + "endDate": "2026-06-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x739e756119534672538d8df821a5b3321e2c802d80afff0c5790126be9b41281", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?", + "description": "The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "alexander", + "zverev", + "men's", + "french", + "scheduled", + "may", + "june", + "resolve", + "player", + "wins", + "singles", + "tournament", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "listed", + "rules", + "tournamen" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.32, + "noPrice": 0.68, + "volume24h": 238435.47121100003, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-french-open-winner", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.326Z", + "numericId": "1087514", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.238, + "endDate": "2026-06-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xbce6698c9a61376c0709a2a724a9cf0dd0236d8dea882533073b6bb062efbee0", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "bosnia", + "herzegovina", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "knockout", + "stage" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 235227.93182799997, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.326Z", + "numericId": "558983", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x5a965e943de13a4bdef4fb568d94341a751f02a2f652fa4fb8377d8b02f84606", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?", + "description": "The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.", + "keywords": [ + "spencer", + "pratt", + "los", + "angeles", + "mayoral", + "election", + "held", + "june", + "elect", + "mayor", + "california", + "candidate", + "receives", + "majority", + "vote", + "runoff", + "november", + "resolve", + "according", + "wins" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.2, + "noPrice": 0.8, + "volume24h": 234753.020771, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/los-angeles-mayoral-election-117", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.326Z", + "numericId": "629035", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.03, + "endDate": "2026-06-02" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x3733a1b647e7364095736ab0966465d896a84cf3b6bc1695ca1f26c3239b3868", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if MicroStrategy sells any of its Bitcoin by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from MSTR and on-chain data, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "microstrategy", + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "mstr", + "saylor", + "sells", + "crypto", + "may", + "resolve", + "date", + "specified", + "title", + "otherwise", + "primary", + "resolution", + "source", + "information", + "chain", + "data", + "however" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.13, + "noPrice": 0.87, + "volume24h": 232009.61269600017, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/microstrategy-sell-any-bitcoin-in-2025", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.326Z", + "numericId": "2169995", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0615, + "endDate": "2026-07-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x3f0743b88ef23a678e1d07fd2fb92badcbbb17aeca7110f188533b081afbd6af", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States agrees to the continued enrichment of uranium by Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nContinued enrichment of uranium by Iran refers to US acceptance of the enrichment of, or the right to enrich, any quantity of uranium by Iran for any future amount of time. Agreements that include limitations, restrictions, or specified terms (e.g., caps on enrichment level, monitoring requirements) will qualify, provided the United States accepts continued enrichment.\n\nThe United States will be considered to have agreed to the continued enrichment of uranium by Iran if:\n\n- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that they have definitively agreed to accept the continued enrichment of uranium by Iran.\n- Continued enrichment of uranium by Iran is included as part of a treaty or deal that is formally established between the United States and Iran, either through signing or other formal means.\n\nAgreement refers to an explicit acceptance, authorization or consent to the specified action. Only announcements of definitive agreement will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.\n\nAny definitive agreement or commitment made before the resolution date will be considered, regardless of when or whether the specified action is begun.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump and the US government and their official representatives; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of an announcement or formal agreement.", + "keywords": [ + "trump", + "president", + "potus", + "administration", + "gop", + "republican", + "agree", + "iranian", + "enrichment", + "uranium", + "may", + "resolve", + "states", + "agrees", + "continued", + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "otherwise" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.02, + "noPrice": 0.98, + "volume24h": 228527.05620699993, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-iranian-demands-will-trump-agree-to-by-may-31", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.326Z", + "numericId": "2111561", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0035, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xceeea5a55b9d43b1b1616b03b150e5424d4dbd047ba163cd8f0795d11a29bb14", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Cal Raleigh lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the player who records the most runs batted in (RBIs) during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player that hits more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "cal", + "raleigh", + "mlb", + "baseball", + "rbis", + "regular", + "season", + "resolve", + "according", + "player", + "records", + "runs", + "batted", + "during", + "event", + "tie", + "official", + "leader", + "determined", + "rules" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 227846, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-rbis-leader", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.326Z", + "numericId": "2037489", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0045, + "endDate": "2026-09-28" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x5ff8465273252fdc32d12e91305d51133b87b5878464477141e2e6ca61b133e7", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.", + "keywords": [ + "nicole", + "shanahan", + "california", + "governor", + "election", + "resolve", + "according", + "candidate", + "wins", + "gubernatorial", + "currently", + "scheduled", + "november", + "results", + "confirmed", + "july", + "resolution", + "source" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 227375.0114999998, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-election-2026", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.326Z", + "numericId": "628953", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.001, + "endDate": "2026-11-03" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x20d0bc282552ac5ec6f61cd7101cb42a5948cae07e7651bdf40ede1a8b2c5eac", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", + "keywords": [ + "khanna", + "democratic", + "presidential", + "nomination", + "resolve", + "named", + "individual", + "wins", + "accepts", + "party", + "president", + "otherwise", + "resolution", + "source", + "consensus", + "official", + "sources", + "replacement" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.02, + "noPrice": 0.98, + "volume24h": 222847.127179, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.326Z", + "numericId": "559694", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0045, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x5ebe0528036b14973845d647d448b3b3720794e954aa7bdc775fc11495892d89", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Tyreek Hill play for the Philadelphia Eagles next?", + "description": "This market will resolve to the next NFL team Tyreek Hill joins by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nIf Tyreek Hill does not join a new NFL team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf Tyreek Hill joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf Tyreek Hill is released and is not signed by another team, retires, or is not under contract with any NFL team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nTransfers or assignments between a team’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market.\n\nAn official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL or the acquiring team.", + "keywords": [ + "tyreek", + "hill", + "philadelphia", + "eagles", + "nfl", + "super bowl", + "resolve", + "team", + "joins", + "august", + "join", + "listed" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.17, + "noPrice": 0.83, + "volume24h": 217706.012083, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-tyreek-hill-play-in-2026", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.326Z", + "numericId": "1387127", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.2, + "endDate": "2026-08-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x32abb83d872a85d5abca961367456a72ddb40fe756f945a16fb49940d17627ce", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Qinwen Zheng win the 2026 Women’s US Open?", + "description": "The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "qinwen", + "zheng", + "women", + "us open", + "tennis", + "grand slam", + "tournament", + "scheduled", + "august", + "september", + "resolve", + "player", + "wins", + "singles", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "listed" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 216686, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-womens-us-open-winner-tennis", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.442Z", + "numericId": "1088659", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0005, + "endDate": "2026-09-13" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x2368d2604c9c2b95bc98c51bd50c66e5351caebf05b9fe79d3398c387fe29a89", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.", + "keywords": [ + "fed", + "federal reserve", + "fomc", + "interest rates", + "rate", + "cuts", + "happen", + "resolve", + "according", + "exact", + "amount", + "basis", + "points", + "including", + "during", + "december", + "meeting", + "emergency", + "outside", + "scheduled" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 210528.625808, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026", + "category": "economics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.442Z", + "numericId": "616909", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.001, + "endDate": "2026-12-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xbf1d0865f793f94d78413696946f89327bda5ae44d82bf54f9ebb3edfb57bf56", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Israel closes its airspace by May 31?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "israel", + "gaza", + "hamas", + "middle east", + "closes", + "airspace", + "may", + "resolve", + "initiates", + "closure", + "specified", + "date", + "otherwise", + "defined", + "broad", + "cancellation", + "complete", + "suspension", + "commercial", + "aviation" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.07, + "noPrice": 0.93, + "volume24h": 209705.66842299985, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-closes-its-airspace-by", + "category": "technology", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.442Z", + "numericId": "2159726", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.033, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xbcacd5a055f5a9ced6f69f122216c073dd6987d08253fc07bbcc168fa5b81d55", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\n“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.\n\nQualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.\n\nA widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "obtains", + "iranian", + "enriched", + "uranium", + "may", + "resolve", + "government", + "military", + "officially", + "announces", + "confirms", + "gained", + "possession", + "quantity", + "previously", + "controlled", + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 206921.17715399966, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by", + "category": "technology", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.442Z", + "numericId": "1808970", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.003, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x1d519b87999e3d4e90e1e8f57b5eee73a0ba488ff3fdb70867f294733aba84a9", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", + "keywords": [ + "andy", + "beshear", + "democratic", + "presidential", + "nomination", + "resolve", + "named", + "individual", + "wins", + "accepts", + "party", + "president", + "otherwise", + "resolution", + "source", + "consensus", + "official", + "sources", + "replacement" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.03, + "noPrice": 0.97, + "volume24h": 205451.264202, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.443Z", + "numericId": "559660", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.005, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x881a3ffa618b6ae0ab95a5637e310afb1afc2d99c921bfe3235b15eccfce0344", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "ghana", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "knockout", + "stage", + "immediately" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 199890.60733199996, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.443Z", + "numericId": "558967", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x5e614739363bbfc399469102c600e4e8260032d41e59e0bc12ebc0e71231642d", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "czechia", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "knockout", + "stage", + "immediately" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 199261.8873309999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.443Z", + "numericId": "558984", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xd0dbdc94b28c5cffeef64ed6b13e5f0f2324fb177e5ffaa634b48c88fe18d5e7", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "sweden", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "knockout", + "stage", + "immediately" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 195471.475255, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.443Z", + "numericId": "558980", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x27182c8b13f2a6284754660cbb3c6350a04f7aa4afe04d24dad481947014d90d", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. officially announces an extension of the ceasefire agreement between the U.S. and Iran, defined as a publicly announced commitment to the continued halt of direct military engagement with Iran or announces a new peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue by the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf a qualifying announcement is officially made before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire extension ultimately takes effect.\n\nA qualifying announcement requires clear public confirmation from the U.S. government that the U.S. has either:\n\n1. Extended its commitment to the ceasefire, either as a dated/time-based extension (e.g. a 60 day extension) or through an explicit statement that the ceasefire has been extended.\n\n2. Renewed the existing ceasefire as part of a broader peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue.\n\nStatements which merely acknowledge, reaffirm, or describe the current ceasefire as remaining in effect, or which outline further negotiations or de-escalation measures, without announcing a new extension period, or successor agreement under which the ceasefire will continue, will not qualify.\n\nThe following would qualify:\n- President Trump announcing that “the ceasefire has been extended for another 60 days.”\n- An official U.S. statement announcing that “the United States and Iran have agreed to extend the ceasefire framework while negotiations continue.”\n- President Trump’s April 21, 2026 announcement extending the ceasefire “until the Iranian negotiators could reach a unified proposal.”\n- An announcement that the US and Iran have agreed to a new temporary framework under which the ceasefire would continue as Iran gradually reopens the Strait of Hormuz and the United States begins to unfreeze Iranian assets would qualify.\n\nThe following would not qualify:\n- Statements that the ceasefire merely “remains in effect” or “continues to hold,” without announcing a new extension, renewal, or successor agreement.\n- Statements that “the ceasefire will remain in effect while negotiations continue,” without announcing that the ceasefire itself has been extended, or a new framework or deal has been reached\n- Statements that negotiations are progressing, that talks are ongoing, or that the parties are “getting closer” to a deal, without announcing that the ceasefire itself has been extended, renewed, or continued under a new agreement.\n\nAn overwhelming consensus of credible reporting that a qualifying extension or successor agreement has been definitively established will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThis market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the U.S. government and will not require confirmation from Iran. ", + "keywords": [ + "announces", + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "agreement", + "ceasefire", + "ukraine", + "russia", + "peace", + "conflict", + "extension", + "june", + "resolve", + "officially", + "between", + "defined", + "publicly", + "announced", + "commitment" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.6, + "noPrice": 0.4, + "volume24h": 194421.55139900005, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.443Z", + "numericId": "2340844", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.045 + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xfef657b2f9ed83dd3db24c61d115203e836f9967289cd3281b6b91dcd7338104", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?", + "description": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 30, 2026\nIf Paris Saint-Germain FC wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", + "keywords": [ + "paris", + "saint", + "germain", + "upcoming", + "scheduled", + "may", + "wins", + "resolve", + "otherwise", + "postponed", + "remain", + "until", + "completed", + "canceled", + "entirely" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.41, + "noPrice": 0.58, + "volume24h": 192173.54634799986, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ucl-psg-ars-2026-05-30", + "category": "technology", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.443Z", + "numericId": "2316216", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-05-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x214093035e429b91df322bd20c55d9f611f741f67472a63f7623a9afc0cffa57", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", + "keywords": [ + "greg", + "abbott", + "republican", + "presidential", + "nomination", + "resolve", + "named", + "individual", + "wins", + "accepts", + "party", + "president", + "otherwise", + "resolution", + "source", + "consensus", + "official", + "sources", + "replacement" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 192004.04149999996, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.443Z", + "numericId": "561983", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.001, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x7876851632c295043c66536150a304cb785abdf712ba8489d298c6e6926be106", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "uruguay", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "knockout", + "stage", + "immediately" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 191018.55028799994, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.443Z", + "numericId": "558944", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x174b1224d4226b0c0c6d0ffcb8c12421d70e9b948378ff031180e5bd5b5821f3", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Taylor Ward lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the player who records the most runs batted in (RBIs) during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player that hits more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "taylor", + "ward", + "mlb", + "baseball", + "rbis", + "regular", + "season", + "resolve", + "according", + "player", + "records", + "runs", + "batted", + "during", + "event", + "tie", + "official", + "leader", + "determined", + "rules" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 190857.7, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-rbis-leader", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.443Z", + "numericId": "2037497", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0005, + "endDate": "2026-09-28" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x9b14ba5cc37a35c0db2c9849e631d98195670be4a0f91233a81529f22a7a5949", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?", + "description": "General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) ", + "keywords": [ + "carlos", + "lvarez", + "peruvian", + "presidential", + "election", + "general", + "elections", + "scheduled", + "held", + "peru", + "april", + "resolve", + "according", + "listed", + "candidate", + "wins", + "includes", + "potential", + "second", + "round" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 185991.14, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/peru-presidential-election-winner", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.443Z", + "numericId": "947271", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-04-12" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x119abe0c6b237eb1c74a9a92a6d4037d62407c1d168a75d07c52e026047a3e2f", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will James Wood lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the player who records the most runs batted in (RBIs) during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player that hits more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "james", + "wood", + "mlb", + "baseball", + "rbis", + "regular", + "season", + "resolve", + "according", + "player", + "records", + "runs", + "batted", + "during", + "event", + "tie", + "official", + "leader", + "determined", + "rules" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.02, + "noPrice": 0.98, + "volume24h": 185096, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-rbis-leader", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.443Z", + "numericId": "2037501", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0085, + "endDate": "2026-09-28" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x675bba4df50fd123f7fbfbafa67e9b75f4092d85ce0f9148ce78fc945964c856", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "paraguay", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "knockout", + "stage", + "immediately" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 184693.050495, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.443Z", + "numericId": "558956", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x223e52ae3870493f7c7bbe148fc359f113f47387dd38af3ceb3d7be5c88222ed", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will AJ Dybantsa be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed player is drafted fifth overall in the 2026 NBA Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026 NBA Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "dybantsa", + "5th", + "overall", + "pick", + "nba", + "basketball", + "draft", + "resolve", + "listed", + "player", + "drafted", + "fifth", + "otherwise", + "canceled", + "postponed", + "completed", + "july", + "resolution", + "source" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 184107, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-nba-draft-5th-overall-pick", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.443Z", + "numericId": "2167718", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0015, + "endDate": "2026-06-24" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x226e885e5380a6fd143cf8aec4d4d7ce7feece4625cc2301f450655f377f8847", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?", + "description": "The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "novak", + "djokovic", + "men's", + "french", + "scheduled", + "may", + "june", + "resolve", + "player", + "wins", + "singles", + "tournament", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "listed", + "rules", + "tournamen" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.2, + "noPrice": 0.8, + "volume24h": 183239.5030410001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-french-open-winner", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.443Z", + "numericId": "1087515", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.139, + "endDate": "2026-06-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x40e923d788caaed2066daac648f76bbf8dbf04177e248724b4103467ae66d2ff", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?", + "description": "This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "$95", + "000", + "may", + "immediately", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "during", + "month", + "specified", + "title" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 183046.90168299995, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-may-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.443Z", + "numericId": "2132774", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.002, + "endDate": "2026-06-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x67443cb1ffb2bf180f7df5b6ca7adff63f7e8e933c7e41405ba118f3e9f8befb", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "canada", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "knockout", + "stage", + "immediately" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 178913.288269, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.443Z", + "numericId": "558952", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xd72eb4440b11191d981c1ca0e4d363f42c84313067b3a29db721c6780218c2bf", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?", + "description": "This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "dip", + "$60", + "000", + "may", + "immediately", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "during", + "month", + "specified" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 177630.28946899995, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-may-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.443Z", + "numericId": "2132781", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.002, + "endDate": "2026-06-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xa4ddc18895cc7b14810283ef8f113939abffd3969c6a0e37f1897110c67e6f73", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a \"pandemic\" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a \"pandemic.\" A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "hantavirus", + "pandemic", + "resolve", + "health", + "organization", + "explicitly", + "characterizes", + "pulmonary", + "syndrome", + "hps", + "hemorrhagic", + "fever", + "renal", + "hfrs", + "related", + "outbreak", + "official", + "public", + "communication", + "between" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.06, + "noPrice": 0.94, + "volume24h": 177625.07983399986, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/hantavirus-pandemic-in-2026", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.443Z", + "numericId": "2155000", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.006, + "endDate": "2026-12-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x3f36bcb32eb74b04416fe3405966fb2dc28302a8737ddf942ede871c5f0e64d4", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 22 12:00 PM ET to May 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", + "keywords": [ + "elon", + "elon musk", + "tesla", + "spacex", + "doge", + "musk", + "post", + "260", + "279", + "tweets", + "may", + "twitter", + "x", + "resolve", + "according", + "number", + "times", + "elonmusk", + "posts", + "purposes" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 173288.02091600007, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-22-may-29", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.443Z", + "numericId": "2335042", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.003, + "endDate": "2026-05-29" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xa7962b12241616d83dcb8c70fc33aa0f48b1ec46a3ad6a23db21d3885dedc4cb", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "confirm", + "aliens", + "exist", + "june", + "resolve", + "president", + "states", + "member", + "cabinet", + "joint", + "chiefs", + "kansas city", + "nfl", + "mahomes", + "super bowl", + "staff", + "federal", + "agency", + "definitively", + "extraterrestrial" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.03, + "noPrice": 0.97, + "volume24h": 170649.654263, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.443Z", + "numericId": "2034723", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0015, + "endDate": "2026-06-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x5a59d269c2b5108cd2f64c624e46ee2c8b5cfd88b882582565f927918315b6aa", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "algeria", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "knockout", + "stage", + "immediately" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 169683.10999999996, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.443Z", + "numericId": "558969", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x713641f745d71f6ec61f906237ffca3c8583f251e49384429a63ceb0ccdb2d37", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NBA Finals based off the rules of the NBA.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.", + "keywords": [ + "york", + "knicks", + "new york", + "nba", + "basketball", + "finals", + "resolve", + "otherwise", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "team", + "based", + "rules", + "resolution", + "source" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.28, + "noPrice": 0.72, + "volume24h": 165893.562313, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-nba-champion", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.444Z", + "numericId": "553858", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.002, + "endDate": "2026-07-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x728476a5627694f75cbb945f3b8df83037f7ad939557c59d82f8990373158414", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 22 12:00 PM ET to May 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", + "keywords": [ + "elon", + "elon musk", + "tesla", + "spacex", + "doge", + "musk", + "post", + "220", + "239", + "tweets", + "may", + "twitter", + "x", + "resolve", + "according", + "number", + "times", + "elonmusk", + "posts", + "purposes" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 162654.34360800002, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-22-may-29", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.444Z", + "numericId": "2335040", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0485, + "endDate": "2026-05-29" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xd10bc768ede58b53ed400594240b0a0603134a32dab89ec823a18759cbc180ca", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", + "keywords": [ + "rand", + "paul", + "republican", + "presidential", + "nomination", + "resolve", + "named", + "individual", + "wins", + "accepts", + "party", + "president", + "otherwise", + "resolution", + "source", + "consensus", + "official", + "sources", + "replacement" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 162072.522417, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.444Z", + "numericId": "562000", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xfd6176f8c9a59105f80e060a77c4099881c5f2d9e0ceab88e55cf978462fab7f", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?", + "description": "The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.\n\nThis market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.", + "keywords": [ + "gretchen", + "whitmer", + "presidential", + "election", + "scheduled", + "november", + "resolve", + "person", + "wins", + "resolution", + "source", + "associated", + "press", + "fox", + "news", + "nbc", + "three", + "sources", + "cal" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 160101.00469499998, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.444Z", + "numericId": "561236", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xff0cfa9506cfa95759e4c7591654195bd26e3011f9882b51439135e04f2b69f1", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "tunisia", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "knockout", + "stage", + "immediately" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 158505.44899999996, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.444Z", + "numericId": "558954", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x51a7c8afb7a0e09b8b47643171d90f400de23a176c4ea06f6552d6e53213839c", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Iran closes its airspace by June 30?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN).\n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14/) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iranian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14/). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/iran-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz/3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https://www.intellinews.com/iran-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997/).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.", + "keywords": [ + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "closes", + "airspace", + "june", + "resolve", + "initiates", + "closure", + "solely", + "due", + "weather", + "conditions", + "listed", + "date", + "otherwise", + "defined", + "broad", + "cancellation" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.27, + "noPrice": 0.73, + "volume24h": 155491.55289800002, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-closes-its-airspace-by", + "category": "technology", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.444Z", + "numericId": "2241742", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0105, + "endDate": "2026-06-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xc0a3218acbbaa885ef983e23f09bd627c44e1b1daaf2311f598aa96b522ea0b3", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Pepe be included in Portugal's official 2026 World Cup squad list?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is announced as a member of the listed nation’s official squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly full squad announcements will be considered. Prior cut lists or previous squad lists other than the officially announced squad lists will not be considered.\n\nIf a player is officially announced as part of the squad but is replaced before the nation’s first game for any reason, the corresponding market will still resolve “Yes”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the listed player cannot be confirmed as a part of the listed nation’s official squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "pepe", + "memecoin", + "crypto", + "included", + "portugal's", + "official", + "squad", + "list", + "world cup", + "soccer", + "football", + "fifa", + "resolve", + "listed", + "player", + "announced", + "member", + "nation", + "june", + "otherwise" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 153397.838388, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-player-to-make-portugal-squad", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.444Z", + "numericId": "2119561", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.462 + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x90b5dfc170c3ac17fdddf2e12f89cd51433283e3a518aa3321d7c3ef7e684439", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 22 12:00 PM ET to May 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", + "keywords": [ + "elon", + "elon musk", + "tesla", + "spacex", + "doge", + "musk", + "post", + "240", + "259", + "tweets", + "may", + "twitter", + "x", + "resolve", + "according", + "number", + "times", + "elonmusk", + "posts", + "purposes" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 152512.00815700006, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-22-may-29", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.444Z", + "numericId": "2335041", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.012, + "endDate": "2026-05-29" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x9cd77217b2ab264fe4f6d302f662c0a91f349fe5798f1f98d70bb2311712791b", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", + "keywords": [ + "tulsi", + "gabbard", + "republican", + "presidential", + "nomination", + "resolve", + "named", + "individual", + "wins", + "accepts", + "party", + "president", + "otherwise", + "resolution", + "source", + "consensus", + "official", + "sources", + "replacement" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 151427.521766, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.444Z", + "numericId": "561976", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.002, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x828aaec481308550a867fff3bd1e497ca1ebb5998fcf1fb40aaa4abfeb85db26", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point after market creation during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final \"High\" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIf the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. \n\nPer CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).\n\nThe active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.\n\nFor example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.\n\nIf the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.\n\nIn the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures \"High\" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the \"t=\" parameter.", + "keywords": [ + "wti", + "oil", + "crude", + "energy", + "$130", + "may", + "resolve", + "point", + "creation", + "during", + "minute", + "candle", + "active", + "month", + "futures", + "equal", + "listed", + "otherwise", + "prices", + "used" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 150034.489858, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-wti-hit-in-may-2026", + "category": "climate", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.444Z", + "numericId": "2074235", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.002, + "endDate": "2026-06-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x625d0091f4c647e5497bd9b03f8526bd486d6c339380b8046e4dd5b3373046b7", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the \"Gross\" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. \n\nNote: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.\n\nIn the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.\n\nIf there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.", + "keywords": [ + "hunger", + "sunrise", + "reaping", + "grossing", + "movie", + "film", + "cinema", + "box office", + "resolve", + "according", + "title", + "highest", + "gross", + "column", + "https", + "www", + "boxofficemojo", + "com", + "year", + "grossesoption" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 148184.473198, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-grossing-movie-in-2026", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.444Z", + "numericId": "678415", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-12-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xb4067f81957ef1458e9712000807a4525c595f3c25a0c933ec2f69c0efb2e878", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States agrees to Iran charging fees on ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIran charging fees on ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz refers to U.S. acceptance of Iran imposing tolls, transit fees, passage charges, or other mandatory payments on commercial vessels in exchange for transit through the Strait of Hormuz.\n\nThe United States will be considered to have agreed to Iran charging such fees if:\n- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States has definitively agreed to accept Iran charging such fees on ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz.\n- Iran charging such fees is included as part of a treaty or deal formally established between the United States and Iran, including through signing or other formal means.\n\nAgreement refers to an explicit acceptance, authorization, or consent to the specified action. Only announcements of definitive agreement will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.\n\nAny definitive agreement or commitment made before the resolution date will qualify, regardless of when or whether the specified action is implemented.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of an announcement or formal agreement.", + "keywords": [ + "trump", + "president", + "potus", + "administration", + "gop", + "republican", + "agree", + "iranian", + "transit", + "fees", + "strait", + "hormuz", + "may", + "resolve", + "states", + "agrees", + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 144369.40853000002, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-iranian-demands-will-trump-agree-to-by-may-31", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.444Z", + "numericId": "2111563", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.006, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xa1d97efb8a19de58d995edf58b882c4f99ef356c8a564af8daf888a7610edea1", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\n“No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.\n\nTemporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.\n\nAn announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.\n\nIf control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.\n\nIf control over Kharg Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.", + "keywords": [ + "kharg", + "island", + "longer", + "iranian", + "control", + "may", + "resolve", + "otherwise", + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "means", + "exercises", + "primary", + "governmental", + "military" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 143769.98186400006, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-march-31", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.444Z", + "numericId": "1708109", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.004, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x2dba5d6bcf0ad364a444985f07286ebf2dc5bc0ee7989ef1227d14c245e301fb", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open?", + "description": "The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "ben", + "shelton", + "men's", + "french", + "scheduled", + "may", + "june", + "resolve", + "player", + "wins", + "singles", + "tournament", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "listed", + "rules", + "tournamen" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 139784.78944100003, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-french-open-winner", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.444Z", + "numericId": "1087524", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0075, + "endDate": "2026-06-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x03b23a1490694676dfd3bde4f73069994cd7da9b84225b3e09603f12fda95b0c", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 22 12:00 PM ET to May 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", + "keywords": [ + "elon", + "elon musk", + "tesla", + "spacex", + "doge", + "musk", + "post", + "200", + "219", + "tweets", + "may", + "twitter", + "x", + "resolve", + "according", + "number", + "times", + "elonmusk", + "posts", + "purposes" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.02, + "noPrice": 0.98, + "volume24h": 137783.411845, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-22-may-29", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.444Z", + "numericId": "2335039", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.2015, + "endDate": "2026-05-29" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xb60c044bba6f7958768691345df1e102448a5b7ef16e4a08879bb10483fb4567", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Neymar da Silva Santos Júnior takes the field as a player in at least one official match for Brazil during the 2026 FIFA World Cup at the group stage or later. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAny on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "neymar", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "silva", + "santos", + "nior", + "takes", + "field", + "player", + "one", + "official", + "match", + "brazil", + "during", + "group", + "stage", + "later" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.81, + "noPrice": 0.19, + "volume24h": 137542.83729999996, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-neymar-play-in-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-for-brazil", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.444Z", + "numericId": "1630444", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.1, + "endDate": "2026-07-19" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x5f5818ceb3712f771cd0de79809f65965be7734db51f533eccd58953e0efacfc", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point after market creation during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final \"High\" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIf the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. \n\nPer CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).\n\nThe active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.\n\nFor example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.\n\nIf the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.\n\nIn the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures \"High\" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the \"t=\" parameter.", + "keywords": [ + "wti", + "oil", + "crude", + "energy", + "$100", + "may", + "resolve", + "point", + "creation", + "during", + "minute", + "candle", + "active", + "month", + "futures", + "equal", + "listed", + "otherwise", + "prices", + "used" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.04, + "noPrice": 0.96, + "volume24h": 135273.767785, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-wti-hit-in-may-2026", + "category": "climate", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.444Z", + "numericId": "2361880", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.033, + "endDate": "2026-06-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x4bab360a81b57047b48c0dd7c6c1377706129e3e6b9fa3f079cc28d310ec4cec", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point after market creation during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final \"High\" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIf the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. \n\nPer CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).\n\nThe active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.\n\nFor example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.\n\nIf the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.\n\nIn the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures \"High\" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the \"t=\" parameter.", + "keywords": [ + "wti", + "oil", + "crude", + "energy", + "$110", + "may", + "resolve", + "point", + "creation", + "during", + "minute", + "candle", + "active", + "month", + "futures", + "equal", + "listed", + "otherwise", + "prices", + "used" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 133565.6383430001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-wti-hit-in-may-2026", + "category": "climate", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.444Z", + "numericId": "2074237", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.011, + "endDate": "2026-06-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x267975d92c61b90f2f11fd3caeef468bb8ffaf574c46adee92f9ce4118ac8dc4", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 22 12:00 PM ET to May 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", + "keywords": [ + "elon", + "elon musk", + "tesla", + "spacex", + "doge", + "musk", + "post", + "160", + "179", + "tweets", + "may", + "twitter", + "x", + "resolve", + "according", + "number", + "times", + "elonmusk", + "posts", + "purposes" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.67, + "noPrice": 0.33, + "volume24h": 129362.83365699991, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-22-may-29", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.444Z", + "numericId": "2335037", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.4555, + "endDate": "2026-05-29" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x3ded5a5738cdcb0a0c5cbaf2023a4aed7e837a20bbe0a57accc4abd04ad63809", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Trump out as President by May 31?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.\n\nA sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", + "keywords": [ + "trump", + "president", + "potus", + "administration", + "gop", + "republican", + "may", + "resolve", + "donald", + "resigns", + "removed", + "otherwise", + "ceases", + "states", + "period", + "announcement", + "trump's", + "resignation", + "removal" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 129257.355409, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-out-as-president-by-may-31", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.444Z", + "numericId": "2097472", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.001, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xf526b2fbff94ae996818e76c8b54cc99ffbfa0a1a9972a48253ada65e32786f7", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. officially announces an extension of the ceasefire agreement between the U.S. and Iran, defined as a publicly announced commitment to the continued halt of direct military engagement with Iran or announces a new peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue by the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf a qualifying announcement is officially made before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire extension ultimately takes effect.\n\nA qualifying announcement requires clear public confirmation from the U.S. government that the U.S. has either:\n\n1. Extended its commitment to the ceasefire, either as a dated/time-based extension (e.g. a 60 day extension) or through an explicit statement that the ceasefire has been extended.\n\n2. Renewed the existing ceasefire as part of a broader peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue.\n\nStatements which merely acknowledge, reaffirm, or describe the current ceasefire as remaining in effect, or which outline further negotiations or de-escalation measures, without announcing a new extension period, or successor agreement under which the ceasefire will continue, will not qualify.\n\nThe following would qualify:\n- President Trump announcing that “the ceasefire has been extended for another 60 days.”\n- An official U.S. statement announcing that “the United States and Iran have agreed to extend the ceasefire framework while negotiations continue.”\n- President Trump’s April 21, 2026 announcement extending the ceasefire “until the Iranian negotiators could reach a unified proposal.”\n- An announcement that the US and Iran have agreed to a new temporary framework under which the ceasefire would continue as Iran gradually reopens the Strait of Hormuz and the United States begins to unfreeze Iranian assets would qualify.\n\nThe following would not qualify:\n- Statements that the ceasefire merely “remains in effect” or “continues to hold,” without announcing a new extension, renewal, or successor agreement.\n- Statements that “the ceasefire will remain in effect while negotiations continue,” without announcing that the ceasefire itself has been extended, or a new framework or deal has been reached\n- Statements that negotiations are progressing, that talks are ongoing, or that the parties are “getting closer” to a deal, without announcing that the ceasefire itself has been extended, renewed, or continued under a new agreement.\n\nAn overwhelming consensus of credible reporting that a qualifying extension or successor agreement has been definitively established will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThis market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the U.S. government and will not require confirmation from Iran. ", + "keywords": [ + "announces", + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "agreement", + "ceasefire", + "ukraine", + "russia", + "peace", + "conflict", + "extension", + "june", + "resolve", + "officially", + "between", + "defined", + "publicly", + "announced", + "commitment" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.43, + "noPrice": 0.56, + "volume24h": 128388.25105199992, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.445Z", + "numericId": "2364500", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.02, + "endDate": "2026-06-03" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x12587fe0cd6aa29260510a658db7d3e03de052bbc9d77ec29fbc4579a0999db1", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?", + "description": "This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "$90", + "000", + "may", + "immediately", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "during", + "month", + "specified", + "title" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 127599.29408699999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-may-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.445Z", + "numericId": "2132775", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0005, + "endDate": "2026-06-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xc587bda904f031a973ad3cb57128ca011bfab0f45e6cb3734ed2227c4d4be419", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election", + "description": "The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.", + "keywords": [ + "hoon", + "seoul", + "mayoral", + "election", + "scheduled", + "june", + "elect", + "mayor", + "resolve", + "according", + "listed", + "candidate", + "wins", + "result", + "isn't", + "known", + "january" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.21, + "noPrice": 0.79, + "volume24h": 125976.71283899996, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-seoul-mayoral-election-winner", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.445Z", + "numericId": "678929", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.015, + "endDate": "2026-06-03" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x5f3b3456b2d6ef0d6f15d7492162725057be78d738d2465456e2835f1d89046c", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", + "keywords": [ + "pete", + "hegseth", + "republican", + "presidential", + "nomination", + "resolve", + "named", + "individual", + "wins", + "accepts", + "party", + "president", + "otherwise", + "resolution", + "source", + "consensus", + "official", + "sources", + "replacement" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 125963.41408500001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.445Z", + "numericId": "562008", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x965ebc5d79eb1ec02cad67245a44b9e45b33359018f013fb6cf81d5bbf7bcc8d", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "uzbekistan", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "knockout", + "stage", + "immediately" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 125062, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.445Z", + "numericId": "558960", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x098e2be3df8ab529940c567819f8ef007cf007820e9d627642a5bbfaa42af372", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "australia", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "knockout", + "stage", + "immediately" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 124025.30600000007, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.445Z", + "numericId": "558958", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x59a37ea3830d532957b04d3c437a329e14a5dc840096d48c7ee4b55ba3d9cca8", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point after market creation during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final \"Low\" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIf the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. \n\nPer CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).\n\nThe active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.\n\nFor example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.\n\nIf the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.\n\nIn the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures \"Low\" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the \"t=\" parameter.", + "keywords": [ + "wti", + "oil", + "crude", + "energy", + "low", + "$85", + "may", + "resolve", + "point", + "creation", + "during", + "minute", + "candle", + "active", + "month", + "futures", + "equal", + "listed", + "otherwise", + "prices" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.24, + "noPrice": 0.76, + "volume24h": 122464.79668400002, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-wti-hit-in-may-2026", + "category": "climate", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.445Z", + "numericId": "2132637", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.13, + "endDate": "2026-06-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xb6b3d7a2037b3faa7e1306d741840d453432902d73cc9a146a035e40271eae73", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NBA Finals based off the rules of the NBA.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.", + "keywords": [ + "san", + "antonio", + "spurs", + "nba", + "basketball", + "finals", + "resolve", + "otherwise", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "team", + "based", + "rules", + "resolution", + "source" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.16, + "noPrice": 0.84, + "volume24h": 121707.98435799997, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-nba-champion", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.445Z", + "numericId": "553866", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.006, + "endDate": "2026-07-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x394b2be88763473da1df0943c934cfdc06cd33dea1c883cb178bfc56eb3a5c52", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.", + "keywords": [ + "toni", + "atkins", + "california", + "governor", + "election", + "resolve", + "according", + "candidate", + "wins", + "gubernatorial", + "currently", + "scheduled", + "november", + "results", + "confirmed", + "july", + "resolution", + "source" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 120498.14849999995, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-election-2026", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.445Z", + "numericId": "628945", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.001, + "endDate": "2026-11-03" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x5c19f205507ce03ff5f3be08a8090a5969ea6870cc07b902a4ca2e61dfe48fdd", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries.\n\nA broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.\n\nAny form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement.\n\nOnly agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify.\n\nIf a qualifying agreement is officially reached before this market’s end date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire agreement officially takes effect after that date.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.", + "keywords": [ + "russia", + "ukraine", + "war", + "nato", + "zelensky", + "ceasefire", + "peace", + "conflict", + "agreement", + "december", + "resolve", + "there", + "between", + "specified", + "date", + "otherwise", + "refers", + "mutually", + "agreed", + "suspension" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.44, + "noPrice": 0.56, + "volume24h": 119078.32271800001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-agreement-by", + "category": "technology", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.445Z", + "numericId": "2243897", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.005, + "endDate": "2026-12-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x8e7a03cb1970e2ad6533b01892403516b6b3f5b5fa90ed7d104c28b27e40ba00", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if MicroStrategy sells any of its Bitcoin by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from MSTR and on-chain data, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "microstrategy", + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "mstr", + "saylor", + "sells", + "crypto", + "june", + "resolve", + "date", + "specified", + "title", + "otherwise", + "primary", + "resolution", + "source", + "information", + "chain", + "data", + "however" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.54, + "noPrice": 0.46, + "volume24h": 118560.07172300009, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/microstrategy-sell-any-bitcoin-in-2025", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.445Z", + "numericId": "692258", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.013, + "endDate": "2026-07-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x0426ffe343ca645d75c92613a323ead7cf50cf3cc69d41ebcb02343b100af792", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?", + "description": "On April 12, 2026, President Donald Trump announced that the United States will blockade the Strait of Hormuz. You can read more about that here: https://www.nbcnews.com/world/iran/live-blog/live-updates-us-iran-fail-reach-deal-peace-talks-day-negotiations-rcna315918.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces the end of the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nQualifying statements must clearly and explicitly indicate that the United States has lifted, ended, or will lift or end its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on a specified date or use equivalently definitive language unambiguously signaling that such blockade has ceased or is set to cease on a specified date (e.g., statements unambiguously indicating that US naval activity in the relevant area has ceased will qualify). \n\nStatements that merely describe actions inconsistent with the blockade (e.g., \"Iran resumed shipping through the Strait of Hormuz\") without explicitly indicating the blockade as lifted will not alone suffice.\n\nInformal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.\n\nWritten public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nNote: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the blockade is effectively enforced or whether maritime traffic resumes absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered.", + "keywords": [ + "donald", + "trump", + "president", + "potus", + "administration", + "gop", + "republican", + "announce", + "states", + "blockade", + "strait", + "hormuz", + "lifted", + "may", + "donald trump", + "april", + "announced", + "you", + "can", + "read" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.03, + "noPrice": 0.97, + "volume24h": 117160.68501599999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-announces-us-blockade-of-hormuz-lifted-by", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.445Z", + "numericId": "2354022", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.022, + "endDate": "2026-05-28" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x9ff2629945e6172d14c3d29cf573345544a13eceabd5d857a4caee7b8ba5c37d", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?", + "description": "This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.", + "keywords": [ + "ethereum", + "eth", + "crypto", + "dip", + "800", + "may", + "immediately", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "during", + "month", + "specified", + "title" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.03, + "noPrice": 0.97, + "volume24h": 116706.83103700001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-may-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.445Z", + "numericId": "2132800", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0015, + "endDate": "2026-06-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xba748fe5b263077b102337ad026180a998a230996a8b108e6d0418b869e7529d", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "dip", + "$72", + "500", + "may", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "creation", + "through", + "month", + "specified" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.6, + "noPrice": 0.4, + "volume24h": 116291.82780199999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-may-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.445Z", + "numericId": "2365528", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.355, + "endDate": "2026-06-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x6cb3ec9e0fb1c258898f648f8b33422f59ba3e8a71aee551449d7cb147bb8ead", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.\n\nTo qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors).\n\nAny agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.\n\nAgreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", + "keywords": [ + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "agrees", + "surrender", + "enriched", + "uranium", + "stockpile", + "june", + "resolve", + "publicly", + "otherwise", + "official", + "pledge", + "qualify", + "resolution" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.2, + "noPrice": 0.8, + "volume24h": 115351.65405900004, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-agrees-to-surrender-enriched-uranium-stockpile-by", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.445Z", + "numericId": "1731345", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.03, + "endDate": "2026-06-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x4998a7c5897df3b9dd879cec4f62ca776cd608eacd271ffb375a84f20f4f3d9c", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?", + "description": "This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "dip", + "$55", + "000", + "may", + "immediately", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "during", + "month", + "specified" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 114434.13448600001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-may-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.445Z", + "numericId": "2132782", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.002, + "endDate": "2026-06-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xb8e6d129a06d0ccb21d7b32eb529ea455eddba3cf29bfa097112202cbdf5bf21", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for July 31, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.", + "keywords": [ + "strait", + "hormuz", + "traffic", + "returns", + "normal", + "july", + "resolve", + "imf", + "portwatch", + "publishes", + "moving", + "average", + "transit", + "calls", + "arrivals", + "ships", + "equal", + "date", + "between", + "creation" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.58, + "noPrice": 0.42, + "volume24h": 111330.11109, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31", + "category": "technology", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.445Z", + "numericId": "2176262", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.045, + "endDate": "2026-07-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xe81351003837800d495a43eab50a2739701dab05142cccb901fbf4ee339fd4fd", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Men's French Open?", + "description": "The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "francisco", + "cerundolo", + "men's", + "french", + "scheduled", + "may", + "june", + "resolve", + "player", + "wins", + "singles", + "tournament", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "listed", + "rules", + "tournamen" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.05, + "noPrice": 0.95, + "volume24h": 111164.27246300002, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-french-open-winner", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.445Z", + "numericId": "1087525", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0425, + "endDate": "2026-06-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x8f91c4c2c32dc4d04c94f0daffef20ff2e2b9fa1331c4304c8b9bb8763bcbfc4", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "$66", + "000", + "may", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "timezone", + "noon", + "date", + "specified", + "title" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.99, + "noPrice": 0.01, + "volume24h": 110359.285254, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-may-29-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.446Z", + "numericId": "2361671", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-05-29" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x9772347ce628f4427ab437333679512aba5a98a4d14ff2a138f99fe7a40ba5fe", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? ", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.\n\nAny agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.\n\nAn agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).\n\nAn agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.", + "keywords": [ + "ukraine", + "russia", + "war", + "nato", + "zelensky", + "agrees", + "join", + "alliance", + "military", + "europe", + "june", + "resolve", + "publicly", + "otherwise", + "official", + "pledge", + "qualify", + "resolution", + "unilateral", + "announcement" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.04, + "noPrice": 0.96, + "volume24h": 109665.502004, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ukraine-agrees-not-to-join-nato-by-june-30", + "category": "technology", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.446Z", + "numericId": "956980", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0005, + "endDate": "2026-06-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x5e089a21727a0489815da27050cafacabf7d8d322a22e0295dd874dc939f6f75", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-05-28?", + "description": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 28, 2026\nIf Republic of Ireland wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.", + "keywords": [ + "republic", + "ireland", + "upcoming", + "scheduled", + "may", + "wins", + "resolve", + "otherwise", + "postponed", + "remain", + "until", + "completed", + "canceled", + "entirely" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.73, + "noPrice": 0.27, + "volume24h": 108941.82559399997, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fif-ire-qat-2026-05-28", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.446Z", + "numericId": "2132441", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.15, + "endDate": "2026-05-28" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x46dfefc64a6bb8ce86834da275e4265b865664bab4e9fa4ec99bd4b58d527721", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Brandon Lowe lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the player who records the most runs batted in (RBIs) during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player that hits more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "brandon", + "lowe", + "mlb", + "baseball", + "rbis", + "regular", + "season", + "resolve", + "according", + "player", + "records", + "runs", + "batted", + "during", + "event", + "tie", + "official", + "leader", + "determined", + "rules" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.02, + "noPrice": 0.98, + "volume24h": 108822, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-rbis-leader", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.446Z", + "numericId": "2037511", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0035, + "endDate": "2026-09-28" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x4786c0fc83466a567a3269de1ae6fd8270b93cff2c952dd4c63a3f483853a175", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Men's French Open?", + "description": "The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "alex", + "minaur", + "men's", + "french", + "scheduled", + "may", + "june", + "resolve", + "player", + "wins", + "singles", + "tournament", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "listed", + "rules", + "tournamen" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.03, + "noPrice": 0.97, + "volume24h": 108301.76617499998, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-french-open-winner", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.446Z", + "numericId": "1087531", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.021, + "endDate": "2026-06-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x24e67fb509df7efecc1840008153634d4852c0d2725d0a6c13f2e60beb2f2e2f", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?", + "description": "The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "joao", + "fonseca", + "men's", + "french", + "scheduled", + "may", + "june", + "resolve", + "player", + "wins", + "singles", + "tournament", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "listed", + "rules", + "tournamen" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.03, + "noPrice": 0.97, + "volume24h": 107567.16573899995, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-french-open-winner", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.446Z", + "numericId": "1087516", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.022, + "endDate": "2026-06-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x9a87a0011494682e4d17a9073059cbbd32ebea4bbc7284219afb5e9a6b4ca8f6", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?", + "description": "Project Freedom was a U.S.-led military initiative to escort commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the Strait of Hormuz will qualify.\n\nOnly definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, expressions of openness, reported preparations, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.\n\nAny qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced program goes into effect.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "trump", + "president", + "potus", + "administration", + "gop", + "republican", + "restart", + "project", + "freedom", + "may", + "led", + "military", + "initiative", + "escort", + "commercial", + "ships", + "through", + "strait", + "hormuz", + "resolve" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.1, + "noPrice": 0.9, + "volume24h": 107158.03479199999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-restart-project-freedom-by", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.446Z", + "numericId": "2244268", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0275, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x502a94e5c525766d5ee7f16c6568131ba1b2cbadb69c703af05a6ef00336ed64", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?", + "description": "Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.", + "keywords": [ + "russia", + "gain", + "seats", + "russian", + "parliamentary", + "election", + "elections", + "scheduled", + "held", + "september", + "resolve", + "according", + "political", + "party", + "gains", + "greatest", + "number", + "state", + "duma", + "compared" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.57, + "noPrice": 0.43, + "volume24h": 106217.515701, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-gain-most-seats-in-russian-parliamentary-election", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.446Z", + "numericId": "1130012", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.02, + "endDate": "2026-09-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x4788c5625061cf39da5265dec7d29103d5c8adf774d49b1ffae9025c4563dc9a", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point after market creation during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final \"High\" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIf the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. \n\nPer CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).\n\nThe active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.\n\nFor example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.\n\nIf the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.\n\nIn the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures \"High\" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the \"t=\" parameter.", + "keywords": [ + "wti", + "oil", + "crude", + "energy", + "$105", + "may", + "resolve", + "point", + "creation", + "during", + "minute", + "candle", + "active", + "month", + "futures", + "equal", + "listed", + "otherwise", + "prices", + "used" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.02, + "noPrice": 0.98, + "volume24h": 105541.72034000001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-wti-hit-in-may-2026", + "category": "climate", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.446Z", + "numericId": "2322404", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.026, + "endDate": "2026-06-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x36b97e8e982e7ffc316526077c0fb30aa97e9ddb32961596e114576a17719df2", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?", + "description": "This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", + "keywords": [ + "saudi", + "saudi arabia", + "oil", + "opec", + "aramco", + "largest", + "company", + "cap", + "june", + "resolve", + "resolution", + "source", + "consensus", + "credible", + "reporting" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 104865.141, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/largest-company-end-of-june-712", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.446Z", + "numericId": "631186", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-06-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x3fb8a8de2ac275882d72b2c4f22d41776fcf033f9e413a77a84dd395c0d5257c", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "saudi", + "saudi arabia", + "oil", + "opec", + "arabia", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 104285.09, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.446Z", + "numericId": "558972", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xfee07be730188c94cd3644ed6f107fa3ea2dfab9989ce8d39aeeae064766abe3", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", + "keywords": [ + "jon", + "stewart", + "democratic", + "presidential", + "nomination", + "resolve", + "named", + "individual", + "wins", + "accepts", + "party", + "president", + "otherwise", + "resolution", + "source", + "consensus", + "official", + "sources", + "replacement" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.02, + "noPrice": 0.98, + "volume24h": 103706.49399900001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.446Z", + "numericId": "559675", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.004, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x4f61a39a39d5be042ae73f2b814e525789edb29c9a7b012fc6733f87192ce4b2", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?", + "description": "This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "$100", + "000", + "may", + "immediately", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "during", + "month", + "specified", + "title" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 103514.64892499999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-may-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.446Z", + "numericId": "2132773", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.001, + "endDate": "2026-06-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x7279005cdc5f4533b0cf53ce94a6c4fd43039c721ba39a3ad02dddacabd47d93", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "chicago", + "white", + "sox", + "series", + "resolve", + "according", + "team", + "wins", + "mlb", + "baseball", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "listed", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "playoffs", + "corresponding" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 103025.094209, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-world-series-champion-2026", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.446Z", + "numericId": "1235553", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.002, + "endDate": "2026-10-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x957ddc82dc11959c5e6940b0239aecc050230c5b6ce8673bff21c14fe74bcb6e", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.", + "keywords": [ + "eric", + "swalwell", + "california", + "governor", + "election", + "resolve", + "according", + "candidate", + "wins", + "gubernatorial", + "currently", + "scheduled", + "november", + "results", + "confirmed", + "july", + "resolution", + "source" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 102985.62700000001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-election-2026", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.446Z", + "numericId": "628954", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.001, + "endDate": "2026-11-03" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x054725b2a7971376f7924a7021221b12acc50fe78d97817824fe411704d5b5a2", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", + "description": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", + "keywords": [ + "romeu", + "zema", + "brazilian", + "presidential", + "election", + "scheduled", + "brazil", + "october", + "resolve", + "according", + "listed", + "candidate", + "wins", + "includes", + "potential", + "second", + "round", + "result", + "isn't", + "known" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.03, + "noPrice": 0.97, + "volume24h": 102429.329901, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.446Z", + "numericId": "601828", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.007, + "endDate": "2026-10-04" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x018b3300ac367451ac9282425942e775f1015bb3c72b8a483153593bdb550b6e", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?", + "description": "The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "casper", + "ruud", + "men's", + "french", + "scheduled", + "may", + "june", + "resolve", + "player", + "wins", + "singles", + "tournament", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "listed", + "rules", + "tournamen" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.11, + "noPrice": 0.89, + "volume24h": 101402.11612599998, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-french-open-winner", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.446Z", + "numericId": "1087520", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.072, + "endDate": "2026-06-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x046941ddc09a5420aae85108b94bec3e1d7a3290b4144346cfc37e125282f958", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.", + "keywords": [ + "rick", + "caruso", + "california", + "governor", + "election", + "resolve", + "according", + "candidate", + "wins", + "gubernatorial", + "currently", + "scheduled", + "november", + "results", + "confirmed", + "july", + "resolution", + "source" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 99781.857, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-election-2026", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.446Z", + "numericId": "628936", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.001, + "endDate": "2026-11-03" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xd8195102c18d2ef98346dddef8ba23d00e147c5c0ea0f15fb924ac28a471ce0c", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 22 12:00 PM ET to May 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", + "keywords": [ + "elon", + "elon musk", + "tesla", + "spacex", + "doge", + "musk", + "post", + "180", + "199", + "tweets", + "may", + "twitter", + "x", + "resolve", + "according", + "number", + "times", + "elonmusk", + "posts", + "purposes" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.28, + "noPrice": 0.72, + "volume24h": 99427.60928799992, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-22-may-29", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.446Z", + "numericId": "2335038", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.195, + "endDate": "2026-05-29" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x09148e8a5260a4c40aceb29badc45845fe08330497756bfcc1017c478c28bb65", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.\n\nAny agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. \n\nAgreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. ", + "keywords": [ + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "agrees", + "enrichment", + "uranium", + "may", + "resolve", + "publicly", + "otherwise", + "official", + "pledge", + "qualify", + "resolution", + "unilateral", + "announcement" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.09, + "noPrice": 0.91, + "volume24h": 98933.91732700003, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-by-may-31-945", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.446Z", + "numericId": "2111624", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0215, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xb91be12388b3d4079c3ed9b5783cb42d8c33051d37746a49300227e0f45fc089", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", + "keywords": [ + "james", + "talarico", + "democratic", + "presidential", + "nomination", + "resolve", + "named", + "individual", + "wins", + "accepts", + "party", + "president", + "otherwise", + "resolution", + "source", + "consensus", + "official", + "sources", + "replacement" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.02, + "noPrice": 0.98, + "volume24h": 98511.65268099999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.446Z", + "numericId": "559695", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.001, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x0fb006e0c06caa4db12f7e30ec8c2483d658f83eb57b2ee8eb478e39beca3dfd", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?", + "description": "Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).", + "keywords": [ + "ivan", + "cepeda", + "castro", + "colombian", + "presidential", + "election", + "colombia's", + "elections", + "scheduled", + "may", + "second", + "round", + "required", + "june", + "case", + "candidate", + "secures", + "valid", + "votes", + "resolve" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.34, + "noPrice": 0.67, + "volume24h": 97725.27429300002, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/colombia-presidential-election", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.446Z", + "numericId": "569368", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.03, + "endDate": "2026-06-21" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xb03509e2e8b492b3ff06da25ba298dd86cb94356995487405e6c98404da5d961", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. officially announces an extension of the ceasefire agreement between the U.S. and Iran, defined as a publicly announced commitment to the continued halt of direct military engagement with Iran or announces a new peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue by the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf a qualifying announcement is officially made before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire extension ultimately takes effect.\n\nA qualifying announcement requires clear public confirmation from the U.S. government that the U.S. has either:\n\n1. Extended its commitment to the ceasefire, either as a dated/time-based extension (e.g. a 60 day extension) or through an explicit statement that the ceasefire has been extended.\n\n2. Renewed the existing ceasefire as part of a broader peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue.\n\nStatements which merely acknowledge, reaffirm, or describe the current ceasefire as remaining in effect, or which outline further negotiations or de-escalation measures, without announcing a new extension period, or successor agreement under which the ceasefire will continue, will not qualify.\n\nThe following would qualify:\n- President Trump announcing that “the ceasefire has been extended for another 60 days.”\n- An official U.S. statement announcing that “the United States and Iran have agreed to extend the ceasefire framework while negotiations continue.”\n- President Trump’s April 21, 2026 announcement extending the ceasefire “until the Iranian negotiators could reach a unified proposal.”\n- An announcement that the US and Iran have agreed to a new temporary framework under which the ceasefire would continue as Iran gradually reopens the Strait of Hormuz and the United States begins to unfreeze Iranian assets would qualify.\n\nThe following would not qualify:\n- Statements that the ceasefire merely “remains in effect” or “continues to hold,” without announcing a new extension, renewal, or successor agreement.\n- Statements that “the ceasefire will remain in effect while negotiations continue,” without announcing that the ceasefire itself has been extended, or a new framework or deal has been reached\n- Statements that negotiations are progressing, that talks are ongoing, or that the parties are “getting closer” to a deal, without announcing that the ceasefire itself has been extended, renewed, or continued under a new agreement.\n\nAn overwhelming consensus of credible reporting that a qualifying extension or successor agreement has been definitively established will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThis market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the U.S. government and will not require confirmation from Iran. ", + "keywords": [ + "announces", + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "agreement", + "ceasefire", + "ukraine", + "russia", + "peace", + "conflict", + "extension", + "may", + "resolve", + "officially", + "between", + "defined", + "publicly", + "announced", + "commitment" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.21, + "noPrice": 0.79, + "volume24h": 97590.066284, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.446Z", + "numericId": "2364499", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.02, + "endDate": "2026-05-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xb582fa41361aa4c9faea522e821cf0ec09783594fca42ef6c8aceb14445eafec", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?", + "description": "On February 28, 2026, a nationwide internet blackout began in Iran amid military engagement with the United States and Israel.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if internet access in Iran is restored by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nFor purposes of this market, internet access will be considered restored only if either of the following conditions is satisfied.\n\n1. Internet access will be considered restored if there is a clear, broad, and unambiguous consensus of credible international reporting stating that general internet connectivity has been restored for a majority of people in Iran and across most common applications, and that such connectivity has been sustained for at least 24 consecutive hours. Reporting describing planned restorations, gradual easing, partial reconnection, access limited to specific regions, networks, user groups, or applications, or access restricted to filtered, throttled, or government-controlled networks will not qualify. The reporting must explicitly indicate that normal international internet access has materially resumed.\n\n2. Alternatively, internet access will be considered restored only if both of the following requirements are met.\n\n- According to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, the “Outage” annotation associated with the nationwide internet shutdown must cease to apply to newly published hourly data points for at least 24 consecutive hours in the “Traffic trends” chart for the last 4 weeks. During this same period, the same chart must show a clear increase in either Total bytes or HTTP bytes relative to the outage period, indicating a meaningful restoration of internet traffic. Only the first of the consecutive qualifying hourly data points must occur before the market’s resolution time. If necessary to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until all qualifying data points are observed.\n\n- In addition, NetBlocks must report that the Iranian national internet outage has been resolved, or must publish a clearly equivalent statement indicating that internet access has been restored for the majority of people and across applications. Reports describing only limited, partial, or localized connectivity; connectivity restricted to filtered or government-controlled networks; traffic increases that NetBlocks characterizes as attempts to generate a false or misleading narrative of restored connectivity, or similar reports, will not qualify, even if the Cloudflare threshold is met.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be Cloudflare Radar (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d) data for Iran and public reporting from NetBlocks (https://netblocks.org/); however, a consensus of credible international reporting meeting the standards described above may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "internet", + "access", + "restored", + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "june", + "february", + "nationwide", + "blackout", + "began", + "amid", + "military", + "engagement", + "states", + "israel", + "gaza", + "hamas", + "middle east" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.92, + "noPrice": 0.08, + "volume24h": 96831.58748899997, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/internet-access-restored-in-iran-by", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.446Z", + "numericId": "1831357", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.3085, + "endDate": "2026-03-14" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xde5ed16b575a0b1d100126266232653f1ba8e5709a4dd79b361491026f6cf65c", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?", + "description": "This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "dip", + "$65", + "000", + "may", + "immediately", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "during", + "month", + "specified" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 95603.32182600001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-may-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.446Z", + "numericId": "2132780", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-06-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x049e6b18e04fc64336e8c12d49680dc7dd3f9ef983aaa923cbb90379bbbe1583", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 29?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "$80", + "000", + "may", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "timezone", + "noon", + "date", + "specified", + "title" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 94890.10781099998, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-may-29-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.663Z", + "numericId": "2361678", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.012, + "endDate": "2026-05-29" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x13185778bb5f5c9a06b4c0a82e214e0f265fa4b89309adb53f32f313188da874", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "$70", + "000", + "may", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "timezone", + "noon", + "date", + "specified", + "title" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.99, + "noPrice": 0.01, + "volume24h": 94112.59595099998, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-may-29-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.664Z", + "numericId": "2361673", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.007, + "endDate": "2026-05-29" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x8eeb590c3f80b003ba08d69eb0b38648831e3662a6131f8f9fa61bb1ea83b390", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Hannes Steinbach be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed player is drafted fifth overall in the 2026 NBA Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026 NBA Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "hannes", + "steinbach", + "5th", + "overall", + "pick", + "nba", + "basketball", + "draft", + "resolve", + "listed", + "player", + "drafted", + "fifth", + "otherwise", + "canceled", + "postponed", + "completed", + "july", + "resolution", + "source" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 92936.7, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-nba-draft-5th-overall-pick", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.664Z", + "numericId": "2167729", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.001, + "endDate": "2026-06-24" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xbaa911d1bdf7f43fafd9de773a43ec8ea00dd1c405a3c996e6f0f3ab365209e0", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.", + "keywords": [ + "tony", + "thurmond", + "california", + "governor", + "election", + "resolve", + "according", + "candidate", + "wins", + "gubernatorial", + "currently", + "scheduled", + "november", + "results", + "confirmed", + "july", + "resolution", + "source" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 92783.727, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-election-2026", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.664Z", + "numericId": "628950", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.001, + "endDate": "2026-11-03" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xa48ee32a0cbe5bc1a48844bd14e1691701d3bf8f45f4dd8cb8d1d304561393b6", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. officially announces an extension of the ceasefire agreement between the U.S. and Iran, defined as a publicly announced commitment to the continued halt of direct military engagement with Iran or announces a new peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue by the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf a qualifying announcement is officially made before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire extension ultimately takes effect.\n\nA qualifying announcement requires clear public confirmation from the U.S. government that the U.S. has either:\n\n1. Extended its commitment to the ceasefire, either as a dated/time-based extension (e.g. a 60 day extension) or through an explicit statement that the ceasefire has been extended.\n\n2. Renewed the existing ceasefire as part of a broader peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue.\n\nStatements which merely acknowledge, reaffirm, or describe the current ceasefire as remaining in effect, or which outline further negotiations or de-escalation measures, without announcing a new extension period, or successor agreement under which the ceasefire will continue, will not qualify.\n\nThe following would qualify:\n- President Trump announcing that “the ceasefire has been extended for another 60 days.”\n- An official U.S. statement announcing that “the United States and Iran have agreed to extend the ceasefire framework while negotiations continue.”\n- President Trump’s April 21, 2026 announcement extending the ceasefire “until the Iranian negotiators could reach a unified proposal.”\n- An announcement that the US and Iran have agreed to a new temporary framework under which the ceasefire would continue as Iran gradually reopens the Strait of Hormuz and the United States begins to unfreeze Iranian assets would qualify.\n\nThe following would not qualify:\n- Statements that the ceasefire merely “remains in effect” or “continues to hold,” without announcing a new extension, renewal, or successor agreement.\n- Statements that “the ceasefire will remain in effect while negotiations continue,” without announcing that the ceasefire itself has been extended, or a new framework or deal has been reached\n- Statements that negotiations are progressing, that talks are ongoing, or that the parties are “getting closer” to a deal, without announcing that the ceasefire itself has been extended, renewed, or continued under a new agreement.\n\nAn overwhelming consensus of credible reporting that a qualifying extension or successor agreement has been definitively established will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThis market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the U.S. government and will not require confirmation from Iran. ", + "keywords": [ + "announces", + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "agreement", + "ceasefire", + "ukraine", + "russia", + "peace", + "conflict", + "extension", + "june", + "resolve", + "officially", + "between", + "defined", + "publicly", + "announced", + "commitment" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.74, + "noPrice": 0.26, + "volume24h": 92491.80360799999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.664Z", + "numericId": "2354003", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.02, + "endDate": "2026-06-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x4d0c4865bdecc5f7971dbab47bb6c069d93909dec75bdff52fb766ae6094a6d6", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?", + "description": "On April 12, 2026, President Donald Trump announced that the United States will blockade the Strait of Hormuz. You can read more about that here: https://www.nbcnews.com/world/iran/live-blog/live-updates-us-iran-fail-reach-deal-peace-talks-day-negotiations-rcna315918.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces the end of the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nQualifying statements must clearly and explicitly indicate that the United States has lifted, ended, or will lift or end its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on a specified date or use equivalently definitive language unambiguously signaling that such blockade has ceased or is set to cease on a specified date (e.g., statements unambiguously indicating that US naval activity in the relevant area has ceased will qualify). \n\nStatements that merely describe actions inconsistent with the blockade (e.g., \"Iran resumed shipping through the Strait of Hormuz\") without explicitly indicating the blockade as lifted will not alone suffice.\n\nInformal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.\n\nWritten public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nNote: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the blockade is effectively enforced or whether maritime traffic resumes absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered.", + "keywords": [ + "donald", + "trump", + "president", + "potus", + "administration", + "gop", + "republican", + "announce", + "states", + "blockade", + "strait", + "hormuz", + "lifted", + "june", + "donald trump", + "april", + "announced", + "you", + "can", + "read" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.69, + "noPrice": 0.31, + "volume24h": 92339.40715999999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-announces-us-blockade-of-hormuz-lifted-by", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.664Z", + "numericId": "2155023", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.025, + "endDate": "2026-06-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xd6591e966aebf061547ef34cdf3494ed318969887c8b7fb53f10ed5d5461a547", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?", + "description": "Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).", + "keywords": [ + "paloma", + "valencia", + "colombian", + "presidential", + "election", + "colombia's", + "elections", + "scheduled", + "may", + "second", + "round", + "required", + "june", + "case", + "candidate", + "secures", + "valid", + "votes", + "resolve", + "according" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.02, + "noPrice": 0.98, + "volume24h": 91971.79176899999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/colombia-presidential-election", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.664Z", + "numericId": "569373", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0045, + "endDate": "2026-06-21" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x92dbe4eead2e81624eeb6ccfddc3fa79a8602fbd4e222910ef63c64e549ef348", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will David Njoku play for Tampa Bay Buccaneers in 2026-27?", + "description": "This market will resolve to the next team David Njoku officially joins by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nIf David Njoku does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf David Njoku joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf David Njoku is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nAn official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NFL and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.", + "keywords": [ + "david", + "njoku", + "tampa", + "bay", + "buccaneers", + "resolve", + "team", + "officially", + "joins", + "august", + "join", + "listed" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 91180, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-david-njoku-play-in-2026-27", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.664Z", + "numericId": "1485165", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-09-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x416e3cbe25a60b8210f4e67c056ea2b03f4d511e7b969826d69ef90b753ff214", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point after market creation during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final \"High\" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIf the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. \n\nPer CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).\n\nThe active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.\n\nFor example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.\n\nIf the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.\n\nIn the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures \"High\" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the \"t=\" parameter.", + "keywords": [ + "wti", + "oil", + "crude", + "energy", + "$120", + "may", + "resolve", + "point", + "creation", + "during", + "minute", + "candle", + "active", + "month", + "futures", + "equal", + "listed", + "otherwise", + "prices", + "used" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 89657.19144499995, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-wti-hit-in-may-2026", + "category": "climate", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.664Z", + "numericId": "2074236", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0055, + "endDate": "2026-06-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x2bef40a1f62d045527228e699990d1bd1f97906b2458a6f3e4a0daf11124060c", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. \n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.", + "keywords": [ + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "diplomatic", + "meeting", + "may", + "resolve", + "there", + "between", + "representatives", + "states", + "listed", + "date", + "otherwise", + "refers", + "deliberate", + "countries" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.06, + "noPrice": 0.94, + "volume24h": 89487.706934, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.664Z", + "numericId": "2109449", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0595, + "endDate": "2026-05-15" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x7a4966120d41b5ec36809d2a9779a7bdfbb5972399b56d74dc9244b68af73d16", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 26 12:00 PM ET to June 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", + "keywords": [ + "elon", + "elon musk", + "tesla", + "spacex", + "doge", + "musk", + "post", + "380", + "399", + "tweets", + "may", + "june", + "twitter", + "x", + "resolve", + "according", + "number", + "times", + "elonmusk", + "posts" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 88742.065164, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-26-june-2", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.664Z", + "numericId": "2336490", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.006, + "endDate": "2026-06-02" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xb599d781347109dfc846c1ae5d6dd8afab6271a4ab0c792ae1c4e865a55772a1", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?", + "description": "The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "frances", + "tiafoe", + "men's", + "french", + "scheduled", + "may", + "june", + "resolve", + "player", + "wins", + "singles", + "tournament", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "listed", + "rules", + "tournamen" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.02, + "noPrice": 0.98, + "volume24h": 87888.63813200001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-french-open-winner", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.664Z", + "numericId": "1087546", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.016, + "endDate": "2026-06-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x1b1a75d6305f5edee255b3f368cca945bde401fea4b2a7e34f2fcca3b3e56cf0", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election", + "description": "The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.", + "keywords": [ + "chong", + "won", + "seoul", + "mayoral", + "election", + "scheduled", + "june", + "elect", + "mayor", + "resolve", + "according", + "listed", + "candidate", + "wins", + "result", + "isn't", + "known", + "january" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.79, + "noPrice": 0.21, + "volume24h": 87772.86993199997, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-seoul-mayoral-election-winner", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.664Z", + "numericId": "678937", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.01, + "endDate": "2026-06-03" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xc62b78f7a1b56a4e2cc713a0633fe4cd2a6a5dce6cd3b4eec0bd292a6cbdff71", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.\n\nIf multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.", + "keywords": [ + "lance", + "stroll", + "drivers'", + "champion", + "resolve", + "according", + "listed", + "driver", + "finishes", + "1st", + "standings", + "season", + "soon", + "official", + "results", + "scheduled", + "race", + "known", + "multiple", + "drivers" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 87314.93416000002, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-f1-drivers-champion", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.664Z", + "numericId": "898418", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.001, + "endDate": "2026-12-06" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xbfee766c7be2fbf8ca1282de20589d362717ebc231c273c20f4a0cdfbdbb0de4", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on May 28?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.", + "keywords": [ + "solana", + "sol", + "crypto", + "between", + "$60", + "$70", + "may", + "resolve", + "according", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "timezone", + "noon", + "date" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 87271.05596199998, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/solana-price-on-may-28-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.664Z", + "numericId": "2322049", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.001, + "endDate": "2026-05-28" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x83831604f88a889311dc484abc0d327d96f494bba9d41084bf1b84d8a991e97b", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iran publicly agrees to allow unrestricted commercial navigation of the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIran allowing unrestricted commercial navigation of the Strait of Hormuz refers to a public agreement by Iran that commercial vessels may transit the Strait of Hormuz without Iranian authorization/permission, payment of fees to Iran, or other Iran-imposed restrictions. A public agreement that all restrictions imposed on commercial vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz by Iran as part of the US-Iran conflict which began on February 28, 2026, will be definitively lifted, without replacement by new restrictions, will qualify.\n\nA qualifying agreement must clearly indicate that Iran will not impose restrictions on commercial transit through the Strait of Hormuz. General statements about the strait being “open”, de-escalation, security, increased transit in the Strait, or stability in the region, which do not clearly indicate that Iran will allow unrestricted commercial transit through the Strait of Hormuz, will not qualify.\n\nAn official pledge by Iran to allow unrestricted commercial navigation of the Strait of Hormuz will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.\n\nAny agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to allow unrestricted commercial navigation of the Strait of Hormuz as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.", + "keywords": [ + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "agrees", + "unrestricted", + "shipping", + "through", + "hormuz", + "may", + "resolve", + "publicly", + "allow", + "commercial", + "navigation", + "strait", + "otherwise", + "allowing", + "refers", + "public" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.13, + "noPrice": 0.87, + "volume24h": 87019.28256599994, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-agrees-to-unrestricted-shipping-through-hormuz-by-may-31", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.664Z", + "numericId": "2111605", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.004, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x4167e22670f31e5f93d132f78108f3fae809bd15cadf78983eff096845ed1415", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nOnly Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.\n\nLocalized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.\n\nThe document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted. \n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. \n", + "keywords": [ + "ukraine", + "russia", + "war", + "nato", + "zelensky", + "signs", + "peace", + "deal", + "peace deal", + "peace agreement", + "ceasefire", + "resolve", + "written", + "instrument", + "treaty", + "armistice", + "framework", + "roadmap", + "exchange", + "letters" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.28, + "noPrice": 0.72, + "volume24h": 86357.328071, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ukraine-signs-peace-deal-with-russia-before-2027", + "category": "technology", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.664Z", + "numericId": "665224", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.005, + "endDate": "2026-12-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xe1d5733322fd2215f136412f419d9ff805d097f78c68de3261515ff736895f2b", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", + "description": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", + "keywords": [ + "eduardo", + "bolsonaro", + "brazilian", + "presidential", + "election", + "scheduled", + "brazil", + "october", + "resolve", + "according", + "listed", + "candidate", + "wins", + "includes", + "potential", + "second", + "round", + "result", + "isn't", + "known" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 85873.499, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.664Z", + "numericId": "601823", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-10-04" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x0fba4c2ba5ed5dbd0267e1c09c30ebb32233a2a0680d8ca7d799908f31dd1e2c", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 31?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "$84", + "000", + "may", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "timezone", + "noon", + "date", + "specified", + "title" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 85103.222222, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-may-31-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.664Z", + "numericId": "2347247", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0085, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xf8e1b655885e0b49fc934c10672c13c68a3c19c895496326215d5f63293428a5", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Alberta join the US? ", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nSovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.\n\nAn official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.", + "keywords": [ + "alberta", + "join", + "resolve", + "officially", + "announced", + "sovereignty", + "comes", + "december", + "otherwise", + "defined", + "transfer", + "majority" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.04, + "noPrice": 0.96, + "volume24h": 84403.68119200002, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-alberta-join-the-us", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.665Z", + "numericId": "1345724", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-12-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x96cd1bfdc9f904198fd559b1a62c0e5c23412672d1c174ebb8d025273577a3fd", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "israel", + "gaza", + "hamas", + "middle east", + "indonesia", + "normalize", + "relations", + "june", + "resolve", + "both", + "officially", + "announce", + "establishment", + "diplomatic", + "otherwise", + "primary", + "resolution", + "source", + "official", + "information" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.04, + "noPrice": 0.96, + "volume24h": 84075.60999999999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-and-indonesia-normalize-relations-by", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.665Z", + "numericId": "677314", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.002, + "endDate": "2026-06-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x90d0f0f57e38136c7ae56743e682c1eb29aa4e9f17faa4b4fdbcf94d2d6ea787", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?", + "description": "The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "felix", + "auger", + "aliassime", + "men's", + "french", + "scheduled", + "may", + "june", + "resolve", + "player", + "wins", + "singles", + "tournament", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "listed", + "rules", + "tournamen" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.04, + "noPrice": 0.96, + "volume24h": 83964.994135, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-french-open-winner", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.665Z", + "numericId": "1087545", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.029, + "endDate": "2026-06-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xf5eed5d402c85807bede0e4b9169173e48c5ba42879da524cc03ad35092c7995", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab for \"Math\" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Math\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.", + "keywords": [ + "anthropic", + "ai", + "claude", + "llm", + "artificial intelligence", + "best", + "math", + "model", + "may", + "resolve", + "according", + "company", + "owns", + "highest", + "arena", + "rank", + "based", + "chatbot", + "leaderboard", + "https" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.13, + "noPrice": 0.88, + "volume24h": 83521.21494199998, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-math-ai-model-end-of-may", + "category": "technology", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.665Z", + "numericId": "2070336", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.055, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x5dc96d5b6d416507a833231f23a08c69cd04592031519e2d225e2d9860e978cf", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?", + "description": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 30, 2026\nIf Arsenal FC wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", + "keywords": [ + "arsenal", + "soccer", + "premier league", + "england", + "upcoming", + "scheduled", + "may", + "wins", + "resolve", + "otherwise", + "postponed", + "remain", + "until", + "completed", + "canceled", + "entirely" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.3, + "noPrice": 0.7, + "volume24h": 83288.63882699997, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ucl-psg-ars-2026-05-30", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.665Z", + "numericId": "2316218", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-05-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x1591b72dc504383d8fa2024e72a585c520b3c673614100d2e167507485e17e38", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point after market creation during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final \"High\" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIf the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. \n\nPer CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).\n\nThe active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.\n\nFor example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.\n\nIf the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.\n\nIn the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures \"High\" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the \"t=\" parameter.", + "keywords": [ + "wti", + "oil", + "crude", + "energy", + "$150", + "may", + "resolve", + "point", + "creation", + "during", + "minute", + "candle", + "active", + "month", + "futures", + "equal", + "listed", + "otherwise", + "prices", + "used" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 82801.75323100002, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-wti-hit-in-may-2026", + "category": "climate", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.665Z", + "numericId": "2074233", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.001, + "endDate": "2026-06-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x233ce0c3969a5cd5079287f16fcd283be7c1db82263e08697f85dbe1b4d2113c", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "south", + "africa", + "emerging markets", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "knockout" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 82572.28, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.665Z", + "numericId": "558964", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xa37173a88dc5622e1c42e9f8f5a9d20d70b9b99e52cb76e64fb0ad95503fcaef", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States agrees to remove, suspend, waive, or otherwise reduce any sanctions restricting Iranian oil exports by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nSanctions restricting Iranian oil exports refers to U.S. restrictions that prohibit or limit the production, sale, transport, purchase, or export of crude oil, petroleum, or petrochemical products from Iran, including associated shipping, insurance, and financial transactions necessary for such exports. This includes both primary sanctions, which apply to U.S. persons, and secondary sanctions, which apply to non-U.S. persons or entities engaging in such activities.\n\nThe United States will be considered to have agreed to remove, suspend, waive, or reduce such sanctions if:\n- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States has definitively agreed to remove, suspend, waive, or otherwise reduce any sanctions restricting Iranian oil\n- The removal, suspension, waiver, or reduction of any such sanctions is included as part of a treaty or deal formally established between the United States and Iran, including through signing or other formal means.\n\nAgreement refers to an explicit acceptance, authorization, or consent to the specified action. Only announcements of definitive agreement will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.\n\nAny definitive agreement or commitment made before the resolution date will qualify, regardless of when or whether the specified action is implemented.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of an announcement or formal agreement.", + "keywords": [ + "trump", + "president", + "potus", + "administration", + "gop", + "republican", + "agree", + "iranian", + "oil", + "sanction", + "relief", + "may", + "resolve", + "states", + "agrees", + "remove", + "suspend", + "waive", + "otherwise", + "reduce" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.23, + "noPrice": 0.77, + "volume24h": 82289.00094100005, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-iranian-demands-will-trump-agree-to-by-may-31", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.665Z", + "numericId": "2111562", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.09, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xd5ab04c1da2051ee27f69f3dabd766be2ce27b4f136db4215b8d29c4b08656c3", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?", + "description": "The Fed interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the Fed decreases the upper bound of the target federal funds range as a result of the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve. The FOMC calendar may be viewed at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds range is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nIf Kevin Warsh’s nomination for Chair of the Federal Reserve is formally withdrawn, or otherwise finally rejected, or if no qualifying meeting occurs by December 31, 2026 (ET), this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for the meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to \"No\".", + "keywords": [ + "kevin", + "warsh", + "cuts", + "rates", + "fed", + "federal reserve", + "fomc", + "interest rates", + "meeting", + "interest", + "defined", + "upper", + "bound", + "target", + "federal", + "funds", + "range", + "decisions", + "committee", + "meetings" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.02, + "noPrice": 0.98, + "volume24h": 81498.09723600002, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/kevin-warsh-cuts-rates-at-first-fed-meeting", + "category": "economics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.665Z", + "numericId": "2008486", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.004 + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x5ab1db8e83643899756b330be764ab8690261b32217c13ee51d929f485badc0a", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 28?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "between", + "$72", + "000", + "$74", + "may", + "resolve", + "according", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "timezone", + "noon" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.99, + "noPrice": 0.01, + "volume24h": 81441.41554099997, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-price-on-may-28-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.665Z", + "numericId": "2321930", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.887, + "endDate": "2026-05-28" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x3de0f3d7d7efb40cde68e814d40a0b232832083653c8e78260eb999baa967de0", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "US strike on Cuba by December 31?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.\n\nA strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.\n\nMissiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.\n\nAny strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nThis market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to \"No\" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.", + "keywords": [ + "strike", + "cuba", + "december", + "resolve", + "initiated", + "drone", + "missile", + "air", + "soil", + "announced", + "credibly", + "reported", + "occurred", + "listed", + "date", + "otherwise", + "purposes", + "qualifying", + "defined" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.55, + "noPrice": 0.45, + "volume24h": 81440.15257699999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-strike-on-cuba-by", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.665Z", + "numericId": "1107582", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.07, + "endDate": "2026-12-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x22e7b5e35423e76842dd3a5e1a21d13793811080d5e7b2896d0c001bd5e97d54", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NBA Finals based off the rules of the NBA.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.", + "keywords": [ + "oklahoma", + "thunder", + "nba", + "basketball", + "finals", + "resolve", + "otherwise", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "team", + "based", + "rules", + "resolution", + "source", + "mar" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.57, + "noPrice": 0.43, + "volume24h": 81431.28906500003, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-nba-champion", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.665Z", + "numericId": "553856", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-07-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x3e166e94d38707543b2e951c325eb9b917468b99e75294d11cd853587364d934", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?", + "description": "The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "rafael", + "jodar", + "men's", + "french", + "scheduled", + "may", + "june", + "resolve", + "player", + "wins", + "singles", + "tournament", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "listed", + "rules", + "tournamen" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.09, + "noPrice": 0.91, + "volume24h": 81325.52063399999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-french-open-winner", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.665Z", + "numericId": "1087553", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0465, + "endDate": "2026-06-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xa1b6ebba4e86fe9bfb2c206dba71be111d2e1047d7b74125eb223c1b3da7ebd6", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.", + "keywords": [ + "alireza", + "arafi", + "head", + "state", + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "resolve", + "individual", + "facto", + "holds", + "exercises", + "powers", + "islamic", + "republic", + "december", + "purposes", + "refers", + "primary" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.98, + "volume24h": 81025.99, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leader-end-of-2026", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.665Z", + "numericId": "1469758", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0005, + "endDate": "2026-12-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xce51c631cda955703166ca3709a99bc66369975573fc4d7751dc648c5d62e48b", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "$76", + "000", + "may", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "timezone", + "noon", + "date", + "specified", + "title" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.02, + "noPrice": 0.98, + "volume24h": 81002.49254299999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-may-29-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.665Z", + "numericId": "2361676", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.3105, + "endDate": "2026-05-29" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x896593cde56f7976fa70a1c07230b5797b60d66dd3e29c873e9c9fa46dec2183", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Ismaily SC win on 2026-05-28?", + "description": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 28, 2026\nIf Ismaily SC wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", + "keywords": [ + "ismaily", + "upcoming", + "scheduled", + "may", + "wins", + "resolve", + "otherwise", + "postponed", + "remain", + "until", + "completed", + "canceled", + "entirely" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 80462.25757000002, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/egy1-iss-phf-2026-05-28", + "category": "technology", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.665Z", + "numericId": "2304968", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.3195, + "endDate": "2026-05-28" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x9eaadf490bf58eb7e2d00fb257711ff462ae99197dc339b2a5cd93a577c7a2e2", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?", + "description": "The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "flavio", + "cobolli", + "men's", + "french", + "scheduled", + "may", + "june", + "resolve", + "player", + "wins", + "singles", + "tournament", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "listed", + "rules", + "tournamen" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.05, + "noPrice": 0.95, + "volume24h": 80271.69307099996, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-french-open-winner", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.665Z", + "numericId": "1087538", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0425, + "endDate": "2026-06-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xae70ab9bf1c3726fe430a2ba8b517697ae24e0f0ab554b876a5b521153068882", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?", + "description": "The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.\n\nThis market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.", + "keywords": [ + "tim", + "walz", + "presidential", + "election", + "scheduled", + "november", + "resolve", + "person", + "wins", + "resolution", + "source", + "associated", + "press", + "fox", + "news", + "nbc", + "three", + "sources", + "cal" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 79188.984613, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.665Z", + "numericId": "561247", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xacdfcd102b625528d2666b09aa7391ce405a36a7931b79106899ec1e6bf70800", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "$74", + "000", + "may", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "timezone", + "noon", + "date", + "specified", + "title" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.28, + "noPrice": 0.72, + "volume24h": 79170.014937, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-may-29-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.665Z", + "numericId": "2361675", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.5, + "endDate": "2026-05-29" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x30418f776b2c0b11a690e067cf856ade99f3362e991363dc2d90d230bc3f74a4", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Egypt win on 2026-05-28?", + "description": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 28, 2026\nIf Egypt wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", + "keywords": [ + "egypt", + "upcoming", + "scheduled", + "may", + "wins", + "resolve", + "otherwise", + "postponed", + "remain", + "until", + "completed", + "canceled", + "entirely", + "marke" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.99, + "noPrice": 0.01, + "volume24h": 78882.98783400007, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fif-egy-rus-2026-05-28", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.665Z", + "numericId": "2321081", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.6195, + "endDate": "2026-05-28" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x3de1707f34c3afb1e2be9577df649a66877f81b1a2df733115ddd3161ada4b3a", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 28?", + "description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 May '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", + "keywords": [ + "highest", + "temperature", + "shenzhen", + "may", + "resolve", + "range", + "contains", + "recorded", + "bao'an", + "international", + "airport", + "station", + "degrees", + "celsius", + "'26", + "resolution", + "source", + "information", + "wunderground", + "specifically" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 78854.13249700009, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-shenzhen-on-may-28-2026", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.666Z", + "numericId": "2358782", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0795, + "endDate": "2026-05-28" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xa5ba184099210811460caf7fd33aa3d049ebc956f730fe0ad9f72cf4305cc7c2", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 29?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "$72", + "000", + "may", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "timezone", + "noon", + "date", + "specified", + "title" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.9, + "noPrice": 0.1, + "volume24h": 78356.36143, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-may-29-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.666Z", + "numericId": "2361674", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0685, + "endDate": "2026-05-29" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x5efa976ebe94080bbda7e45605333ff8f30156cc91604d66c41eb52fd3e25f3e", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Iran agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of a previously announced ceasefire agreement), will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:\n\n- Israel and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.\n\n- Both Israel and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.\n\nThe inclusion of Israel and Iran in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "israel", + "gaza", + "hamas", + "middle east", + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "permanent", + "peace", + "deal", + "june", + "peace deal", + "ukraine", + "russia", + "peace agreement", + "ceasefire", + "resolve", + "agree", + "specified", + "date" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.16, + "noPrice": 0.84, + "volume24h": 77571.823989, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.666Z", + "numericId": "2002564", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0275, + "endDate": "2026-06-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xae6d3d20bc8f742922dc40880cd8a8671c10385a9912fa7cd670fba0643dfe96", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?", + "description": "General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) ", + "keywords": [ + "rafael", + "pez", + "aliaga", + "peruvian", + "presidential", + "election", + "general", + "elections", + "scheduled", + "held", + "peru", + "april", + "resolve", + "according", + "listed", + "candidate", + "wins", + "includes", + "potential", + "second" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 77430.143349, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/peru-presidential-election-winner", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.666Z", + "numericId": "947268", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0025, + "endDate": "2026-06-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xe83a29b010b0c4d583dc9f7b6a852537ba18a53096536c96378d778ddc0ae1d5", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Alex Michelsen win the 2026 Men's French Open?", + "description": "The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "alex", + "michelsen", + "men's", + "french", + "scheduled", + "may", + "june", + "resolve", + "player", + "wins", + "singles", + "tournament", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "listed", + "rules", + "tournamen" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 77393.006997, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-french-open-winner", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.666Z", + "numericId": "1087544", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-06-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xff6ac090c04867089f12624bb2223ae3647fd66ba9eeeeabe257130bc5a99d58", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-27?", + "description": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 27, 2026\nIf Botafogo FR wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.", + "keywords": [ + "botafogo", + "upcoming", + "scheduled", + "may", + "wins", + "resolve", + "otherwise", + "postponed", + "remain", + "until", + "completed", + "canceled", + "entirely" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.99, + "noPrice": 0.01, + "volume24h": 76324.34542800002, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/sud-cara-bot-2026-05-27", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.666Z", + "numericId": "2126502", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.5105, + "endDate": "2026-05-27" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xc792f8824ef9bb549a4f5d89eec898caefdd3df5a507783f80202d289e9130ea", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Hezbollah agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the 10-day ceasefire agreement announced on April 16, 2026), will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:\n\n- Israel and Hezbollah each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.\n\n- Both Israel and Hezbollah provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.\n\nThe inclusion of Israel and Hezbollah in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "israel", + "gaza", + "hamas", + "middle east", + "hezbollah", + "iran", + "permanent", + "peace", + "deal", + "may", + "peace deal", + "ukraine", + "russia", + "peace agreement", + "ceasefire", + "resolve", + "agree", + "specified", + "date", + "otherwise" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.05, + "noPrice": 0.95, + "volume24h": 75910.96455200002, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-hezbollah-permanent-peace-deal-by", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.666Z", + "numericId": "2002531", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0065, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x4fe305a2ae995a52ff278895344895fe587b4fec3d5f04347b4dbf5e99bce99c", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "qatar", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "knockout", + "stage", + "immediately" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 75892.9, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.666Z", + "numericId": "558971", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xa0b56d7e621c7cbcfa47fe1a9c24f3409e189180fd6bda55b7a8113129839afc", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTerritory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "china", + "chinese", + "prc", + "beijing", + "xi", + "invade", + "taiwan", + "semiconductors", + "tsmc", + "june", + "resolve", + "commences", + "military", + "offensive", + "intended", + "establish", + "control", + "portion", + "republic", + "otherwise" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 75650.635892, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-china-invade-taiwan-by-june-30-2026", + "category": "technology", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.666Z", + "numericId": "956590", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.001, + "endDate": "2026-06-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xa96e71186507bf493bd1fb8101418c369c6296a29b49514fdec3f7bfe7197909", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point after market creation during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final \"Low\" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIf the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. \n\nPer CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).\n\nThe active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.\n\nFor example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.\n\nIf the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.\n\nIn the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures \"Low\" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the \"t=\" parameter.", + "keywords": [ + "wti", + "oil", + "crude", + "energy", + "low", + "$80", + "may", + "resolve", + "point", + "creation", + "during", + "minute", + "candle", + "active", + "month", + "futures", + "equal", + "listed", + "otherwise", + "prices" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.05, + "noPrice": 0.95, + "volume24h": 75402.91425000002, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-wti-hit-in-may-2026", + "category": "climate", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.666Z", + "numericId": "2074240", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0665, + "endDate": "2026-06-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x81a537b379a35e4e17c286d3b37394e94bd74c1779bbe9a13670eb991b201a3a", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", + "description": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", + "keywords": [ + "tarcisio", + "freitas", + "brazilian", + "presidential", + "election", + "scheduled", + "brazil", + "october", + "resolve", + "according", + "listed", + "candidate", + "wins", + "includes", + "potential", + "second", + "round", + "result", + "isn't", + "known" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 74434.02199999998, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.666Z", + "numericId": "601818", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-10-04" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x3367d22cd2a673014f1960742afdf8601040a8ad856dc0a98bd1a44ee99504e2", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?", + "description": "The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.\n\nThis market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.", + "keywords": [ + "ron", + "desantis", + "presidential", + "election", + "scheduled", + "november", + "resolve", + "person", + "wins", + "resolution", + "source", + "associated", + "press", + "fox", + "news", + "nbc", + "three", + "sources", + "cal" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.02, + "noPrice": 0.98, + "volume24h": 74066.125554, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.666Z", + "numericId": "561246", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.011, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xa2b7d292821eafb97059947b9d834512deda11b7866e0f7b299bcb035071d626", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.\n\nIf multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.", + "keywords": [ + "oliver", + "bearman", + "drivers'", + "champion", + "resolve", + "according", + "listed", + "driver", + "finishes", + "1st", + "standings", + "season", + "soon", + "official", + "results", + "scheduled", + "race", + "known", + "multiple", + "drivers" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 73390.82250000011, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-f1-drivers-champion", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.666Z", + "numericId": "898420", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-12-06" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xfbe85201ab2b4acff01cd5a3639039fc813d3448c64db081f70926bd9b9e74e9", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?", + "description": "Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).", + "keywords": [ + "abelardo", + "espriella", + "colombian", + "presidential", + "election", + "colombia's", + "elections", + "scheduled", + "may", + "second", + "round", + "required", + "june", + "case", + "candidate", + "secures", + "valid", + "votes", + "resolve", + "according" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.67, + "noPrice": 0.33, + "volume24h": 73327.55222799999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/colombia-presidential-election", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.666Z", + "numericId": "569366", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.02, + "endDate": "2026-06-21" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xe9894e3b49c49f930d87c016072bcd80ec7799b1caf6e1011517913c99f7df2f", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?", + "description": "This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "dip", + "$50", + "000", + "may", + "immediately", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "during", + "month", + "specified" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 72909.45807299999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-may-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.666Z", + "numericId": "2132783", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-06-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x8df5a4256840dee05851250c0490da7593597faff3a7f9a156ccbbda7fec76f8", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?", + "description": "This is a polymarket on whether the listed team will win the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "arsenal", + "soccer", + "premier league", + "england", + "champions", + "champions league", + "football", + "europe", + "uefa", + "ucl", + "polymarket", + "listed", + "team", + "resolve", + "officially", + "crowned", + "winner", + "otherwise", + "point", + "becomes" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.42, + "noPrice": 0.57, + "volume24h": 72733.36163200001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/uefa-champions-league-winner", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.666Z", + "numericId": "566140", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x18076e7d0f58a52d3d4f311d0456306edf16d1873cf5eef27d3ff044153e9576", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's \"High\" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"High\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "december", + "all time high", + "stocks", + "ath", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "between", + "'25", + "59pm", + "date" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.14, + "noPrice": 0.86, + "volume24h": 72694.808417, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-all-time-high-by", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.666Z", + "numericId": "948958", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.01, + "endDate": "2027-01-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x46fd91a9d61d35516cb18b81abe7f16f648be4e41061a174fa4243e9495df5f7", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's French Open?", + "description": "The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "matteo", + "berrettini", + "men's", + "french", + "scheduled", + "may", + "june", + "resolve", + "player", + "wins", + "singles", + "tournament", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "listed", + "rules", + "tournamen" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 72438.99099800002, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-french-open-winner", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.666Z", + "numericId": "1087541", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0125, + "endDate": "2026-06-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x30cfb887558b20373a984da60c372fe5a90c0296aa6d8bb413a8aa7543846da2", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", + "keywords": [ + "bernie", + "sanders", + "democratic", + "presidential", + "nomination", + "resolve", + "named", + "individual", + "wins", + "accepts", + "party", + "president", + "otherwise", + "resolution", + "source", + "consensus", + "official", + "sources", + "replacement" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 72330.48706499996, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.667Z", + "numericId": "559679", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x4ec6fcb43fe1a32163c7da09d54a99ab9bf6abdc6fd49939d7ad67d696a3248b", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.", + "keywords": [ + "fed", + "federal reserve", + "fomc", + "interest rates", + "rate", + "cuts", + "happen", + "resolve", + "according", + "exact", + "amount", + "basis", + "points", + "including", + "during", + "december", + "meeting", + "emergency", + "outside", + "scheduled" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 72256.247546, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026", + "category": "economics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.667Z", + "numericId": "616911", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.008, + "endDate": "2026-12-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x4e4f77e7dbf4cab666e9a1943674d7ae66348e862df03ea6f44b11eb95731928", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nHouse control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.\n\nIf the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.\n\nDetermination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.", + "keywords": [ + "republican", + "party", + "control", + "house", + "congress", + "legislation", + "house of representatives", + "midterm", + "elections", + "resolve", + "according", + "controls", + "representatives", + "following", + "scheduled", + "november", + "defined", + "having", + "half", + "voting" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.2, + "noPrice": 0.8, + "volume24h": 71879.524185, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.667Z", + "numericId": "562803", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-11-03" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xd86177011df25e467bdfa1c25481edaf1006e88da184965173e03c8d1cc4f2d6", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point after market creation during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final \"High\" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIf the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. \n\nPer CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).\n\nThe active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.\n\nFor example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.\n\nIf the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.\n\nIn the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures \"High\" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the \"t=\" parameter.", + "keywords": [ + "wti", + "oil", + "crude", + "energy", + "$140", + "may", + "resolve", + "point", + "creation", + "during", + "minute", + "candle", + "active", + "month", + "futures", + "equal", + "listed", + "otherwise", + "prices", + "used" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 71472.22146400002, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-wti-hit-in-may-2026", + "category": "climate", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.667Z", + "numericId": "2074234", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.001, + "endDate": "2026-06-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x28d4cee5a4bb01e0a7b1a39f8a23b2af657d9cf06d1e0ed8443c6b09329b9be3", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?", + "description": "General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) ", + "keywords": [ + "marisol", + "rez", + "tello", + "peruvian", + "presidential", + "election", + "general", + "elections", + "scheduled", + "held", + "peru", + "april", + "resolve", + "according", + "listed", + "candidate", + "wins", + "includes", + "potential", + "second" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 71185.95999999999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/peru-presidential-election-winner", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.667Z", + "numericId": "947287", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-06-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x43cf1b93d1b5420b158346f0e6e2993432014c4c09a213a1240fa7426c1c5af8", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.", + "keywords": [ + "betty", + "yee", + "california", + "governor", + "election", + "resolve", + "according", + "candidate", + "wins", + "gubernatorial", + "currently", + "scheduled", + "november", + "results", + "confirmed", + "july", + "resolution", + "source" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 70978.82400000002, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-election-2026", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.667Z", + "numericId": "628944", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.001, + "endDate": "2026-11-03" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x6fa13f31cceaf10ed3190df6e2aca0a93ab0d6fb46fd279003f17d4cdccee164", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. \n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.", + "keywords": [ + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "diplomatic", + "meeting", + "june", + "resolve", + "there", + "between", + "representatives", + "states", + "listed", + "date", + "otherwise", + "refers", + "deliberate", + "countries" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.71, + "noPrice": 0.29, + "volume24h": 70879.06968600005, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.667Z", + "numericId": "2109450", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.01, + "endDate": "2026-05-15" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xdf6e9ed2eaf69707c7a1162a240ca025a02b0a5028dc286c9248769e0044bdf7", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the IEM Cologne 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for June 2nd - June 21st, 2026.\n\nIf this tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Cologne) may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "vitality", + "iem", + "cologne", + "resolve", + "according", + "winner", + "tournament", + "currently", + "scheduled", + "june", + "2nd", + "21st", + "cancelled", + "postponed", + "july", + "declared", + "within", + "timeframe" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.51, + "noPrice": 0.49, + "volume24h": 70864.22586099997, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iem-cologne-major-2026-winner", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.667Z", + "numericId": "1892305", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-06-21" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xd70618488dccc0e829e236a7212014752d9981c44f723295648c7fa63c22a1c3", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Men's French Open?", + "description": "The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "stefanos", + "tsitsipas", + "men's", + "french", + "scheduled", + "may", + "june", + "resolve", + "player", + "wins", + "singles", + "tournament", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "listed", + "rules", + "tournamen" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.03, + "noPrice": 0.97, + "volume24h": 70353.11132499998, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-french-open-winner", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.667Z", + "numericId": "1087522", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.024, + "endDate": "2026-06-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x0443a503a38b90446c8a3826db5ee1323144197ef2b4ed09bcdf545ac104dfcb", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.\n\nOnly the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.\n\nNote that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.\n\nOnly days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily \"Settlement\" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.", + "keywords": [ + "crude", + "oil", + "wti", + "energy", + "$140", + "june", + "resolve", + "trading", + "official", + "cme", + "settlement", + "active", + "month", + "front", + "futures", + "equal", + "listed", + "between", + "creation", + "otherwise" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.07, + "noPrice": 0.94, + "volume24h": 69970.35897600002, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/cl-hit-jun-2026", + "category": "climate", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.667Z", + "numericId": "1652690", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.01, + "endDate": "2026-06-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x05297f854d3b757d5e51a1a29c7f225a80b14b2a161d6b7f9a61677da7a80ced", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", + "description": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", + "keywords": [ + "renan", + "santos", + "brazilian", + "presidential", + "election", + "scheduled", + "brazil", + "october", + "resolve", + "according", + "listed", + "candidate", + "wins", + "includes", + "potential", + "second", + "round", + "result", + "isn't", + "known" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.15, + "noPrice": 0.85, + "volume24h": 68865.502267, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.667Z", + "numericId": "601825", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0015, + "endDate": "2026-10-04" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x974dcbcce5e8186e0e273065a60675bc17617897c395eca60478d0c49f80718f", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?", + "description": "General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) ", + "keywords": [ + "carlos", + "esp", + "peruvian", + "presidential", + "election", + "general", + "elections", + "scheduled", + "held", + "peru", + "april", + "resolve", + "according", + "listed", + "candidate", + "wins", + "includes", + "potential", + "second", + "round" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 68490.27, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/peru-presidential-election-winner", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.667Z", + "numericId": "947283", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-06-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x22c6957b5507bd52206dfe1a6d8129a5b9c70415fabb4ed046d3b067e3fb87ef", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's French Open?", + "description": "The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "karen", + "khachanov", + "men's", + "french", + "scheduled", + "may", + "june", + "resolve", + "player", + "wins", + "singles", + "tournament", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "listed", + "rules", + "tournamen" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 68408.433672, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-french-open-winner", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.667Z", + "numericId": "1087527", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.005, + "endDate": "2026-06-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xeee1f6f38ce03e48834594ef028c6947cf817482379269d42ae6a91f954f60d1", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 22 12:00 PM ET to May 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", + "keywords": [ + "elon", + "elon musk", + "tesla", + "spacex", + "doge", + "musk", + "post", + "280", + "299", + "tweets", + "may", + "twitter", + "x", + "resolve", + "according", + "number", + "times", + "elonmusk", + "posts", + "purposes" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 67936.273, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-22-may-29", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.667Z", + "numericId": "2335043", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.002, + "endDate": "2026-05-29" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x45d819d9d731db09185dcd4d60522c46485a205eea4dcf3443515e91c8e63ac4", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Tommy Paul win the 2026 Men's French Open?", + "description": "The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "tommy", + "paul", + "men's", + "french", + "scheduled", + "may", + "june", + "resolve", + "player", + "wins", + "singles", + "tournament", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "listed", + "rules", + "tournamen" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 67916.08904499999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-french-open-winner", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.667Z", + "numericId": "1087534", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0065, + "endDate": "2026-06-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x66b906b8205f48a26beb8e553bbb1e7954e87e4f6e1d539823441221d1806e8f", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?", + "description": "The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.\n\nThis market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.", + "keywords": [ + "stephen", + "smith", + "presidential", + "election", + "scheduled", + "november", + "resolve", + "person", + "wins", + "resolution", + "source", + "associated", + "press", + "fox", + "news", + "nbc", + "three", + "sources", + "cal" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 67589.78130400002, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.667Z", + "numericId": "561240", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xe0173375b7eaccb836f7b92d28a9a2d1cc69e54e5a65fae89a5d7e49aadd332e", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?", + "description": "The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.\n\nThis market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.", + "keywords": [ + "nikki", + "haley", + "presidential", + "election", + "scheduled", + "november", + "resolve", + "person", + "wins", + "resolution", + "source", + "associated", + "press", + "fox", + "news", + "nbc", + "three", + "sources", + "cal" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 67307.04978300001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.667Z", + "numericId": "561245", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x1de846b4c47cfc17cafad7595a90c3244ba3170c13ad14373e4a5ebe02f171e9", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 IIHF World Championship hockey tournament.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 IIHF World Championship per the rules of the tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the knockout stages), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 IIHF World Championship is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IIHF World Championship tournament organizers (https://www.iihf.com/en/events/2026/wm); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "finland", + "iihf", + "championship", + "resolve", + "according", + "team", + "wins", + "hockey", + "tournament", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "listed", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "knockout", + "stages", + "corresp" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.15, + "noPrice": 0.84, + "volume24h": 66976.334889, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/hockey-2026-iihf-championship-winner", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.667Z", + "numericId": "2264300", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.015, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x27de2353e5168fd6298edb42f14dfc08352458667e93af2cc20491795b3426c1", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 26 12:00 PM ET to June 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", + "keywords": [ + "elon", + "elon musk", + "tesla", + "spacex", + "doge", + "musk", + "post", + "500", + "tweets", + "may", + "june", + "twitter", + "x", + "resolve", + "according", + "number", + "times", + "elonmusk", + "posts", + "purposes" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 65852.369137, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-26-june-2", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.667Z", + "numericId": "2336507", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.001, + "endDate": "2026-06-02" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xf4228219feaf7afa234098bc48fcfd80f3fbd09fae811fd80ed869fb02ee2e11", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on May 28?", + "description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 May '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", + "keywords": [ + "highest", + "temperature", + "warsaw", + "may", + "resolve", + "range", + "contains", + "recorded", + "chopin", + "airport", + "station", + "degrees", + "celsius", + "'26", + "resolution", + "source", + "information", + "wunderground", + "specifically" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 65737.489894, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-warsaw-on-may-28-2026", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.667Z", + "numericId": "2358714", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.4235, + "endDate": "2026-05-28" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x8374c773aa911e00a8d5c02e0130d57d18a9b5035b26e50f0e48ef1b74dd5c75", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States agrees to unfreeze any Iranian assets by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nUnfreezing Iranian assets refers to the release, transfer, or restoration of Iranian access to any assets that are frozen, blocked, or otherwise inaccessible due to U.S. sanctions or restrictions. This includes both assets held in the United States and assets held in foreign jurisdictions where access is restricted due to U.S. sanctions. The removal of sanctions which freeze these assets will also be considered to be unfreezing Iranian assets.\n\nThe United States will be considered to have agreed to unfreeze Iranian assets if:\n- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States has agreed to unfreeze any Iranian assets.\n- The unfreezing of any Iranian assets is included as part of a treaty or deal that is formally established between the United States and Iran, either through signing or other formal means.\n\nAgreement refers to an explicit acceptance, authorization or consent to the specified action. Only announcements of definitive agreement will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.\n\nAny definitive agreement or commitment made before the resolution date will be considered, regardless of when or whether the specified action is begun.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of an announcement or formal agreement.", + "keywords": [ + "trump", + "president", + "potus", + "administration", + "gop", + "republican", + "agree", + "unfreeze", + "iranian", + "assets", + "may", + "resolve", + "states", + "agrees", + "otherwise", + "unfreezing", + "refers", + "release", + "transfer", + "restoration" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.13, + "noPrice": 0.87, + "volume24h": 65470.76965799998, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-iranian-demands-will-trump-agree-to-by-may-31", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.668Z", + "numericId": "2111564", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.015, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xbe9fdf78cc0d54ceadd94497ca032df3d35646e18f09442ce5a96a76f6c88363", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?", + "description": "This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "dip", + "$45", + "000", + "may", + "immediately", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "during", + "month", + "specified" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 65351.41898199995, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-may-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.668Z", + "numericId": "2132784", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-06-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x8d62f20324e9e7f1a3c663ab6aac9a2f6e7adb96c6a69ac2cea7e08a71a7f2ef", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.", + "keywords": [ + "tom", + "steyer", + "california", + "governor", + "election", + "resolve", + "according", + "candidate", + "wins", + "gubernatorial", + "currently", + "scheduled", + "november", + "results", + "confirmed", + "july", + "resolution", + "source" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.2, + "noPrice": 0.8, + "volume24h": 64175.344759000014, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-election-2026", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.668Z", + "numericId": "628955", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.05, + "endDate": "2026-11-03" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x523c642a2da7b7fcf4ecb1da444d805c790fe16497fa83ba6f99046ec7343ade", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?", + "description": "This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.", + "keywords": [ + "ethereum", + "eth", + "crypto", + "600", + "may", + "immediately", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "during", + "month", + "specified", + "title", + "equal" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 63749.088016, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-may-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.668Z", + "numericId": "2132796", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.002, + "endDate": "2026-06-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xca21409a8f59fc1231861f5f9ea3066259697d0bf2eacbd96fe327230792c2bd", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 26 12:00 PM ET to June 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", + "keywords": [ + "elon", + "elon musk", + "tesla", + "spacex", + "doge", + "musk", + "post", + "400", + "419", + "tweets", + "may", + "june", + "twitter", + "x", + "resolve", + "according", + "number", + "times", + "elonmusk", + "posts" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 62793.542315, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-26-june-2", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.668Z", + "numericId": "2336494", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.004, + "endDate": "2026-06-02" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x20e83a41d599e9ac79c5eebaf2c8ee7874066cc10c59a689c6681ddc607b6a2a", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 25-31?", + "description": "This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final \"High\" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"High\" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "$80", + "000", + "may", + "immediately", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "during", + "date", + "range", + "specified" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.02, + "noPrice": 0.98, + "volume24h": 62641.588925000004, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-may-25-31-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.668Z", + "numericId": "2350175", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0505, + "endDate": "2026-06-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xcd836ec4d94b8a4ddc5713d80fe9db245d2fb4796eaf12337974da1b4e96100d", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "congo", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "knockout", + "stage", + "immediately" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 62506.87, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.668Z", + "numericId": "558981", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x40fe0e847061514a774ade752050570f3f0c36addb1c69937d09e3151c34a74b", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Sharks win IEM Cologne Major 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the IEM Cologne 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for June 2nd - June 21st, 2026.\n\nIf this tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Cologne) may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "sharks", + "iem", + "cologne", + "resolve", + "according", + "winner", + "tournament", + "currently", + "scheduled", + "june", + "2nd", + "21st", + "cancelled", + "postponed", + "july", + "declared", + "within", + "timeframe" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 62385.090000000004, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iem-cologne-major-2026-winner", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.668Z", + "numericId": "1892289", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.001, + "endDate": "2026-06-21" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xf39f924bd390c7061f64e4b77a0b2016020c839cda9fde84fbdb95c224546dde", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will \"Backrooms\" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 61m?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to how much \"Backrooms\" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 29 - May 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.", + "keywords": [ + "backrooms", + "opening", + "weekend", + "box", + "office", + "greater", + "61m", + "box office", + "movie", + "film", + "revenue", + "theater", + "resolve", + "according", + "gross", + "domestically", + "daily", + "performance", + "figures", + "found" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.96, + "noPrice": 0.04, + "volume24h": 62150.999789, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/backrooms-opening-weekend-box-office-higher-strikes", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.668Z", + "numericId": "2361301", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.192, + "endDate": "2026-06-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x89389a6b1439856a8d366234c795d72865c927a1aa3cf9d4cc04a3a400defde1", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup based off the rules of the NHL.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the NHL.\n", + "keywords": [ + "vegas", + "golden", + "knights", + "nhl", + "hockey", + "stanley", + "resolve", + "otherwise", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "team", + "based", + "rules", + "resolution", + "source" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.43, + "noPrice": 0.57, + "volume24h": 62030.485603000016, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-nhl-stanley-cup-champion", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.668Z", + "numericId": "553829", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0205, + "endDate": "2026-06-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x279959fccabce22a6047966154943f3b6e42978f7740f32264ae2fdf963e11f8", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?", + "description": "This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.", + "keywords": [ + "ethereum", + "eth", + "crypto", + "dip", + "400", + "may", + "immediately", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "during", + "month", + "specified", + "title" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 61235.87534100001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-may-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.668Z", + "numericId": "2132802", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-06-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xf67e9887876cf34d3b930c3c74ba444b77783e3a4b8a3fe5304dd3c2b6d09a22", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Internet Access restored in Iran by December 31, 2026?", + "description": "On February 28, 2026, a nationwide internet blackout began in Iran amid military engagement with the United States and Israel.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if internet access in Iran is restored by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nFor purposes of this market, internet access will be considered restored only if either of the following conditions is satisfied.\n\n1. Internet access will be considered restored if there is a clear, broad, and unambiguous consensus of credible international reporting stating that general internet connectivity has been restored for a majority of people in Iran and across most common applications, and that such connectivity has been sustained for at least 24 consecutive hours. Reporting describing planned restorations, gradual easing, partial reconnection, access limited to specific regions, networks, user groups, or applications, or access restricted to filtered, throttled, or government-controlled networks will not qualify. The reporting must explicitly indicate that normal international internet access has materially resumed.\n\n2. Alternatively, internet access will be considered restored only if both of the following requirements are met.\n\n- According to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, the “Outage” annotation associated with the nationwide internet shutdown must cease to apply to newly published hourly data points for at least 24 consecutive hours in the “Traffic trends” chart for the last 4 weeks. During this same period, the same chart must show a clear increase in either Total bytes or HTTP bytes relative to the outage period, indicating a meaningful restoration of internet traffic. Only the first of the consecutive qualifying hourly data points must occur before the market’s resolution time. If necessary to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until all qualifying data points are observed.\n\n- In addition, NetBlocks must report that the Iranian national internet outage has been resolved, or must publish a clearly equivalent statement indicating that internet access has been restored for the majority of people and across applications. Reports describing only limited, partial, or localized connectivity; connectivity restricted to filtered or government-controlled networks; traffic increases that NetBlocks characterizes as attempts to generate a false or misleading narrative of restored connectivity, or similar reports, will not qualify, even if the Cloudflare threshold is met.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be Cloudflare Radar (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d) data for Iran and public reporting from NetBlocks (https://netblocks.org/); however, a consensus of credible international reporting meeting the standards described above may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "internet", + "access", + "restored", + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "december", + "february", + "nationwide", + "blackout", + "began", + "amid", + "military", + "engagement", + "states", + "israel", + "gaza", + "hamas", + "middle east" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.93, + "noPrice": 0.07, + "volume24h": 61011.290004, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/internet-access-restored-in-iran-by", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.668Z", + "numericId": "2242023", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.1325, + "endDate": "2026-12-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x877734e7ac509afd52e378193ef32849779213fc831ab797d3fdb80c16deee3d", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League champion goes unbeaten in every match during the Knockout Stages of the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League competition. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, “unbeaten” is defined as having not recorded a loss during any match in any stage of the Knockout Stages. The “Knockout Stages” include every match starting with the Knockout Play-Offs carrying each round of matches through, and including, the Champions League Final.\n\nIf the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and a team is confirmed as unbeaten through the completed matches prior to cancellation or postponement, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "uefa", + "champions", + "unbeaten", + "champion", + "champions league", + "soccer", + "football", + "europe", + "ucl", + "resolve", + "match", + "during", + "knockout", + "stages", + "competition", + "otherwise", + "purpose", + "defined", + "having" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.99, + "noPrice": 0.01, + "volume24h": 60941.859, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/uefa-champions-league-unbeaten-team", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.668Z", + "numericId": "1399434", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x51e8c8df709aa78f64d2d9324d9d2556270f81e3966ade308099e5338bb4e4c9", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "iraq", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "knockout", + "stage", + "immediately" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 60856.05, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.668Z", + "numericId": "558982", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x877734e7ac509afd52e378193ef32849779213fc831ab797d3fdb80c16deee3d", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League champion goes unbeaten in every match during the Knockout Stages of the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League competition. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, “unbeaten” is defined as having not recorded a loss during any match in any stage of the Knockout Stages. The “Knockout Stages” include every match starting with the Knockout Play-Offs carrying each round of matches through, and including, the Champions League Final.\n\nIf the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and a team is confirmed as unbeaten through the completed matches prior to cancellation or postponement, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "uefa", + "champions", + "unbeaten", + "champion", + "champions league", + "soccer", + "football", + "europe", + "ucl", + "resolve", + "match", + "during", + "knockout", + "stages", + "competition", + "otherwise", + "purpose", + "defined", + "having" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.99, + "noPrice": 0.01, + "volume24h": 60941.859, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/uefa-champions-league-unbeaten-team", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.704Z", + "numericId": "1399434", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0005, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x51e8c8df709aa78f64d2d9324d9d2556270f81e3966ade308099e5338bb4e4c9", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "iraq", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "knockout", + "stage", + "immediately" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 60856.05, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.704Z", + "numericId": "558982", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xd9933a54c518e773050255ea9dba01a71e1a41f49311ed078ae4a6f7e76b1625", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Iran closes its airspace by June 15?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN).\n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14/) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iranian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14/). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/iran-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz/3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https://www.intellinews.com/iran-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997/).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.", + "keywords": [ + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "closes", + "airspace", + "june", + "resolve", + "initiates", + "closure", + "solely", + "due", + "weather", + "conditions", + "listed", + "date", + "otherwise", + "defined", + "broad", + "cancellation" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.25, + "noPrice": 0.75, + "volume24h": 60346.07227499996, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-closes-its-airspace-by", + "category": "technology", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.704Z", + "numericId": "2296150", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.014, + "endDate": "2026-06-15" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x2f6a547524c1d290f8a2bbff80be2b0e8ca1b3b716dd3a0e74bf8ddb3e3fd6b7", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Iran leadership change by May 31?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nMojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.\n\nAn official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", + "keywords": [ + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "leadership", + "change", + "may", + "resolve", + "supreme", + "leader", + "mojtaba", + "khamenei", + "ceases", + "facto", + "point", + "between", + "creation", + "listed", + "date", + "otherwise" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 60188.66432599999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leadership-change-by", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.705Z", + "numericId": "1708132", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.003, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xd2d3739630b201fd89af0cff05f679987d30064895e4793a22fb0861ccfdde64", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Ricardo Ruiz Velasco be arrested in 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTemporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "ricardo", + "ruiz", + "velasco", + "arrested", + "resolve", + "listed", + "cartel", + "leader", + "detained", + "law", + "enforcement", + "december", + "otherwise", + "temporary", + "holding", + "detention", + "facility", + "while", + "awaiting", + "judge" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.6, + "noPrice": 0.4, + "volume24h": 60095.068015, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-cartel-leaders-will-be-arrested-in-2026", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.705Z", + "numericId": "1419324", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.01, + "endDate": "2026-02-28" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x699a6fd285f914ca3c6c3cf97156594d323fa8a0503ec444caa9d45dc2a95fc0", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia Mohammed bin Salman ceases to be leader of Saudi Arabia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Mohammed bin Salman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Salman and the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "mohammed", + "bin", + "salman", + "cease", + "facto", + "leader", + "saudi", + "saudi arabia", + "oil", + "opec", + "arabia", + "june", + "resolve", + "crown", + "prince", + "ceases", + "period", + "between", + "creation", + "specified" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 60094.71, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mohammed-bin-salman-out-as-leader-of-saudi-arabia-by", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.705Z", + "numericId": "1709753", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.004, + "endDate": "2026-06-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xebf57e5dfe41449822b5de233c88bdc7c1026fb74ff8e6bc8fa385d8a65bff8d", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?", + "description": "The Daegu mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nInterim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).", + "keywords": [ + "kim", + "north korea", + "nuclear", + "boo", + "kyum", + "daegu", + "mayoral", + "election", + "scheduled", + "june", + "resolve", + "according", + "candidate", + "wins", + "interim", + "temporary", + "caretaker", + "mayors", + "count", + "result" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.14, + "noPrice": 0.86, + "volume24h": 59380.818879000006, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/daegu-mayoral-election-winner", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.705Z", + "numericId": "2062827", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.035, + "endDate": "2026-06-03" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xc298e10d0f16a83e58cb9e7ccce729bdd36f1ea39f1c1336dc71e3b98f5a3258", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.\n\nAny opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.\n\nAnnouncements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.\n\nThe resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "israel", + "gaza", + "hamas", + "middle east", + "reopen", + "embassy", + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "resolve", + "israeli", + "government", + "announces", + "reopening", + "opening", + "consulate", + "otherwise", + "confirmed", + "december", + "official" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.09, + "noPrice": 0.92, + "volume24h": 59164.371736, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-reopen-its-embassy-in-iran-in-2026", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.705Z", + "numericId": "1508916", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.005, + "endDate": "2026-12-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x64d31a2af85518c6718a5757a35b840f08eca20c1e22c0eb1e96ec01cc55b8b6", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", + "keywords": [ + "ron", + "desantis", + "republican", + "presidential", + "nomination", + "resolve", + "named", + "individual", + "wins", + "accepts", + "party", + "president", + "otherwise", + "resolution", + "source", + "consensus", + "official", + "sources", + "replacement" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.04, + "noPrice": 0.96, + "volume24h": 59094.274104, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.705Z", + "numericId": "561979", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xbfda04cc145c9bd504e12be79d04cd7550d07bf2c13df078f9d917a2785551e0", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "$80", + "000", + "may", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "creation", + "through", + "month", + "specified", + "title" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.98, + "volume24h": 58501.41970800001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-may-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.705Z", + "numericId": "2365496", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.06, + "endDate": "2026-06-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xa0f4c4924ea1a8b410b4ce821c2a9955fad21a1b19bdcfde90816732278b3dd5", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?", + "description": "This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final \"High\" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"High\" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "$150k", + "june", + "immediately", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "equal", + "greater", + "specified", + "title", + "59pm" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 58229.75933699998, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-bitcoin-hit-150k", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.705Z", + "numericId": "573655", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0005, + "endDate": "2026-07-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xbb4d51e6364066d92eb6f9b8413dd7193de70966736044463b205834805a1f3b", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis requires a broad consensus of reporting indicating that core structures of the Islamic Republic (e.g. the office of the Supreme Leader, the Guardian Council, IRGC control under clerical authority) have been dissolved, incapacitated, or replaced by a fundamentally different governing system or otherwise lost de facto power over a majority of the population of Iran. This could occur via revolution, civil war, military coup, or voluntary abdication, but only qualifies if the Islamic Republic no longer exercises sovereign power.\n\nRoutine political events such as elections, reforms, or leadership succession do not qualify. Internal coups or power shifts that preserve the Islamic Republic’s core structures also do not qualify. Only a clear break in continuity—such as a new provisional government, revolutionary council, or constitution replacing the Islamic Republic will qualify.\n\nPartial loss of territory or challenges from rebel or exile groups will not qualify unless the Islamic Republic no longer administers the majority of the Iranian population within Iran. \n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. ", + "keywords": [ + "iranian", + "regime", + "fall", + "resolve", + "islamic", + "republic", + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "current", + "ruling", + "overthrown", + "collapsed", + "otherwise", + "ceases", + "govern", + "december", + "requires", + "broad" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.14, + "noPrice": 0.85, + "volume24h": 58168.48513999999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-the-end-of-2026", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.705Z", + "numericId": "663583", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.01, + "endDate": "2026-12-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x5a4e7ebbdc1bd0f0f3c993a50be3a9c004c6a9ed84bd8400fbf0b5af0b65ed71", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will David Njoku play for Atlanta Falcons in 2026-27?", + "description": "This market will resolve to the next team David Njoku officially joins by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nIf David Njoku does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf David Njoku joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf David Njoku is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nAn official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NFL and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.", + "keywords": [ + "david", + "njoku", + "atlanta", + "falcons", + "resolve", + "team", + "officially", + "joins", + "august", + "join", + "listed" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 57720, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-david-njoku-play-in-2026-27", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.705Z", + "numericId": "1485137", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-09-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x63d8f3a34c90bd5342dda8acf62b6a898dfa52f86475efaf180b66493ef6af80", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", + "description": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", + "keywords": [ + "jair", + "bolsonaro", + "brazilian", + "presidential", + "election", + "scheduled", + "brazil", + "october", + "resolve", + "according", + "listed", + "candidate", + "wins", + "includes", + "potential", + "second", + "round", + "result", + "isn't", + "known" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 57142.23677499998, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.705Z", + "numericId": "601820", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.001, + "endDate": "2026-10-04" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x85980a4d08e4cf7911782b632108d17b124171c1e1610cf7861e260c6daf3538", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?", + "description": "A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).", + "keywords": [ + "rebecca", + "shepherd", + "makerfield", + "election", + "kingdom", + "parliamentary", + "constituency", + "expected", + "held", + "june", + "following", + "announced", + "resignation", + "incumbent", + "josh", + "simons", + "resolve", + "according", + "candidate", + "wins" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.05, + "noPrice": 0.95, + "volume24h": 56693.05602, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/makerfield-by-election-winner", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.705Z", + "numericId": "2262267", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.001 + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xa1dc76d34934f2abb0fa402776816d51ee0b6e5591a1a95e1dd77d119fd65fb9", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. \n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.", + "keywords": [ + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "diplomatic", + "meeting", + "may", + "resolve", + "there", + "between", + "representatives", + "states", + "listed", + "date", + "otherwise", + "refers", + "deliberate", + "countries" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 56686.43954000004, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.705Z", + "numericId": "2354043", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0015, + "endDate": "2026-05-28" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xbf511f9b52a61b465e0bd6e075f9bdce9c520ce25a743c28f08de273ee25661f", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Bruma be included in Portugal's official 2026 World Cup squad list?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is announced as a member of the listed nation’s official squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly full squad announcements will be considered. Prior cut lists or previous squad lists other than the officially announced squad lists will not be considered.\n\nIf a player is officially announced as part of the squad but is replaced before the nation’s first game for any reason, the corresponding market will still resolve “Yes”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the listed player cannot be confirmed as a part of the listed nation’s official squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "bruma", + "included", + "portugal's", + "official", + "squad", + "list", + "world cup", + "soccer", + "football", + "fifa", + "resolve", + "listed", + "player", + "announced", + "member", + "nation", + "june", + "otherwise", + "corresponding", + "full" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.04, + "noPrice": 0.96, + "volume24h": 56502, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-player-to-make-portugal-squad", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.705Z", + "numericId": "2119557", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0015 + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x33a87d02fa01e958929385c74b8627d32cc4474e9ebd312d268865c5207147fa", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "jordan", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "football", + "resolve", + "according", + "national", + "team", + "wins", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "based", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "knockout", + "stage", + "immediately" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 56095.17, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-winner-595", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.705Z", + "numericId": "558962", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-07-20" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xe39adea057926dc197fe30a441f57a340b2a232d5a687010f78bba9b6e02620f", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", + "keywords": [ + "gretchen", + "whitmer", + "democratic", + "presidential", + "nomination", + "resolve", + "named", + "individual", + "wins", + "accepts", + "party", + "president", + "otherwise", + "resolution", + "source", + "consensus", + "official", + "sources", + "replacement" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 55846.144898000006, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.705Z", + "numericId": "559659", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x35c73eb41a0ee54b49358c523a2d3335e9df5ee21bba9e526813a6fbaa0f70b6", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. \n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.", + "keywords": [ + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "diplomatic", + "meeting", + "june", + "resolve", + "there", + "between", + "representatives", + "states", + "listed", + "date", + "otherwise", + "refers", + "deliberate", + "countries" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.49, + "noPrice": 0.51, + "volume24h": 55404.266881, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.705Z", + "numericId": "2297890", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.08, + "endDate": "2026-05-15" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x91b97e6a7835e7f9013d083191f95bdef888cffd7b35a26c636bebd9dd03b86d", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 28?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "between", + "$68", + "000", + "$70", + "may", + "resolve", + "according", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "timezone", + "noon" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 54912.96351300003, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-price-on-may-28-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.705Z", + "numericId": "2321924", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0045, + "endDate": "2026-05-28" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xeb339bfd266af8aaf338079de08c6454d423a751c7b7e9c21830eac125d95371", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will David Njoku play for Tennessee Titans in 2026-27?", + "description": "This market will resolve to the next team David Njoku officially joins by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nIf David Njoku does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf David Njoku joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf David Njoku is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nAn official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NFL and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.", + "keywords": [ + "david", + "njoku", + "tennessee", + "titans", + "resolve", + "team", + "officially", + "joins", + "august", + "join", + "listed" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 54255.172656, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-david-njoku-play-in-2026-27", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.705Z", + "numericId": "1485166", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0035, + "endDate": "2026-09-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xc4c3dbcc37a957a817599b0bf9fb5bd6b62b19210b0f527fec57cb75c7ed150a", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?", + "description": "General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) ", + "keywords": [ + "keiko", + "fujimori", + "peruvian", + "presidential", + "election", + "general", + "elections", + "scheduled", + "held", + "peru", + "april", + "resolve", + "according", + "listed", + "candidate", + "wins", + "includes", + "potential", + "second", + "round" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.73, + "noPrice": 0.27, + "volume24h": 54065.91515, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/peru-presidential-election-winner", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.705Z", + "numericId": "947269", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.03, + "endDate": "2026-06-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x7ff6d3f51bc477eb662417c0be118bae95edd30911603e220693ffcfab154d0b", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will David Njoku play for Miami Dolphins in 2026-27?", + "description": "This market will resolve to the next team David Njoku officially joins by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nIf David Njoku does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf David Njoku joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf David Njoku is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nAn official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NFL and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.", + "keywords": [ + "david", + "njoku", + "miami", + "dolphins", + "resolve", + "team", + "officially", + "joins", + "august", + "join", + "listed" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 53720, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-david-njoku-play-in-2026-27", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.706Z", + "numericId": "1485155", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0045, + "endDate": "2026-09-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x707ab64115b0ca83b65bc5137aaa947a11f56885ed82ffcedc3c5b70e1210151", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a military engagement between the military forces of Greece and Turkey by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA \"military engagement\" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Greek and Turkish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a \"Yes\" resolution; however, minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not. \n\nMissiles or drone strikes that are intercepted will not qualify, regardless of whether they land on adversarial territory or cause damage. Similarly, surface-to-air missile strikes impacting adversarial territory will not qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution (although surface-to-air missiles fired at an adversarial military aircraft would qualify).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", + "keywords": [ + "greece", + "turkey", + "military", + "engagement", + "june", + "resolve", + "there", + "between", + "forces", + "otherwise", + "defined", + "incident", + "involving", + "force", + "missile", + "strikes", + "art" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.03, + "noPrice": 0.97, + "volume24h": 53247.52583400001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/greece-x-turkey-military-engagement-by-june-30", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.706Z", + "numericId": "994894", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0295, + "endDate": "2026-06-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x25a6adaefe0088a82af88fd7bb6500408665176d3dca7f78a3059e52df7254ec", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 25-31?", + "description": "This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final \"High\" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"High\" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.", + "keywords": [ + "ethereum", + "eth", + "crypto", + "200", + "may", + "immediately", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "during", + "date", + "range", + "specified", + "title" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.03, + "noPrice": 0.97, + "volume24h": 52969.920807, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-may-25-31-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.706Z", + "numericId": "2350263", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0755, + "endDate": "2026-06-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xe05f83ed91d2dcf7e744f86bbda236525eb9441bbf039c858f5438d9dc3e7431", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nIf SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.", + "keywords": [ + "spacex", + "elon musk", + "rockets", + "starship", + "ipo", + "stocks", + "listing", + "public offering", + "may", + "resolve", + "space", + "exploration", + "technologies", + "corp", + "completes", + "initial", + "public", + "offering", + "listed", + "date" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 52436.35, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/spacex-ipo-by", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.706Z", + "numericId": "1720968", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.001, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xc68eb69c8583ab10115f91d31286c9194ed196e1ceca29e928b96337fc79619b", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-05-29?", + "description": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 29, 2026\nIf Bosnia and Herzegovina wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.", + "keywords": [ + "bosnia", + "herzegovina", + "upcoming", + "scheduled", + "may", + "wins", + "resolve", + "otherwise", + "postponed", + "remain", + "until", + "completed", + "canceled", + "entirely" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.57, + "noPrice": 0.43, + "volume24h": 52293.861634999994, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fif-bih-mac-2026-05-29", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.706Z", + "numericId": "2139900", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.05, + "endDate": "2026-05-29" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xcf72b0f49af9446288a897ac1d73afa72549d98de7860bb17dacc3c4379a2c58", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.\n\nIf multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.", + "keywords": [ + "liam", + "lawson", + "drivers'", + "champion", + "resolve", + "according", + "listed", + "driver", + "finishes", + "1st", + "standings", + "season", + "soon", + "official", + "results", + "scheduled", + "race", + "known", + "multiple", + "drivers" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 52150.91683299999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-f1-drivers-champion", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.706Z", + "numericId": "898425", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-12-06" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xdeb0a6abf730d613190d1b49e64bbedb2af0cc14f8a6f87e8da9282e64c29c0b", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point after market creation during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final \"High\" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIf the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. \n\nPer CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).\n\nThe active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.\n\nFor example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.\n\nIf the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.\n\nIn the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures \"High\" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the \"t=\" parameter.", + "keywords": [ + "wti", + "oil", + "crude", + "energy", + "$115", + "may", + "resolve", + "point", + "creation", + "during", + "minute", + "candle", + "active", + "month", + "futures", + "equal", + "listed", + "otherwise", + "prices", + "used" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 52134.678072, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-wti-hit-in-may-2026", + "category": "climate", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.706Z", + "numericId": "2132638", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.011, + "endDate": "2026-06-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xd0536d9612e041312235baceac52bde48821e8aad4607533513b3782904b7d49", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", + "description": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", + "keywords": [ + "geraldo", + "alckmin", + "brazilian", + "presidential", + "election", + "scheduled", + "brazil", + "october", + "resolve", + "according", + "listed", + "candidate", + "wins", + "includes", + "potential", + "second", + "round", + "result", + "isn't", + "known" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 51431.588566, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.706Z", + "numericId": "601830", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-10-04" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x88d573d2ba5e43e1320cf0eb733452feb4cb4a1d4780dcb05ac6ee6830c2e4c3", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.\n\nIf multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.", + "keywords": [ + "pierre", + "gasly", + "drivers'", + "champion", + "resolve", + "according", + "listed", + "driver", + "finishes", + "1st", + "standings", + "season", + "soon", + "official", + "results", + "scheduled", + "race", + "known", + "multiple", + "drivers" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 51172.94000000001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-f1-drivers-champion", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.706Z", + "numericId": "898423", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-12-06" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xfe28cb84a714b1a964290d7fd2587e71d57e905678c8ab64488449b24be78e52", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.", + "keywords": [ + "fed", + "federal reserve", + "fomc", + "interest rates", + "rate", + "cuts", + "happen", + "resolve", + "according", + "exact", + "amount", + "basis", + "points", + "including", + "during", + "december", + "meeting", + "emergency", + "outside", + "scheduled" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 51136.445453000015, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026", + "category": "economics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.706Z", + "numericId": "616910", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.001, + "endDate": "2026-12-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x3523a6cd9082c05d1d5e70b91d54e3c89f72ead2fbb6060ef3ae905e50427576", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Russia capture Havrylivka by June 30, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.0728° N, 36.5235° E in Havrylivka by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nIntersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Havrylivka+1.png\n\nIntersection Location in Havrylivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Havrylivka+2.png\n\nHavrylivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Havrylivka+3.png\n\nLocation on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/bpdGhKirAxb1ZT3k9\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.", + "keywords": [ + "russia", + "capture", + "havrylivka", + "june", + "resolve", + "according", + "isw", + "map", + "captures", + "intersection", + "0728", + "5235", + "listed", + "date", + "considered", + "captured", + "shaded", + "red", + "https", + "storymaps" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.09, + "noPrice": 0.92, + "volume24h": 50983.419561999995, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-havrylivka-by-february-28", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.706Z", + "numericId": "2373844", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-06-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x36db77c539bcc8c7bf0686c1b99f30c5a5eed1f53d3b3a27a071550c81f83701", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", + "keywords": [ + "mark", + "kelly", + "democratic", + "presidential", + "nomination", + "resolve", + "named", + "individual", + "wins", + "accepts", + "party", + "president", + "otherwise", + "resolution", + "source", + "consensus", + "official", + "sources", + "replacement" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.02, + "noPrice": 0.98, + "volume24h": 50949.885522, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.706Z", + "numericId": "559668", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.001, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xeda0e0633f131b761cbe6c6e5e16ae347c48d9448a08c5826bfc2c794b63758e", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.\n\nOnly the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.\n\nNote that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.\n\nOnly days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily \"Settlement\" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.", + "keywords": [ + "crude", + "oil", + "wti", + "energy", + "$150", + "june", + "resolve", + "trading", + "official", + "cme", + "settlement", + "active", + "month", + "front", + "futures", + "equal", + "listed", + "otherwise" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.04, + "noPrice": 0.95, + "volume24h": 50856.26040199999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/cl-hit-jun-2026", + "category": "climate", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.706Z", + "numericId": "1494702", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-06-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x94d22b2d3bac37778fe999f94297664908723f5742ffb9d8c1992be8cff0ed29", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Tush Push banned for 2026 NFL Season?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the NFL officially announces a rule change that prohibits, limits, or penalizes the “tush push” from being used in the 2026 season before the start of the first regular season game of the 2026 NFL season. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe “tush push” refers to a football play in which an offensive player or multiple offensive players line up directly behind the quarterback and push the quarterback forward immediately after the snap. A qualifying rule change must affect the use of this play. Partial bans, such as rules that ban pushing the quarterback only in certain situations (e.g. on quarterback sneaks), restrict who can push the quarterback, or impose penalties that specifically target the “tush push” formation or execution, will qualify.\n\nThe market will resolve based on the first official announcement from the NFL. If the league announces that the tush push will not be banned for the 2026 NFL season, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAnnouncements of future rule changes affecting the use of the \"tush push\" which don't apply to the 2026 NFL season will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official NFL announcements however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. ", + "keywords": [ + "tush", + "push", + "banned", + "nfl", + "football", + "super bowl", + "season", + "resolve", + "officially", + "announces", + "rule", + "change", + "prohibits", + "limits", + "penalizes", + "being", + "used", + "regular", + "otherwise", + "pus" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.02, + "noPrice": 0.98, + "volume24h": 50622.84135399998, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tush-push-banned-for-2026-nfl-season", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.706Z", + "numericId": "696293", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0005, + "endDate": "2026-09-10" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x83d00d2378c0f5bb34a3a8e9b009bde54f0ab34668bf6a456aec1e66bf961481", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.", + "keywords": [ + "elaine", + "culotti", + "california", + "governor", + "election", + "resolve", + "according", + "candidate", + "wins", + "gubernatorial", + "currently", + "scheduled", + "november", + "results", + "confirmed", + "july", + "resolution", + "source" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 50407.76444900001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-election-2026", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.706Z", + "numericId": "628958", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-11-03" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x43272c02b8407ed3f8d5b04fb4cb132d7a59c5df6ecc423afcf66f1c778d1887", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?", + "description": "If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a \"visit\" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", + "keywords": [ + "reza", + "pahlavi", + "enter", + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "june", + "visits", + "between", + "creation", + "resolve", + "otherwise", + "purpose", + "visit", + "defined", + "physically", + "entering", + "terrestrial", + "territory" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.02, + "noPrice": 0.98, + "volume24h": 50341.826415999996, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-reza-pahlavi-enter-iran-by-june-30", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.706Z", + "numericId": "1090199", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.002, + "endDate": "2026-06-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xdd3d104667774208eae2239f576122ecdd1c04ba81cc14d26d22a36b33887977", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", + "description": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", + "keywords": [ + "fernando", + "haddad", + "brazilian", + "presidential", + "election", + "scheduled", + "brazil", + "october", + "resolve", + "according", + "listed", + "candidate", + "wins", + "includes", + "potential", + "second", + "round", + "result", + "isn't", + "known" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.06, + "noPrice": 0.94, + "volume24h": 49881.59045400001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.707Z", + "numericId": "601821", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0005, + "endDate": "2026-10-04" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xadf9292cd561b74b65e253b4daf16af67151cc85622ee04143153c7880b38cbd", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 28?", + "description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 May '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", + "keywords": [ + "highest", + "temperature", + "seoul", + "may", + "resolve", + "range", + "contains", + "recorded", + "incheon", + "intl", + "airport", + "station", + "degrees", + "celsius", + "'26", + "resolution", + "source", + "information", + "wunderground", + "specifically" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 49699.24658, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-may-28-2026", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.707Z", + "numericId": "2358503", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.105, + "endDate": "2026-05-28" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x4fbd02c4ea776cff3138d484b6500277cabb70d644196804d535e9b07e0c7d0f", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?", + "description": "This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", + "keywords": [ + "apple", + "aapl", + "iphone", + "tim cook", + "largest", + "company", + "cap", + "may", + "resolve", + "resolution", + "source", + "consensus", + "credible", + "reporting" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 49243.953976000004, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/largest-company-end-of-may-167", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.707Z", + "numericId": "1999718", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xafd3f96b7b6084509e625270538ff0699003fafc042263c1216e7f084cef753a", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", + "description": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", + "keywords": [ + "aldo", + "rebelo", + "brazilian", + "presidential", + "election", + "scheduled", + "brazil", + "october", + "resolve", + "according", + "listed", + "candidate", + "wins", + "includes", + "potential", + "second", + "round", + "result", + "isn't", + "known" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 48735.729, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.707Z", + "numericId": "601832", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-10-04" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x33a0c8118b14ee1746065c4865c8075618a56d8d04b5424e6b75bcd169f0af22", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 28?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "between", + "$74", + "000", + "$76", + "may", + "resolve", + "according", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "timezone", + "noon" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 48481.038784000004, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-price-on-may-28-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.707Z", + "numericId": "2321934", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.5845, + "endDate": "2026-05-28" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xbca3d70ec52a5a441ccc365a3b1b48b9cd0f08dfff4bc5871e2cd92d0d92caa1", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", + "description": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", + "keywords": [ + "ronaldo", + "soccer", + "football", + "cr7", + "caiado", + "brazilian", + "presidential", + "election", + "scheduled", + "brazil", + "october", + "resolve", + "according", + "listed", + "candidate", + "wins", + "includes", + "potential", + "second", + "round" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 48477.15405500001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.707Z", + "numericId": "601827", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.004, + "endDate": "2026-10-04" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x0c96166d4705fa0f2d3e1c973263e4470a63633aa81cdd010f5a3b8184054821", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 28?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.", + "keywords": [ + "xrp", + "ripple", + "between", + "may", + "resolve", + "according", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "timezone", + "noon", + "date", + "specified", + "title", + "otherwise" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 47471.156861, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/xrp-price-on-may-28-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.707Z", + "numericId": "2322079", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0105, + "endDate": "2026-05-28" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x11e0a8a91716f077dababd36759f933d9e85fb3ee3fbfa589894c71d3a3c2579", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 29?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "$82", + "000", + "may", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "timezone", + "noon", + "date", + "specified", + "title" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 47194.13616599999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-may-29-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.708Z", + "numericId": "2361679", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.003, + "endDate": "2026-05-29" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x61600d487069f99e775307a0655c1a79f26e4fc6d8d1ba66790c64d78d0beba2", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?", + "description": "The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.\n\nThis market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.", + "keywords": [ + "jon", + "ossoff", + "presidential", + "election", + "scheduled", + "november", + "resolve", + "person", + "wins", + "resolution", + "source", + "associated", + "press", + "fox", + "news", + "nbc", + "three", + "sources", + "cal" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.03, + "noPrice": 0.97, + "volume24h": 47187.25493499999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.708Z", + "numericId": "561261", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x2d8ddd9ea670f9992c03353c033062a0014ca09166d8b15b9489ae9e4e0b6ca4", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open?", + "description": "The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "learner", + "tien", + "men's", + "french", + "scheduled", + "may", + "june", + "resolve", + "player", + "wins", + "singles", + "tournament", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "listed", + "rules", + "tournamen" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.02, + "noPrice": 0.98, + "volume24h": 46715.62072899999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-french-open-winner", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.708Z", + "numericId": "1087543", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.012, + "endDate": "2026-06-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xba8af64c1b08f322ca7f66f3cfdbdfd50c0eae6fc88d2fcf29c30ceb62682421", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.\n\nOnly the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.\n\nNote that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.\n\nOnly days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily \"Settlement\" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.", + "keywords": [ + "crude", + "oil", + "wti", + "energy", + "$120", + "june", + "resolve", + "trading", + "official", + "cme", + "settlement", + "active", + "month", + "front", + "futures", + "equal", + "listed", + "between", + "creation", + "otherwise" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.15, + "noPrice": 0.85, + "volume24h": 46258.501366, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/cl-hit-jun-2026", + "category": "climate", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.708Z", + "numericId": "1652677", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.015, + "endDate": "2026-06-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x8213d395e079614d6c4d7f4cbb9be9337ab51648a21cc2a334ae8f1966d164b4", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if MicroStrategy sells any of its Bitcoin by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from MSTR and on-chain data, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "microstrategy", + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "mstr", + "saylor", + "sells", + "crypto", + "december", + "resolve", + "date", + "specified", + "title", + "otherwise", + "primary", + "resolution", + "source", + "information", + "chain", + "data", + "however" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.84, + "noPrice": 0.16, + "volume24h": 46149.194524, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/microstrategy-sell-any-bitcoin-in-2025", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.708Z", + "numericId": "824952", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.02, + "endDate": "2027-01-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xd302682785cc2541dc5f4cc4af51fa881667b603d4ee27f432ca57772ce5e8b2", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe number of daily transit calls/arrivals includes container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points, made within this market’s timeframe, will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for May 31, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.", + "keywords": [ + "ships", + "transit", + "strait", + "hormuz", + "may", + "resolve", + "imf", + "portwatch", + "publishes", + "daily", + "number", + "calls", + "arrivals", + "equal", + "listed", + "date", + "between", + "creation", + "otherwise", + "tran" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.02, + "noPrice": 0.98, + "volume24h": 45688.408342, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-may-31", + "category": "technology", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.708Z", + "numericId": "2119073", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.01, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x1a1346d763389455dac46a51e20c4cc25aecef5323f1701a440cc11d4c3f129e", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "putin", + "russia", + "ukraine", + "kremlin", + "president", + "june", + "resolve", + "vladimir", + "ceases", + "period", + "between", + "creation", + "specified", + "date", + "otherwise", + "announcement", + "putin's", + "resignation", + "removal", + "market's" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 44567.048808, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/putin-out-as-president-of-russia-by-june-30", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.708Z", + "numericId": "958448", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-06-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xf63caf20875e7ac593d1157942ac90ac5e44c7181a4389e8c3c2c55a8092144e", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 30?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "$82", + "000", + "may", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "timezone", + "noon", + "date", + "specified", + "title" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 44416.348259, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-may-30-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.708Z", + "numericId": "2340275", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.01, + "endDate": "2026-05-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x6619036865c2d27f1b1c00cd565ce74f6aa72ef93be29c315be36941d3559c59", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nMarket capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.", + "keywords": [ + "spacex", + "elon musk", + "rockets", + "starship", + "ipo", + "stocks", + "listing", + "public offering", + "closing", + "cap", + "$2t", + "resolve", + "official", + "capitalization", + "trading", + "specified", + "title", + "otherwise", + "occurs", + "december" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.78, + "noPrice": 0.22, + "volume24h": 44179.30242699999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-above", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.709Z", + "numericId": "915770", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.06, + "endDate": "2027-12-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x4ac3753dc89ec2c0485a8c705672fa43a78475a95b906c7463b597b4bf6fd801", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on May 28?", + "description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 May '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", + "keywords": [ + "highest", + "temperature", + "london", + "higher", + "may", + "resolve", + "range", + "contains", + "recorded", + "airport", + "station", + "degrees", + "celsius", + "'26", + "resolution", + "source", + "information", + "wunderground", + "specifically" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.99, + "noPrice": 0.01, + "volume24h": 44091.538774, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-london-on-may-28-2026", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.709Z", + "numericId": "2358458", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.5395, + "endDate": "2026-05-28" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x6dcab34d49f8b1dae2bb5f771974ac214775aa9a8f58f3efc9a874d3f4f5ed34", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 30?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "$66", + "000", + "may", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "timezone", + "noon", + "date", + "specified", + "title" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.99, + "noPrice": 0.01, + "volume24h": 44020.80951800001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-may-30-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.709Z", + "numericId": "2340260", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.002, + "endDate": "2026-05-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x5cb06b7b2a3b504c3b52fa20cecd21676b3383c34fd227489ce2890bdb7672af", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 28?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "between", + "$70", + "000", + "$72", + "may", + "resolve", + "according", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "timezone", + "noon" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 43735.71375899999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-price-on-may-28-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.709Z", + "numericId": "2321927", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0065, + "endDate": "2026-05-28" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x6897736d782ce70f47126dfcec6669073f563d6e757e60bc61c0367370d6f73e", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\n“No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.\n\nTemporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.\n\nAn announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.\n\nIf control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.\n\nIf control over Kharg Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.", + "keywords": [ + "kharg", + "island", + "longer", + "iranian", + "control", + "june", + "resolve", + "otherwise", + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "means", + "exercises", + "primary", + "governmental", + "military" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.07, + "noPrice": 0.94, + "volume24h": 43642.821931, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-march-31", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.709Z", + "numericId": "1708086", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.01, + "endDate": "2026-06-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x694595d0a008f10e4701285d071e4b08407495f6f8a6bd8cbdd7de522fa9b463", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?", + "description": "The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.", + "keywords": [ + "nithya", + "raman", + "los", + "angeles", + "mayoral", + "election", + "held", + "june", + "elect", + "mayor", + "california", + "candidate", + "receives", + "majority", + "vote", + "runoff", + "november", + "resolve", + "according", + "wins" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.2, + "noPrice": 0.8, + "volume24h": 43570.809174999995, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/los-angeles-mayoral-election-117", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.709Z", + "numericId": "629040", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.14, + "endDate": "2026-06-02" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x88d67705780a3d922317ecb0c78a947a306174d0510df2ae89394d5abfb28206", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", + "keywords": [ + "barack", + "obama", + "democratic", + "presidential", + "nomination", + "resolve", + "named", + "individual", + "wins", + "accepts", + "party", + "president", + "otherwise", + "resolution", + "source", + "consensus", + "official", + "sources", + "replacement" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 43185.293575000025, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.709Z", + "numericId": "559676", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x3265b10daeb30dbcc3214bd02e488551d0a5d3028392f4152e4750b943fbfc91", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", + "keywords": [ + "tim", + "walz", + "democratic", + "presidential", + "nomination", + "resolve", + "named", + "individual", + "wins", + "accepts", + "party", + "president", + "otherwise", + "resolution", + "source", + "consensus", + "official", + "sources", + "replacement" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 43008.67410900003, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.709Z", + "numericId": "559666", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x40d85bb0c07156d8078ed03df11bea9aff0c6700a5186c9848307f00503b2060", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?", + "description": "The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "jakub", + "mensik", + "men's", + "french", + "scheduled", + "may", + "june", + "resolve", + "player", + "wins", + "singles", + "tournament", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "listed", + "rules", + "tournamen" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 42858.073318999996, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-french-open-winner", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.709Z", + "numericId": "1087521", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.001, + "endDate": "2026-06-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x5df32efd49cf0f72257fb4af61a41c19ea60f241d5bafd2974db33d9df96d124", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 28?", + "description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 May '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", + "keywords": [ + "highest", + "temperature", + "paris", + "may", + "resolve", + "range", + "contains", + "recorded", + "bourget", + "airport", + "station", + "degrees", + "celsius", + "'26", + "resolution", + "source", + "information", + "wunderground", + "specifically" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 42825.341426000006, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-paris-on-may-28-2026", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.709Z", + "numericId": "2358466", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.4795, + "endDate": "2026-05-28" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x4dec0ddb49e5b4c025ee04135a4e1c99c47cb47e12113056f84f41979fc4e4de", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe number of daily transit calls/arrivals includes container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points, made within this market’s timeframe, will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for May 31, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.", + "keywords": [ + "ships", + "transit", + "strait", + "hormuz", + "may", + "resolve", + "imf", + "portwatch", + "publishes", + "daily", + "number", + "calls", + "arrivals", + "equal", + "listed", + "date", + "between", + "creation", + "otherwise", + "tran" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.04, + "noPrice": 0.96, + "volume24h": 42712.61193100001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-may-31", + "category": "technology", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.709Z", + "numericId": "2119072", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0145, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x65f5c4e3c6853a68fb50b59054dfe4c9e5ca5b705e04ed008185648334d1931d", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?", + "description": "On April 12, 2026, President Donald Trump announced that the United States will blockade the Strait of Hormuz. You can read more about that here: https://www.nbcnews.com/world/iran/live-blog/live-updates-us-iran-fail-reach-deal-peace-talks-day-negotiations-rcna315918.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces the end of the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nQualifying statements must clearly and explicitly indicate that the United States has lifted, ended, or will lift or end its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on a specified date or use equivalently definitive language unambiguously signaling that such blockade has ceased or is set to cease on a specified date (e.g., statements unambiguously indicating that US naval activity in the relevant area has ceased will qualify). \n\nStatements that merely describe actions inconsistent with the blockade (e.g., \"Iran resumed shipping through the Strait of Hormuz\") without explicitly indicating the blockade as lifted will not alone suffice.\n\nInformal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.\n\nWritten public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nNote: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the blockade is effectively enforced or whether maritime traffic resumes absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered.", + "keywords": [ + "donald", + "trump", + "president", + "potus", + "administration", + "gop", + "republican", + "announce", + "states", + "blockade", + "strait", + "hormuz", + "lifted", + "june", + "donald trump", + "april", + "announced", + "you", + "can", + "read" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.39, + "noPrice": 0.61, + "volume24h": 42563.301819, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-announces-us-blockade-of-hormuz-lifted-by", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.709Z", + "numericId": "2354023", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.025, + "endDate": "2026-06-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xc6176e61dc008476c102b63a254d228a19a131c7d209a22444b9c4c7132f78da", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.", + "keywords": [ + "openai", + "ai", + "artificial intelligence", + "chatgpt", + "gpt", + "llm", + "best", + "model", + "may", + "resolve", + "according", + "company", + "owns", + "highest", + "arena", + "rank", + "based", + "chatbot", + "leaderboard", + "https" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 42407.65062499999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-end-of-may", + "category": "technology", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.709Z", + "numericId": "1975536", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0025, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x3d28ab8c7f74cb4f3bc5e7eadfe59934e24c5433a71459ccf5ed1b48d7669563", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Pharco FC win on 2026-05-28?", + "description": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 28, 2026\nIf Pharco FC wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", + "keywords": [ + "pharco", + "upcoming", + "scheduled", + "may", + "wins", + "resolve", + "otherwise", + "postponed", + "remain", + "until", + "completed", + "canceled", + "entirely" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.99, + "noPrice": 0.01, + "volume24h": 42403.635624999995, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/egy1-iss-phf-2026-05-28", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.710Z", + "numericId": "2304970", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.6595, + "endDate": "2026-05-28" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x2c03c41e5032364cb7166e842bdd22913f28aa2c837d8432704aa89c338875c8", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?", + "description": "The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.\n\nThis market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.", + "keywords": [ + "pete", + "buttigieg", + "presidential", + "election", + "scheduled", + "november", + "resolve", + "person", + "wins", + "resolution", + "source", + "associated", + "press", + "fox", + "news", + "nbc", + "three", + "sources", + "cal" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.02, + "noPrice": 0.98, + "volume24h": 42264.768446, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.710Z", + "numericId": "561232", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x41c6341dd79903aca4bb0c29f5a7976946c3774d2fd72f38cbb7de7092144520", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", + "keywords": [ + "mike", + "pence", + "republican", + "presidential", + "nomination", + "resolve", + "named", + "individual", + "wins", + "accepts", + "party", + "president", + "otherwise", + "resolution", + "source", + "consensus", + "official", + "sources", + "replacement" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 42201.32430199997, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.710Z", + "numericId": "561995", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x60e3040779d2493128281cf0f5ae14be765777c501f8af86232ceec09dba49f2", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "$77", + "500", + "may", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "creation", + "through", + "month", + "specified", + "title" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.07, + "noPrice": 0.93, + "volume24h": 42151.679978, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-may-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.710Z", + "numericId": "2365497", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.41, + "endDate": "2026-06-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x1377771681ecdfb3adaee882e48d47187c3e93660c60b1898f45726cbf566381", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 28?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on May 28, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nClosing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIf S&P 500 (SPY) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.\n\nFor a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth \"Close\" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.\n\nIf the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.\n\nIf the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nIn the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the \"Close\" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD.", + "keywords": [ + "s&p", + "sp500", + "s&p 500", + "stocks", + "500", + "spy", + "closes", + "$755", + "may", + "equities", + "resolve", + "higher", + "listed", + "otherwise", + "two", + "specified", + "prices", + "exactly", + "equal", + "closing" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 41810.179943, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/spy-closes-above-on-may-28-2026", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.710Z", + "numericId": "2369401", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.1795, + "endDate": "2026-05-28" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x8fc141205ebce5adf437bfdf4d0c5ff58ff24293b79c9431991346c208bb48ed", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?", + "description": "The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.\n\nThis market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.", + "keywords": [ + "tulsi", + "gabbard", + "presidential", + "election", + "scheduled", + "november", + "resolve", + "person", + "wins", + "resolution", + "source", + "associated", + "press", + "fox", + "news", + "nbc", + "three", + "sources", + "cal" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 41547.823533999996, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.710Z", + "numericId": "561242", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xc2db6688c6df422104ee751fad721b03ade9c50a8b3c85588cfe4a20ae62ff63", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?", + "description": "This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", + "keywords": [ + "apple", + "aapl", + "iphone", + "tim cook", + "largest", + "company", + "cap", + "june", + "resolve", + "resolution", + "source", + "consensus", + "credible", + "reporting" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.03, + "noPrice": 0.97, + "volume24h": 41344.651284, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/largest-company-end-of-june-712", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.710Z", + "numericId": "631183", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0055, + "endDate": "2026-06-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x4c325469d9b516ef4e6b8f73a81a12607dec075e3c2fd454f91765aaeafc4760", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", + "keywords": [ + "pete", + "buttigieg", + "democratic", + "presidential", + "nomination", + "resolve", + "named", + "individual", + "wins", + "accepts", + "party", + "president", + "otherwise", + "resolution", + "source", + "consensus", + "official", + "sources", + "replacement" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.04, + "noPrice": 0.96, + "volume24h": 41330.32103499999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.710Z", + "numericId": "559654", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.001, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x919c9bc428d2d19400437852066582b11bb7b00ad78529a0069cde76766b9faf", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", + "description": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", + "keywords": [ + "helder", + "barbalho", + "brazilian", + "presidential", + "election", + "scheduled", + "brazil", + "october", + "resolve", + "according", + "listed", + "candidate", + "wins", + "includes", + "potential", + "second", + "round", + "result", + "isn't", + "known" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 41163.514, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.710Z", + "numericId": "601834", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-10-04" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x3cd6e52603d80ddbbdac9b1a4d43f9b7faa6aae4fae4d0fdfad3bd58454da7d3", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", + "keywords": [ + "jasmine", + "crockett", + "democratic", + "presidential", + "nomination", + "resolve", + "named", + "individual", + "wins", + "accepts", + "party", + "president", + "otherwise", + "resolution", + "source", + "consensus", + "official", + "sources", + "replacement" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 41133.79164, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.710Z", + "numericId": "559692", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xda4dc819cd88dd36cb35d9af91da91eac5b3a20f41718b69bf9ab56e57bb1a07", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 29?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "$68", + "000", + "may", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "timezone", + "noon", + "date", + "specified", + "title" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.99, + "noPrice": 0.01, + "volume24h": 40918.441736, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-may-29-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.710Z", + "numericId": "2361672", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.004, + "endDate": "2026-05-29" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xb45bcc8c4580c1c015f6e17c5bd13e2fa31c27920cafe3ddbf59b4b5fbd526f2", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab for \"Math\" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Math\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.", + "keywords": [ + "google", + "googl", + "alphabet", + "best", + "math", + "model", + "may", + "resolve", + "according", + "company", + "owns", + "highest", + "arena", + "rank", + "based", + "chatbot", + "llm", + "ai", + "artificial intelligence", + "leaderboard" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.84, + "noPrice": 0.16, + "volume24h": 40902.13085700001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-math-ai-model-end-of-may", + "category": "technology", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.710Z", + "numericId": "2070337", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.06, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x1d6a4514ffe89c4aa8afc2718c36ce95aae0477130cf1a6d547fcae9a4dfa18b", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will HEROIC win IEM Cologne Major 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the IEM Cologne 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for June 2nd - June 21st, 2026.\n\nIf this tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Cologne) may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "heroic", + "iem", + "cologne", + "resolve", + "according", + "winner", + "tournament", + "currently", + "scheduled", + "june", + "2nd", + "21st", + "cancelled", + "postponed", + "july", + "declared", + "within", + "timeframe" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 40687.60514099999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iem-cologne-major-2026-winner", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.710Z", + "numericId": "1892285", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.001, + "endDate": "2026-06-21" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xdaa4866bae18be58c5a79d2aeeffd035ec78f1bb49dbd88f72993997778a990f", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?", + "description": "This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final \"High\" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"High\" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "$100", + "000", + "december", + "immediately", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "between", + "november", + "timezone", + "equal" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.34, + "noPrice": 0.67, + "volume24h": 40442.276443, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-before-2027", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.710Z", + "numericId": "701496", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.015, + "endDate": "2027-01-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xcf25ccc8360f3952139fb5e3f14cb9bb0636cb53d0e30e947321ceccab7e9780", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?", + "description": "This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “Low” prices available at:\nhttps://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT\nwith the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.", + "keywords": [ + "ethereum", + "eth", + "crypto", + "dip", + "500", + "december", + "immediately", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "between", + "november", + "timezone", + "low" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.57, + "noPrice": 0.43, + "volume24h": 40437.023246000004, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-before-2027", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.710Z", + "numericId": "701552", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.07, + "endDate": "2027-01-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x5fd7a14573c76aff95dee08cc00dbc0e87a6c7ba374bad1300e9aff5f0b98611", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open?", + "description": "The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "andrey", + "rublev", + "men's", + "french", + "scheduled", + "may", + "june", + "resolve", + "player", + "wins", + "singles", + "tournament", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "listed", + "rules", + "tournamen" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.02, + "noPrice": 0.98, + "volume24h": 40366.93957100001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-french-open-winner", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.710Z", + "numericId": "1087532", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0105, + "endDate": "2026-06-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x9d3f02264a94bafc676afd7add8b11442e6ec72dabaa69cefef835f0672275c7", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": " Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.\n\nAny agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. \n\nAgreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. ", + "keywords": [ + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "agrees", + "enrichment", + "uranium", + "june", + "resolve", + "publicly", + "otherwise", + "official", + "pledge", + "qualify", + "resolution", + "unilateral", + "announcemen" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.29, + "noPrice": 0.71, + "volume24h": 40197.983731999986, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-by-june-30", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.756Z", + "numericId": "1370652", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.075, + "endDate": "2026-06-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x101d084cd035070abde58d8a3113b78e11ba68028b0d9e7e38ea7d780797aecc", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", + "description": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", + "keywords": [ + "camilo", + "santana", + "brazilian", + "presidential", + "election", + "scheduled", + "brazil", + "october", + "resolve", + "according", + "listed", + "candidate", + "wins", + "includes", + "potential", + "second", + "round", + "result", + "isn't", + "known" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 40005.31398899999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.756Z", + "numericId": "601829", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.003, + "endDate": "2026-10-04" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x48b0b0bca515f68fccf95af4793dbd0edbfec1f8ec6e8df2c0f69ba74f8c4722", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Trump out as President before 2027?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.\n\nA sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", + "keywords": [ + "trump", + "president", + "potus", + "administration", + "gop", + "republican", + "resolve", + "donald", + "resigns", + "removed", + "otherwise", + "ceases", + "states", + "period", + "december", + "announcement", + "trump's", + "resignation", + "remo" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.1, + "noPrice": 0.9, + "volume24h": 39622.33456599999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-out-as-president-before-2027", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.756Z", + "numericId": "666861", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-12-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x47b6b130aec759db0a1e77ea8ddd3ae4f38bcc89ed8ca6172449d0e00f1bd6f7", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. \n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.", + "keywords": [ + "israel", + "gaza", + "hamas", + "middle east", + "lebanon", + "diplomatic", + "meeting", + "may", + "resolve", + "there", + "between", + "representatives", + "listed", + "date", + "otherwise", + "refers", + "deliberate", + "countries" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.77, + "noPrice": 0.23, + "volume24h": 39092.19395, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-lebanon-diplomatic-meeting-by-may-31-177", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.756Z", + "numericId": "2325745", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.02, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xfcfa29784937e16ee9a00acda6423788a50b5b00b626fcf3313d4710ea20791c", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Yoon Jae-ok win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?", + "description": "The Daegu mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nInterim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).", + "keywords": [ + "yoon", + "jae", + "daegu", + "mayoral", + "election", + "scheduled", + "june", + "resolve", + "according", + "candidate", + "wins", + "interim", + "temporary", + "caretaker", + "mayors", + "count", + "result", + "isn't", + "known", + "december" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 39070, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/daegu-mayoral-election-winner", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.756Z", + "numericId": "2062830", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-06-03" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x4e58c05b833863433e5e4b81afd0aa46ce39373e6999b90cf1769aaf3fa7b2a2", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will \"The Breadwinner\" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to how much \"The Breadwinner\" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 29 - May 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.", + "keywords": [ + "breadwinner", + "opening", + "weekend", + "box", + "office", + "greater", + "box office", + "movie", + "film", + "revenue", + "theater", + "resolve", + "according", + "gross", + "domestically", + "daily", + "performance", + "figures", + "found", + "tab" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.73, + "noPrice": 0.27, + "volume24h": 39059.900443, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/the-breadwinner-opening-weekend-box-office", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.756Z", + "numericId": "2361313", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.43, + "endDate": "2026-06-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xc00920db6f5e84821a61bd31578499bbc9bd125949572b589b7a9e4b0f13bad3", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?", + "description": "Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.\n\nIf the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).", + "keywords": [ + "cepeda", + "castro", + "1st", + "round", + "colombian", + "presidential", + "election", + "colombia's", + "elections", + "scheduled", + "may", + "second", + "required", + "june", + "case", + "candidate", + "secures", + "valid", + "votes", + "resolve" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.72, + "noPrice": 0.28, + "volume24h": 39016.62432900001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/colombia-presidential-election-1st-round-winner", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.756Z", + "numericId": "569343", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.03, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xdf8e2dc5860027decbe6164555c3c1c9645c3bd33e16b9dc57ca87125047d4a8", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", + "description": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", + "keywords": [ + "luiz", + "cio", + "lula", + "silva", + "brazilian", + "presidential", + "election", + "scheduled", + "brazil", + "october", + "resolve", + "according", + "listed", + "candidate", + "wins", + "includes", + "potential", + "second", + "round", + "result" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.41, + "noPrice": 0.58, + "volume24h": 38667.712593, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.756Z", + "numericId": "601819", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.02, + "endDate": "2026-10-04" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x1071f85ef997fa8e0751bf31d7ab7da072df6fb503b1e434c94bfad54d866275", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 29?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.", + "keywords": [ + "ethereum", + "eth", + "crypto", + "100", + "may", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "timezone", + "noon", + "date", + "specified", + "title", + "higher" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.02, + "noPrice": 0.98, + "volume24h": 38488.82135100001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-on-may-29-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.757Z", + "numericId": "2361687", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.24, + "endDate": "2026-05-29" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x29283b56d3eec6d1d89fff51793d9d2e01579d2379b1d3e9ebda175d3561e809", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", + "keywords": [ + "phil", + "murphy", + "democratic", + "presidential", + "nomination", + "resolve", + "named", + "individual", + "wins", + "accepts", + "party", + "president", + "otherwise", + "resolution", + "source", + "consensus", + "official", + "sources", + "replacement" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 38383.48529399997, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.757Z", + "numericId": "559680", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xadbbbc1a60ea14011306da73629d9e91a0a57f94dc117cfaace34b9f6f014938", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will CDP Junior FC win on 2026-05-28?", + "description": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 28, 2026\nIf CDP Junior FC wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.", + "keywords": [ + "cdp", + "junior", + "upcoming", + "scheduled", + "may", + "wins", + "resolve", + "otherwise", + "postponed", + "remain", + "until", + "completed", + "canceled", + "entirely" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.07, + "noPrice": 0.94, + "volume24h": 38017.35870500001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lib-pal-jun-2026-05-28", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.757Z", + "numericId": "2132973", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.005, + "endDate": "2026-05-28" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x86c4455035d81c512138b8e38ade7defdb46708d3ee43098cdc8429a7d3b9bd9", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.\n\nOnly the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.\n\nNote that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.\n\nOnly days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily \"Settlement\" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.", + "keywords": [ + "crude", + "oil", + "wti", + "energy", + "$105", + "june", + "resolve", + "trading", + "official", + "cme", + "settlement", + "active", + "month", + "front", + "futures", + "equal", + "listed", + "between", + "creation", + "otherwise" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.35, + "noPrice": 0.65, + "volume24h": 37885.30698399999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/cl-hit-jun-2026", + "category": "climate", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.757Z", + "numericId": "2235983", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.025, + "endDate": "2026-06-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xe3f8272f4957b7dcc492d988e5c7cd6dbb2f4111cd309571514a280938d617f1", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or below the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.\n\nOnly the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.\n\nNote that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.\n\nOnly days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily \"Settlement\" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.", + "keywords": [ + "crude", + "oil", + "wti", + "energy", + "low", + "$70", + "june", + "resolve", + "trading", + "official", + "cme", + "settlement", + "active", + "month", + "front", + "futures", + "equal", + "listed", + "between", + "creation" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.15, + "noPrice": 0.84, + "volume24h": 37802.51266500002, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/cl-hit-jun-2026", + "category": "climate", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.757Z", + "numericId": "1652697", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-06-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xd94b47bdeba16ae948bfb147bda059f3543d6fca73291644dfff5268bba7a797", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?", + "description": "The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.\n\nThis market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.", + "keywords": [ + "tucker", + "carlson", + "presidential", + "election", + "scheduled", + "november", + "resolve", + "person", + "wins", + "resolution", + "source", + "associated", + "press", + "fox", + "news", + "nbc", + "three", + "sources", + "cal" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.03, + "noPrice": 0.97, + "volume24h": 37283.94222499999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.757Z", + "numericId": "561253", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xc6347744a9a15e3d96d1fbaaa75a06b48c08cb16d20d836d57ab9ac2de70428c", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "$78", + "000", + "may", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "timezone", + "noon", + "date", + "specified", + "title" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 37174.435512, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-may-29-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.757Z", + "numericId": "2361677", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0515, + "endDate": "2026-05-29" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xfd5c2870132bb19952c49f2073b877bbcd14bed08942c3a79ccc3b5f547d7807", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 28?", + "description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 May '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", + "keywords": [ + "highest", + "temperature", + "hong", + "kong", + "higher", + "may", + "resolve", + "range", + "contains", + "recorded", + "observatory", + "degrees", + "celsius", + "'26", + "resolution", + "source", + "information", + "specifically", + "absolute", + "daily" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.99, + "noPrice": 0.01, + "volume24h": 37110.117048, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-may-28-2026", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.757Z", + "numericId": "2358664", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0745, + "endDate": "2026-05-28" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x7aaa03ef18b116231b9a4581d0b1252207c2b2dd72edbc48771fadbe474b5b9b", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Egypt vs. Russia: Both Teams to Score", + "description": "In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between Egypt and Russia, scheduled for May 28 at 2:00 PM ET:\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if both Egypt and Russia each score at least one goal during the game.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"No\" if either team fails to score (i.e., if one or both teams finish with zero goals).\n\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.\n\nIf the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", + "keywords": [ + "egypt", + "russia", + "both", + "teams", + "score", + "upcoming", + "fifa", + "soccer", + "world cup", + "international", + "friendlies", + "between", + "scheduled", + "may", + "resolve", + "one", + "goal", + "during", + "either", + "team" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 37074.623477, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fif-egy-rus-2026-05-28-more-markets", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.757Z", + "numericId": "2324790", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.5345, + "endDate": "2026-05-28" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xea649be6ea3447f3c145a173883c68a89faf4edda1f85109b76baa93b3ee7a87", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?", + "description": "The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.\n\nThis market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.", + "keywords": [ + "pete", + "hegseth", + "presidential", + "election", + "scheduled", + "november", + "resolve", + "person", + "wins", + "resolution", + "source", + "associated", + "press", + "fox", + "news", + "nbc", + "three", + "sources", + "cal" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 36975.41840600001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2028", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.757Z", + "numericId": "561264", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xf4bc7bf283f8a99a27693406e1f4f5d924250afcb34173344fb1309ad59e5251", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Seo Jae-heon win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?", + "description": "The Daegu mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nInterim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).", + "keywords": [ + "seo", + "jae", + "heon", + "daegu", + "mayoral", + "election", + "scheduled", + "june", + "resolve", + "according", + "candidate", + "wins", + "interim", + "temporary", + "caretaker", + "mayors", + "count", + "result", + "isn't", + "known" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 36880, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/daegu-mayoral-election-winner", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.757Z", + "numericId": "2062838", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-06-03" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xe06a7e94cf2fa8dc2085b7610fe16e9be1cde6654f34d365c13da1149b276c61", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", + "keywords": [ + "oprah", + "winfrey", + "democratic", + "presidential", + "nomination", + "resolve", + "named", + "individual", + "wins", + "accepts", + "party", + "president", + "otherwise", + "resolution", + "source", + "consensus", + "official", + "sources", + "replacement" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 36797.07992, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.757Z", + "numericId": "559687", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xb611b3a7173f69e412b55561ed265d849e36693c248ff620d0e981c5b3f2e325", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?", + "description": "Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.\n\nIf the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).", + "keywords": [ + "abelardo", + "espriella", + "1st", + "round", + "colombian", + "presidential", + "election", + "colombia's", + "elections", + "scheduled", + "may", + "second", + "required", + "june", + "case", + "candidate", + "secures", + "valid", + "votes", + "resolve" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.28, + "noPrice": 0.72, + "volume24h": 36529.786093999996, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/colombia-presidential-election-1st-round-winner", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.757Z", + "numericId": "569344", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.035, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x6d6b9d5f81726194e8e5969bc5fd9ad5aefcf9ebe836f44d734e3fe18c15a805", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.", + "keywords": [ + "kamala", + "harris", + "democrat", + "vice president", + "california", + "governor", + "election", + "resolve", + "according", + "candidate", + "wins", + "gubernatorial", + "currently", + "scheduled", + "november", + "results", + "confirmed", + "july", + "resolution", + "source" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 36328.426499999994, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-election-2026", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.757Z", + "numericId": "628956", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-11-03" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xd8664606498aba2a8ccab56656860cb3f02d74de80e974ab87a9f940e65d4d5e", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Israel closes its airspace by June 15?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "israel", + "gaza", + "hamas", + "middle east", + "closes", + "airspace", + "june", + "resolve", + "initiates", + "closure", + "specified", + "date", + "otherwise", + "defined", + "broad", + "cancellation", + "complete", + "suspension", + "commercial", + "aviation" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.16, + "noPrice": 0.84, + "volume24h": 36311.081780999964, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israel-closes-its-airspace-by", + "category": "technology", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.757Z", + "numericId": "2296152", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.055, + "endDate": "2026-06-15" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x5a8963c510d3f2a1cb669882cccc5f521fd3ed1c75e0af56ace20346170ddb1f", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?", + "description": "This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.", + "keywords": [ + "ethereum", + "eth", + "crypto", + "800", + "may", + "immediately", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "during", + "month", + "specified", + "title", + "equal" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 36089.436924, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-may-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.757Z", + "numericId": "2132795", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0005, + "endDate": "2026-06-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x11a09311e3bf0ac61315c930c8aaf28cedb2eed441ba89656d7eb940c27b3d1e", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Belinda Bencic win the 2026 Women’s French Open?", + "description": "The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "belinda", + "bencic", + "women", + "french", + "scheduled", + "may", + "june", + "resolve", + "player", + "wins", + "singles", + "tournament", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "listed", + "rules", + "tourn" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 36084.30737, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-womens-french-open-winner", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.757Z", + "numericId": "1087788", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0005, + "endDate": "2026-06-06" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x6d24b21d5236e087600f2e4190db2e1ae4be2942a5b9d1a33258e4467be02ef8", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Caracas FC win on 2026-05-27?", + "description": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 27, 2026\nIf Caracas FC wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.", + "keywords": [ + "caracas", + "upcoming", + "scheduled", + "may", + "wins", + "resolve", + "otherwise", + "postponed", + "remain", + "until", + "completed", + "canceled", + "entirely" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.1, + "noPrice": 0.9, + "volume24h": 36049.496051999995, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/sud-cara-bot-2026-05-27", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.758Z", + "numericId": "2126500", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.13, + "endDate": "2026-05-27" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x112524cdbb12a91d411b6d5497f9d607d094d4c976663a409ee6e6b17eea4400", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 26 12:00 PM ET to June 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", + "keywords": [ + "elon", + "elon musk", + "tesla", + "spacex", + "doge", + "musk", + "post", + "360", + "379", + "tweets", + "may", + "june", + "twitter", + "x", + "resolve", + "according", + "number", + "times", + "elonmusk", + "posts" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 35922.22332800001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-26-june-2", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.758Z", + "numericId": "2336486", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.005, + "endDate": "2026-06-02" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xf13515940e0b4b5a790dd7e21a38b7412f3650926bf8d057aca82aebb9858d4f", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 26 12:00 PM ET to June 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", + "keywords": [ + "elon", + "elon musk", + "tesla", + "spacex", + "doge", + "musk", + "post", + "tweets", + "may", + "june", + "twitter", + "x", + "resolve", + "according", + "number", + "times", + "elonmusk", + "posts", + "purposes", + "main" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 35773.139361, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-26-june-2", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.758Z", + "numericId": "2336421", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0005, + "endDate": "2026-06-02" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xcb239105ed21a2420ba4d85090b9bc32755c56601ffdc528afd17fd6282fe930", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", + "keywords": [ + "gina", + "raimondo", + "democratic", + "presidential", + "nomination", + "resolve", + "named", + "individual", + "wins", + "accepts", + "party", + "president", + "otherwise", + "resolution", + "source", + "consensus", + "official", + "sources", + "replacement" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 35663.633081999986, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.758Z", + "numericId": "559670", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x4060afdf6462fc2807d9c4fc8c1ca24d8e97b3be79a0ce30a7d94e28d1ad9fd2", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 28?", + "description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 May '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", + "keywords": [ + "highest", + "temperature", + "london", + "may", + "resolve", + "range", + "contains", + "recorded", + "airport", + "station", + "degrees", + "celsius", + "'26", + "resolution", + "source", + "information", + "wunderground", + "specifically" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 35623.04223100001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-london-on-may-28-2026", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.758Z", + "numericId": "2358457", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.3745, + "endDate": "2026-05-28" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xe02033cef06e942fbe1fdc9cc259abe9682265d349642598ab27ad677083d054", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe number of daily transit calls/arrivals includes container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points, made within this market’s timeframe, will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for May 31, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.", + "keywords": [ + "ships", + "transit", + "strait", + "hormuz", + "may", + "resolve", + "imf", + "portwatch", + "publishes", + "daily", + "number", + "calls", + "arrivals", + "equal", + "listed", + "date", + "between", + "creation", + "otherwise", + "tran" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.1, + "noPrice": 0.91, + "volume24h": 35612.267023, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-may-31", + "category": "technology", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.758Z", + "numericId": "2119071", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.01, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x2cd24d17f5680dc6e7b7d67c712a223ae85550745597e81bd2d2b8d073443951", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?", + "description": "General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) ", + "keywords": [ + "roberto", + "nchez", + "palomino", + "peruvian", + "presidential", + "election", + "general", + "elections", + "scheduled", + "held", + "peru", + "april", + "resolve", + "according", + "listed", + "candidate", + "wins", + "includes", + "potential", + "second" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.24, + "noPrice": 0.76, + "volume24h": 35365.74503499999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/peru-presidential-election-winner", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.758Z", + "numericId": "947289", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.028, + "endDate": "2026-06-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xf232b565995e4b3a3e7fa6cef775eeff1cecd20ad7c013cb9fc8dadabfe279a9", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?", + "description": "The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.\n\nThis market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.", + "keywords": [ + "alexandria", + "ocasio", + "cortez", + "presidential", + "election", + "scheduled", + "november", + "resolve", + "person", + "wins", + "resolution", + "source", + "associated", + "press", + "fox", + "news", + "nbc", + "three", + "sources", + "cal" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.05, + "noPrice": 0.95, + "volume24h": 35264.726363, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.758Z", + "numericId": "561231", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x7053225303b516a027aca6cee4d008f724a15a8870ad111e5a5653768b57c841", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 IIHF World Championship hockey tournament.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 IIHF World Championship per the rules of the tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the knockout stages), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 IIHF World Championship is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IIHF World Championship tournament organizers (https://www.iihf.com/en/events/2026/wm); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "canada", + "iihf", + "championship", + "resolve", + "according", + "team", + "wins", + "hockey", + "tournament", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "listed", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "knockout", + "stages", + "corresp" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.51, + "noPrice": 0.49, + "volume24h": 35261.146144, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/hockey-2026-iihf-championship-winner", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.758Z", + "numericId": "2264306", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.09, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x1945a8b23e313ed7423b6b6fd556f9ab5578900376b565a61dc480a5f4f35d21", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", + "keywords": [ + "hunter", + "biden", + "president", + "potus", + "democrat", + "administration", + "democratic", + "presidential", + "nomination", + "resolve", + "named", + "individual", + "wins", + "accepts", + "party", + "otherwise", + "resolution", + "source", + "consensus", + "official" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 35165.01345499999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.758Z", + "numericId": "559682", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x46dbd48d6bde5b81edb480e0f676a2cdda6c6b592c4d86a9367c7ad5a9870195", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", + "keywords": [ + "liz", + "cheney", + "democratic", + "presidential", + "nomination", + "resolve", + "named", + "individual", + "wins", + "accepts", + "party", + "president", + "otherwise", + "resolution", + "source", + "consensus", + "official", + "sources", + "replacement" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 34815.37222300002, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.758Z", + "numericId": "559678", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x2d3c4fc5cde6dfb43448402b912e41bd4453e3f030448ed026bff8f1a0bc072e", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?", + "description": "The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.\n\nThis market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.", + "keywords": [ + "eric", + "trump", + "president", + "potus", + "administration", + "gop", + "republican", + "presidential", + "election", + "scheduled", + "november", + "resolve", + "person", + "wins", + "resolution", + "source", + "associated", + "press", + "fox", + "news" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 34755.52046699999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.758Z", + "numericId": "561263", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xe3e8574f967e628750dff67c641944a84da281ced40ffe7c76e42649e89a6887", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Western Conference Finals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2025–26 NBA Western Conference Finals based on the rules of the NBA.\n\nIf the 2025-26 NBA Western Conference Finals winner is not announced by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.", + "keywords": [ + "san", + "antonio", + "spurs", + "nba", + "basketball", + "western", + "conference", + "finals", + "resolve", + "otherwise", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "team", + "based", + "rules" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.24, + "noPrice": 0.76, + "volume24h": 34334.58285100001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nba-playoffs-western-conference-champion", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.759Z", + "numericId": "564218", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.008, + "endDate": "2026-06-16" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xaf15f055f10713cbd3c7c30cece5c20c4ff00a76e51da59d635bb5160654bd34", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.\n\nIf multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.", + "keywords": [ + "carlos", + "sainz", + "drivers'", + "champion", + "resolve", + "according", + "listed", + "driver", + "finishes", + "1st", + "standings", + "season", + "soon", + "official", + "results", + "scheduled", + "race", + "known", + "multiple", + "drivers" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 34202.20966599994, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-f1-drivers-champion", + "category": "technology", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.759Z", + "numericId": "898428", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-12-06" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x6b15d5333d423f97c006bd201efa1f083af29819daea189d55219fccb1a4b9ab", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the IEM Cologne 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for June 2nd - June 21st, 2026.\n\nIf this tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Cologne) may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "aurora", + "iem", + "cologne", + "resolve", + "according", + "winner", + "tournament", + "currently", + "scheduled", + "june", + "2nd", + "21st", + "cancelled", + "postponed", + "july", + "declared", + "within", + "timeframe" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 34188.486741, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iem-cologne-major-2026-winner", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.759Z", + "numericId": "1892308", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.001, + "endDate": "2026-06-21" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x655b4bfdfa55a95c24d6e9bf7e7cd62f1b57da9a1f4c7f40f090b8ba847dffa2", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", + "keywords": [ + "elise", + "stefanik", + "republican", + "presidential", + "nomination", + "resolve", + "named", + "individual", + "wins", + "accepts", + "party", + "president", + "otherwise", + "resolution", + "source", + "consensus", + "official", + "sources", + "replacement" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 34145.68096800001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.759Z", + "numericId": "561987", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x47307a06e4967329ea8d62b6d185251f44acb1d84400488c6175d5090fc89963", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 28?", + "description": "This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final \"Low\" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Low\" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "dip", + "$72", + "000", + "may", + "immediately", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "date", + "specified", + "title" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.07, + "noPrice": 0.93, + "volume24h": 33797.373291, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-on-may-28", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.759Z", + "numericId": "2375519", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-05-29" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x637a2423461f5b531fef314e1e14982b80819de217e32f4f96653caa8af2c47a", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?", + "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. \n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).", + "keywords": [ + "nicolas", + "dupont", + "aignan", + "french", + "presidential", + "election", + "currently", + "expected", + "held", + "around", + "april", + "pertains", + "outcome", + "regardless", + "follows", + "scheduled", + "current", + "term", + "earlier", + "president" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 33513.21480499996, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-french-presidential-election", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.759Z", + "numericId": "679038", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2027-04-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xb5911777e97da4199e822f42667f3afd8dfb7f9356f4d0fd553861d2368a1be1", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Ebola pandemic in 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "ebola", + "pandemic", + "resolve", + "health", + "organization", + "explicitly", + "characterizes", + "virus", + "disease", + "strain", + "outbreak", + "official", + "public", + "communication", + "between", + "creation", + "december", + "otherwise" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.1, + "noPrice": 0.91, + "volume24h": 33503.10598, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ebola-pandemic-in-2026", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.759Z", + "numericId": "2270137", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-12-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x67770cc59d2d79be575c87f22bbff9834fb415838bd8aca93b750d7b4c00202d", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the IEM Cologne 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for June 2nd - June 21st, 2026.\n\nIf this tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Cologne) may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "fut", + "iem", + "cologne", + "resolve", + "according", + "winner", + "tournament", + "currently", + "scheduled", + "june", + "2nd", + "21st", + "cancelled", + "postponed", + "july", + "declared", + "within", + "timeframe" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.02, + "noPrice": 0.98, + "volume24h": 33473.020718, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iem-cologne-major-2026-winner", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.759Z", + "numericId": "1892300", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.007, + "endDate": "2026-06-21" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xcfd48c874ae1760c1ec3c87a8c46c221af6a4f2be3b56618ba261bef4c92e768", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?", + "description": "A data leak on March 26, 2026, exposed Anthropic's unreleased \"Claude Mythos\" model, described as their most capable yet with significant advances in coding, reasoning, and cybersecurity, which the company has confirmed is now in early access testing. You can read more about that here: https://fortune.com/2026/03/26/anthropic-says-testing-mythos-powerful-new-ai-model-after-data-leak-reveals-its-existence-step-change-in-capabilities/.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Anthropic releases \"Claude Mythos\" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak described above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Claude Mythos\" (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nProducts labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.\n\nIf a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "claude", + "anthropic", + "ai", + "llm", + "mythos", + "model", + "released", + "june", + "data", + "leak", + "march", + "exposed", + "anthropic's", + "unreleased", + "described", + "capable", + "yet", + "significant", + "advances", + "coding" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.4, + "noPrice": 0.6, + "volume24h": 33329.646399000005, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/claude-mythos-released-by", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.759Z", + "numericId": "1744124", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.235, + "endDate": "2026-04-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x553c1115fe928f9800e52ea5adabf894d6885b328be0a53927fe897c2eb8623d", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. \n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.", + "keywords": [ + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "diplomatic", + "meeting", + "june", + "resolve", + "there", + "between", + "representatives", + "states", + "listed", + "date", + "otherwise", + "refers", + "deliberate", + "countries" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.23, + "noPrice": 0.78, + "volume24h": 33303.97007200001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.759Z", + "numericId": "2354044", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.015, + "endDate": "2026-06-03" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x06a27c2810eaca94b53e7a17f15ad47761399ba445a6b02039b2679da203262d", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?", + "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. \n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).", + "keywords": [ + "xavier", + "bertrand", + "french", + "presidential", + "election", + "currently", + "expected", + "held", + "around", + "april", + "pertains", + "outcome", + "regardless", + "follows", + "scheduled", + "current", + "term", + "earlier", + "president", + "france" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 33232.20731300001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-french-presidential-election", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.759Z", + "numericId": "679023", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2027-04-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x0eeeb4d04b12f8e2b937dfa6563a89b6cc08d69e8ab918c51185e3752a334030", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's French Open?", + "description": "The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "hubert", + "hurkacz", + "men's", + "french", + "scheduled", + "may", + "june", + "resolve", + "player", + "wins", + "singles", + "tournament", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "listed", + "rules", + "tournamen" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 33221.6, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-french-open-winner", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.759Z", + "numericId": "1087529", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.001, + "endDate": "2026-06-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x7ae064ed7f3c9f4d201ce007b05b3a23f8e824170981c4d301f07301d554f451", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.\n\nOnly the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.\n\nNote that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.\n\nOnly days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily \"Settlement\" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.", + "keywords": [ + "crude", + "oil", + "wti", + "energy", + "$175", + "june", + "resolve", + "trading", + "official", + "cme", + "settlement", + "active", + "month", + "front", + "futures", + "equal", + "listed", + "between", + "creation", + "otherwise" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.03, + "noPrice": 0.97, + "volume24h": 33210.70656, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/cl-hit-jun-2026", + "category": "climate", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.759Z", + "numericId": "1652691", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.001, + "endDate": "2026-06-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x7f695758278e6d4d9e63df862afa88d664d3402a3d26e4d32ae05121cdbddba6", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?", + "description": "The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.\n\nThis market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.", + "keywords": [ + "kim", + "north korea", + "nuclear", + "kardashian", + "presidential", + "election", + "scheduled", + "november", + "resolve", + "person", + "wins", + "resolution", + "source", + "associated", + "press", + "fox", + "news", + "nbc", + "three", + "sources" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 33169.912109999976, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.759Z", + "numericId": "561254", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xc11f41372087c4d934ae7adb869ff08272b2bcb3e242d4e628330353c130e480", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.\n\nTo qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors).\n\nAny agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.\n\nAgreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", + "keywords": [ + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "agrees", + "surrender", + "enriched", + "uranium", + "stockpile", + "july", + "resolve", + "publicly", + "otherwise", + "official", + "pledge", + "qualify", + "resolution" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.24, + "noPrice": 0.76, + "volume24h": 33118.002588, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-agrees-to-surrender-enriched-uranium-stockpile-by", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.759Z", + "numericId": "2355354", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.05, + "endDate": "2026-07-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x42cb3a3ece95132c54127ce8c12ecde9ec586d3df6f8e0b7e850ca68366f6384", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's French Open?", + "description": "The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "alejandro", + "tabilo", + "men's", + "french", + "scheduled", + "may", + "june", + "resolve", + "player", + "wins", + "singles", + "tournament", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "listed", + "rules", + "tournamen" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 33075.264667999996, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-french-open-winner", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.759Z", + "numericId": "1087550", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0035, + "endDate": "2026-06-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x97b92c6c26b31dc3be183b76b1c39167806611396793eda0edf084d29b76fa46", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.\n\nIf multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.", + "keywords": [ + "gabriel", + "bortoleto", + "drivers'", + "champion", + "resolve", + "according", + "listed", + "driver", + "finishes", + "1st", + "standings", + "season", + "soon", + "official", + "results", + "scheduled", + "race", + "known", + "multiple", + "drivers" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 33009.55963599995, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-f1-drivers-champion", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.759Z", + "numericId": "898422", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.001, + "endDate": "2026-12-06" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x6f9b62f72e81ab8e011e696e5145e30c95b7106cb8b0df45f436c15b31ca7b2b", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on May 28?", + "description": "This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final \"Low\" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Low\" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "dip", + "$70", + "000", + "may", + "immediately", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "date", + "specified", + "title" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 32762.589397, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-on-may-28", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.759Z", + "numericId": "2375524", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-05-29" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x82033ffc908562008e86493dde6695b264bcbb2ac094995629a8e84d58a92940", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.\n\nOnly the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.\n\nNote that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.\n\nOnly days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily \"Settlement\" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.", + "keywords": [ + "crude", + "oil", + "wti", + "energy", + "$110", + "june", + "resolve", + "trading", + "official", + "cme", + "settlement", + "active", + "month", + "front", + "futures", + "equal", + "listed", + "between", + "creation", + "otherwise" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.23, + "noPrice": 0.77, + "volume24h": 32664.57218600001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/cl-hit-jun-2026", + "category": "climate", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.759Z", + "numericId": "2213806", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.045, + "endDate": "2026-06-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x836b850fc838195374862551a36f1c8691d96ff01e58b0a071f0fc1a0e357fb1", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?", + "description": "The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.\n\nThis market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.", + "keywords": [ + "lebron", + "lakers", + "nba", + "basketball", + "james", + "presidential", + "election", + "scheduled", + "november", + "resolve", + "person", + "wins", + "resolution", + "source", + "associated", + "press", + "fox", + "news", + "nbc", + "three" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 32643.65140500002, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.759Z", + "numericId": "561251", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x3a8209fbd45fef3be23fb3480eb1c961c85f7bdd07d4a3391f5949252156c594", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?", + "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. \n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).", + "keywords": [ + "fran", + "ois", + "bayrou", + "french", + "presidential", + "election", + "currently", + "expected", + "held", + "around", + "april", + "pertains", + "outcome", + "regardless", + "follows", + "scheduled", + "current", + "term", + "earlier", + "president" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 32410.643625000008, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-french-presidential-election", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.759Z", + "numericId": "679041", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2027-04-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x024b68f77bfc019341ee3db8f57c103334e4b9430bba4746d8c94aafd8b36fee", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?", + "description": "This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final \"Low\" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Low\" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.\n", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "dip", + "$45", + "000", + "december", + "immediately", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "between", + "november", + "timezone" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.32, + "noPrice": 0.68, + "volume24h": 32400.747537000003, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-before-2027", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.759Z", + "numericId": "701502", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.035, + "endDate": "2027-01-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x8fbcb151e2c988df5a43abb02298014b7daf34c008f3eed9188dd16a2a19bec1", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", + "keywords": [ + "jared", + "polis", + "democratic", + "presidential", + "nomination", + "resolve", + "named", + "individual", + "wins", + "accepts", + "party", + "president", + "otherwise", + "resolution", + "source", + "consensus", + "official", + "sources", + "replacement" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 32060.958669000018, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.760Z", + "numericId": "559674", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x22e82fa1e7deae335ce5c5452375ec4eb7c4833f1426c554d1cdd13273f36628", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Barcelona SC win on 2026-05-28?", + "description": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 28, 2026\nIf Barcelona SC wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.", + "keywords": [ + "barcelona", + "soccer", + "la liga", + "spain", + "upcoming", + "scheduled", + "may", + "wins", + "resolve", + "otherwise", + "postponed", + "remain", + "until", + "completed", + "canceled", + "entirely", + "thi" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.07, + "noPrice": 0.93, + "volume24h": 32039.802323999997, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lib-cru-bar-2026-05-28", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.760Z", + "numericId": "2132983", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.02, + "endDate": "2026-05-29" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x5f2bfae862bb12a27e27d6179d1f6f7da46803a0a529f664189bad5f8a6625ef", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Alex Borg be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?", + "description": "General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Malta; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "alex", + "borg", + "prime", + "minister", + "malta", + "following", + "maltese", + "general", + "election", + "elections", + "scheduled", + "held", + "may", + "resolve", + "individual", + "formally", + "appointed", + "count", + "resolution", + "must" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.06, + "noPrice": 0.94, + "volume24h": 31993.462481, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-malta", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.760Z", + "numericId": "2120654", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0115, + "endDate": "2026-05-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x6d4e3af4996807a673cb2678a7b5960bfd6dfa5c43b8556e23cdf094fb55d2b6", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Anthropic's Claude 5 model is made available to the general public by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" Claude 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.\n\nClaude 5 refers to a product explicitly named Claude 5 (e.g. Claude 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4, similar to the progression from Claude 2 to Claude 3. Products labeled as Claude 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.", + "keywords": [ + "claude", + "anthropic", + "ai", + "llm", + "released", + "may", + "resolve", + "anthropic's", + "model", + "available", + "general", + "public", + "otherwise", + "must", + "launched", + "publicly", + "accessible", + "including", + "beta" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 31885.339468, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/claude-5-released-by", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.760Z", + "numericId": "1748641", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.003, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x7190eccbd0677d5d0ae8cdf598b37e945a346915c666dda11468dc9970657a56", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", + "keywords": [ + "john", + "thune", + "republican", + "presidential", + "nomination", + "resolve", + "named", + "individual", + "wins", + "accepts", + "party", + "president", + "otherwise", + "resolution", + "source", + "consensus", + "official", + "sources", + "replacement" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 31853.559401999995, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.760Z", + "numericId": "561993", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x6ccebbc57547f8b777aa4ef70a452bb5034055d183131a9b6db47fd8d0777921", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?", + "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. \n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).", + "keywords": [ + "michel", + "barnier", + "french", + "presidential", + "election", + "currently", + "expected", + "held", + "around", + "april", + "pertains", + "outcome", + "regardless", + "follows", + "scheduled", + "current", + "term", + "earlier", + "president", + "france" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 31769.379481999982, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-french-presidential-election", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.760Z", + "numericId": "679039", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2027-04-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xb196a122933da9aff6cb8b0f3764d0dc5db1859f46c0481c711521eee8524291", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Iran leadership change by June 30?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nMojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.\n\nAn official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", + "keywords": [ + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "leadership", + "change", + "june", + "resolve", + "supreme", + "leader", + "mojtaba", + "khamenei", + "ceases", + "facto", + "point", + "between", + "creation", + "listed", + "date", + "otherwise" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.07, + "noPrice": 0.93, + "volume24h": 31692.884326, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-leadership-change-by", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.760Z", + "numericId": "1708133", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-06-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xffa0accb74987c0dc33a70eb3780c1da160206bcfb3ef5d16c1667bc5c459c78", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.", + "keywords": [ + "fed", + "federal reserve", + "fomc", + "interest rates", + "rate", + "cuts", + "happen", + "resolve", + "according", + "exact", + "amount", + "basis", + "points", + "including", + "during", + "december", + "meeting", + "emergency", + "outside", + "scheduled" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 31664.964855999995, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026", + "category": "economics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.760Z", + "numericId": "616914", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.001, + "endDate": "2026-12-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xd4d841659e8b1fe050980ec9b7deae31accc10e529082fe9468ef9699d11aec2", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nMarket capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.", + "keywords": [ + "spacex", + "elon musk", + "rockets", + "starship", + "ipo", + "stocks", + "listing", + "public offering", + "closing", + "cap", + "resolve", + "official", + "capitalization", + "trading", + "specified", + "title", + "otherwise", + "occurs", + "december" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.9, + "noPrice": 0.1, + "volume24h": 31380.907669, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-above", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.760Z", + "numericId": "915771", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.055, + "endDate": "2027-12-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xc6564d7fc7bb20de273fd8383fa95322a1323c18bdd3b59e04ff1140e48d04a9", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.", + "keywords": [ + "michael", + "younger", + "california", + "governor", + "election", + "resolve", + "according", + "candidate", + "wins", + "gubernatorial", + "currently", + "scheduled", + "november", + "results", + "confirmed", + "july", + "resolution", + "source" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 31379.971000000012, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-election-2026", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.760Z", + "numericId": "628951", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-11-03" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x99b0984b690ad49fb2bdef1d31dc398516d3318740c8595995bd37539d49afce", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "washington", + "nationals", + "series", + "resolve", + "according", + "team", + "wins", + "mlb", + "baseball", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "listed", + "rules", + "they", + "eliminated", + "playoffs", + "corresponding" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 31326.52219999999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-world-series-champion-2026", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.760Z", + "numericId": "1235566", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-10-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x17f75289919e3a2c1aac51c68827c4a53939162ff4b739f1c0609d6967dc97ec", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Solana dip to $70 in May?", + "description": "This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.", + "keywords": [ + "solana", + "sol", + "crypto", + "dip", + "$70", + "may", + "immediately", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "during", + "month", + "specified", + "title" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.03, + "noPrice": 0.97, + "volume24h": 31309.447169, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-solana-hit-in-may-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.760Z", + "numericId": "2132818", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0065, + "endDate": "2026-06-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x8ee699de4568d63c92a334dd9703fbd99ac0f614e5b7ffcc58f09557c86f08cf", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Internet Access restored in Iran by September 30, 2026?", + "description": "On February 28, 2026, a nationwide internet blackout began in Iran amid military engagement with the United States and Israel.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if internet access in Iran is restored by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nFor purposes of this market, internet access will be considered restored only if either of the following conditions is satisfied.\n\n1. Internet access will be considered restored if there is a clear, broad, and unambiguous consensus of credible international reporting stating that general internet connectivity has been restored for a majority of people in Iran and across most common applications, and that such connectivity has been sustained for at least 24 consecutive hours. Reporting describing planned restorations, gradual easing, partial reconnection, access limited to specific regions, networks, user groups, or applications, or access restricted to filtered, throttled, or government-controlled networks will not qualify. The reporting must explicitly indicate that normal international internet access has materially resumed.\n\n2. Alternatively, internet access will be considered restored only if both of the following requirements are met.\n\n- According to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, the “Outage” annotation associated with the nationwide internet shutdown must cease to apply to newly published hourly data points for at least 24 consecutive hours in the “Traffic trends” chart for the last 4 weeks. During this same period, the same chart must show a clear increase in either Total bytes or HTTP bytes relative to the outage period, indicating a meaningful restoration of internet traffic. Only the first of the consecutive qualifying hourly data points must occur before the market’s resolution time. If necessary to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until all qualifying data points are observed.\n\n- In addition, NetBlocks must report that the Iranian national internet outage has been resolved, or must publish a clearly equivalent statement indicating that internet access has been restored for the majority of people and across applications. Reports describing only limited, partial, or localized connectivity; connectivity restricted to filtered or government-controlled networks; traffic increases that NetBlocks characterizes as attempts to generate a false or misleading narrative of restored connectivity, or similar reports, will not qualify, even if the Cloudflare threshold is met.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be Cloudflare Radar (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d) data for Iran and public reporting from NetBlocks (https://netblocks.org/); however, a consensus of credible international reporting meeting the standards described above may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "internet", + "access", + "restored", + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "september", + "february", + "nationwide", + "blackout", + "began", + "amid", + "military", + "engagement", + "states", + "israel", + "gaza", + "hamas", + "middle east" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.94, + "noPrice": 0.06, + "volume24h": 31251.48669600002, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/internet-access-restored-in-iran-by", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.760Z", + "numericId": "2242020", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.238, + "endDate": "2026-09-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x58450c61465ebc8b196362766da1f765eb7cac2a14adeb2154e43f096da3f2a4", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 28?", + "description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 May '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", + "keywords": [ + "highest", + "temperature", + "shanghai", + "may", + "resolve", + "range", + "contains", + "recorded", + "pudong", + "international", + "airport", + "station", + "degrees", + "celsius", + "'26", + "resolution", + "source", + "information", + "wunderground", + "specifically" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 31221.136208, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-shanghai-on-may-28-2026", + "category": "technology", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.760Z", + "numericId": "2358671", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0945, + "endDate": "2026-05-28" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x4c3a5fad286fd49fb82baefc2aff5d6703e581adb127eb2d601285fc904e5579", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will The MongolZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the IEM Cologne 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for June 2nd - June 21st, 2026.\n\nIf this tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Cologne) may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "mongolz", + "iem", + "cologne", + "resolve", + "according", + "winner", + "tournament", + "currently", + "scheduled", + "june", + "2nd", + "21st", + "cancelled", + "postponed", + "july", + "declared", + "within", + "timeframe" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.02, + "noPrice": 0.98, + "volume24h": 31202.003709000004, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iem-cologne-major-2026-winner", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.760Z", + "numericId": "1892312", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0035, + "endDate": "2026-06-21" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xfd431e070263b5f24e43a8fc44532bf41aa008d99cab2330d979913b1c580bd2", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?", + "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. \n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).", + "keywords": [ + "braun", + "pivet", + "french", + "presidential", + "election", + "currently", + "expected", + "held", + "around", + "april", + "pertains", + "outcome", + "regardless", + "follows", + "scheduled", + "current", + "term", + "earlier", + "president", + "france" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 31155.771787000016, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-french-presidential-election", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.760Z", + "numericId": "679043", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2027-04-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x450810ae738a0ff820d3248f2b24937f63fb8c8cf422ed2a915125adb4d9d3c8", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", + "keywords": [ + "andrew", + "yang", + "democratic", + "presidential", + "nomination", + "resolve", + "named", + "individual", + "wins", + "accepts", + "party", + "president", + "otherwise", + "resolution", + "source", + "consensus", + "official", + "sources", + "replacement" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 30864.01462599999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.760Z", + "numericId": "559688", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x3d675f1c88099a57c12abca632cf926be1bf430125168321de06234e9930fe1a", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?", + "description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.", + "keywords": [ + "fed", + "federal reserve", + "fomc", + "interest rates", + "decrease", + "interest", + "rates", + "bps", + "basis points", + "july", + "meeting", + "defined", + "upper", + "bound", + "target", + "federal", + "funds", + "range", + "decisions", + "committee" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 30845.935853999992, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-july-181", + "category": "economics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.760Z", + "numericId": "1654956", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0015, + "endDate": "2026-07-29" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xfacf82cdf9eeea5d4c0a450acf939bbeab9fe307b5e53191a59171d12072adbf", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nMarket capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.", + "keywords": [ + "spacex", + "elon musk", + "rockets", + "starship", + "ipo", + "stocks", + "listing", + "public offering", + "closing", + "cap", + "$1t", + "resolve", + "official", + "capitalization", + "trading", + "specified", + "title", + "otherwise", + "occurs", + "december" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.98, + "noPrice": 0.02, + "volume24h": 30618.740417, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-above", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.760Z", + "numericId": "909466", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.006, + "endDate": "2027-12-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x6ca9e32ec3bcf137b7120d50e30686ba365c4102e518731f49e226b60a3d2c64", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Russia win on 2026-05-28?", + "description": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 28, 2026\nIf Russia wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", + "keywords": [ + "russia", + "upcoming", + "scheduled", + "may", + "wins", + "resolve", + "otherwise", + "postponed", + "remain", + "until", + "completed", + "canceled", + "entirely", + "mark" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 30526.870747999998, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fif-egy-rus-2026-05-28", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.761Z", + "numericId": "2321084", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.3245, + "endDate": "2026-05-28" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x8a30aa5cf51e1d166854a1cf26157b5ac76b5721d8d9f3f6f7be958e6fb132a1", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "JD Vance out as VP by December 31?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "vance", + "december", + "resolve", + "ceases", + "vice", + "president", + "states", + "period", + "between", + "creation", + "specified", + "date", + "otherwise", + "announcement", + "vance's", + "resignation", + "removal", + "market's" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.09, + "noPrice": 0.92, + "volume24h": 30481.45839, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/jd-vance-out-as-vp-by", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.761Z", + "numericId": "2370273", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.01, + "endDate": "2026-12-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x9bdb4d01b7797953c92c03e98cf7d36e62543b37972435e6b4a1c74f4200b108", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe number of daily transit calls/arrivals includes container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points, made within this market’s timeframe, will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for May 31, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.", + "keywords": [ + "ships", + "transit", + "strait", + "hormuz", + "may", + "resolve", + "imf", + "portwatch", + "publishes", + "daily", + "number", + "calls", + "arrivals", + "equal", + "listed", + "date", + "between", + "creation", + "otherwise", + "tran" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.17, + "noPrice": 0.82, + "volume24h": 30386.802487999998, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-may-31", + "category": "technology", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.761Z", + "numericId": "2119070", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.08, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x0bd1b836a2494f80aaee62927cf01e5f6fceb19114e96fc517c6440aea4576e4", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.", + "keywords": [ + "google", + "googl", + "alphabet", + "best", + "model", + "june", + "resolve", + "according", + "company", + "which", + "owns", + "highest", + "arena", + "rank", + "based", + "chatbot", + "llm", + "ai", + "artificial intelligence", + "leaderboard" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.1, + "noPrice": 0.9, + "volume24h": 30365.690939, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-june", + "category": "technology", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.761Z", + "numericId": "631139", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.07, + "endDate": "2026-06-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xb5c0abeecb5502e6e8d83155c27819174d8317af3c425c3afc5a8c45257a3793", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?", + "description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.", + "keywords": [ + "fed", + "federal reserve", + "fomc", + "interest rates", + "increase", + "interest", + "rates", + "bps", + "basis points", + "july", + "meeting", + "defined", + "upper", + "bound", + "target", + "federal", + "funds", + "range", + "decisions", + "committee" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.04, + "noPrice": 0.96, + "volume24h": 30339.798267, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-july-181", + "category": "economics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.761Z", + "numericId": "1654959", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.004, + "endDate": "2026-07-29" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x475fe47afc37f4fd78fdffa285bd6517df411b1c3be9898dcda43bbcd8ab1cae", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 28?", + "description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 May '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", + "keywords": [ + "highest", + "temperature", + "paris", + "may", + "resolve", + "range", + "contains", + "recorded", + "bourget", + "airport", + "station", + "degrees", + "celsius", + "'26", + "resolution", + "source", + "information", + "wunderground", + "specifically" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.99, + "noPrice": 0.01, + "volume24h": 30140.236717999982, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-paris-on-may-28-2026", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.761Z", + "numericId": "2358467", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.8495, + "endDate": "2026-05-28" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x94521176f57d2ce81dde01e0b7699ca4279423042d37ed53908f0c8bfefe7e14", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.", + "keywords": [ + "republicans", + "texas", + "senate", + "congress", + "legislation", + "race", + "resolve", + "according", + "winner", + "midterm", + "election", + "inclusive", + "offs", + "candidate", + "shall", + "considered", + "represent", + "party", + "event", + "she" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.6, + "noPrice": 0.4, + "volume24h": 29815.141045, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/texas-senate-election-winner", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.761Z", + "numericId": "630964", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0 + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xc112ff35c760ee66738e288067c3de90a2b44a28a9e2f4488989d498be03b292", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\n“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.\n\nQualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.\n\nA widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "obtains", + "iranian", + "enriched", + "uranium", + "june", + "resolve", + "government", + "military", + "officially", + "announces", + "confirms", + "gained", + "possession", + "quantity", + "previously", + "controlled", + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.06, + "noPrice": 0.94, + "volume24h": 29716.100940999993, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by", + "category": "technology", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.761Z", + "numericId": "2183424", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.005, + "endDate": "2026-06-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xd11f38c300f8c382b89e72cffcd615439bf04a88feaf94378773d7923a392f0e", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?", + "description": "This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final \"Low\" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Low\" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "dip", + "$72", + "000", + "may", + "immediately", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "during", + "date", + "range" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.51, + "noPrice": 0.49, + "volume24h": 29585.949990999998, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-may-25-31-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.814Z", + "numericId": "2350187", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.315, + "endDate": "2026-06-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xf2cb33c6634ee4676b642e728715c68441fb8d8c90f730ba0b5c3cd1f436a4be", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", + "keywords": [ + "joe", + "kent", + "republican", + "presidential", + "nomination", + "resolve", + "named", + "individual", + "wins", + "accepts", + "party", + "president", + "otherwise", + "resolution", + "source", + "consensus", + "official", + "sources", + "replacement" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 29563.60608100001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.815Z", + "numericId": "562007", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x963353d1ee2e776940769f7476804f0fba4046bca228b69cf40e4af95256c5bb", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 28?", + "description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 May '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", + "keywords": [ + "highest", + "temperature", + "york", + "between", + "may", + "resolve", + "range", + "contains", + "recorded", + "laguardia", + "airport", + "station", + "degrees", + "fahrenheit", + "'26", + "resolution", + "source", + "information", + "wunderground", + "specifically" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.99, + "noPrice": 0.01, + "volume24h": 29528.252926, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-may-28-2026", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.815Z", + "numericId": "2358537", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.5685, + "endDate": "2026-05-28" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x663b88d3a8f2341bb8d878709dc78632bcaf7512e577bd15521e5d8ed933efbc", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", + "keywords": [ + "hillary", + "clinton", + "democratic", + "presidential", + "nomination", + "resolve", + "named", + "individual", + "wins", + "accepts", + "party", + "president", + "otherwise", + "resolution", + "source", + "consensus", + "official", + "sources", + "replacement" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 29484.601787999996, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.815Z", + "numericId": "559677", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x119b6b3b744ac3239c7a71100165d254234eaecea401abde5a3d303bef21d19e", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.", + "keywords": [ + "steve", + "hilton", + "california", + "governor", + "election", + "resolve", + "according", + "candidate", + "wins", + "gubernatorial", + "currently", + "scheduled", + "november", + "results", + "confirmed", + "july", + "resolution", + "source" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.09, + "noPrice": 0.91, + "volume24h": 29473.743536999995, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-election-2026", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.815Z", + "numericId": "628940", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.004, + "endDate": "2026-11-03" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x3b7db2dbb3b47a6a532849ee3edd147d16fec311af4f40329f1ea8c45feb60b9", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?", + "description": "The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.", + "keywords": [ + "chun", + "jae", + "soo", + "busan", + "mayoral", + "election", + "scheduled", + "june", + "elect", + "mayor", + "resolve", + "according", + "listed", + "candidate", + "wins", + "result", + "isn't", + "known", + "january" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.8, + "noPrice": 0.2, + "volume24h": 29438.526520000007, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-busan-mayoral-election-winner", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.815Z", + "numericId": "679159", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-06-03" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x5f1b1caf70eb994bfff2986727a05a3ac9f7ec8b0da4017f7732596d023e5a07", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", + "keywords": [ + "kristi", + "noem", + "republican", + "presidential", + "nomination", + "resolve", + "named", + "individual", + "wins", + "accepts", + "party", + "president", + "otherwise", + "resolution", + "source", + "consensus", + "official", + "sources", + "replacement" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 29413.526144000003, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.815Z", + "numericId": "561994", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x8b203037c7c0e21b500314f8398d2a8ea294b7ce1f4f9185f426425a3505bc45", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", + "keywords": [ + "lebron", + "lakers", + "nba", + "basketball", + "james", + "democratic", + "presidential", + "nomination", + "resolve", + "named", + "individual", + "wins", + "accepts", + "party", + "president", + "otherwise", + "resolution", + "source", + "consensus", + "official" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 29316.797622000006, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.815Z", + "numericId": "559681", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x3535fb2f4aef6619dde8b367cb5e5d209526bb496d5d9778428c58a0252435e3", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", + "keywords": [ + "zohran", + "mamdani", + "democratic", + "presidential", + "nomination", + "resolve", + "named", + "individual", + "wins", + "accepts", + "party", + "president", + "otherwise", + "resolution", + "source", + "consensus", + "official", + "sources", + "replacement" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 29183.087643999996, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.815Z", + "numericId": "559671", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x0c9ada12c527451fbdd43c0397a8a006b8aaf2a01567ae069d37220b51937595", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?", + "description": "The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.", + "keywords": [ + "karen", + "bass", + "los", + "angeles", + "mayoral", + "election", + "held", + "june", + "elect", + "mayor", + "california", + "candidate", + "receives", + "majority", + "vote", + "runoff", + "november", + "resolve", + "according", + "wins" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.59, + "noPrice": 0.41, + "volume24h": 29163.878481, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/los-angeles-mayoral-election-117", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.815Z", + "numericId": "629030", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.115, + "endDate": "2026-06-02" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x0b298ab2b2cad3308d486c804985c1ede7ea949bde363f44784a3b2a460be788", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?", + "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. \n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).", + "keywords": [ + "lisabeth", + "borne", + "french", + "presidential", + "election", + "currently", + "expected", + "held", + "around", + "april", + "pertains", + "outcome", + "regardless", + "follows", + "scheduled", + "current", + "term", + "earlier", + "president", + "france" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 29009.749480000002, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-french-presidential-election", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.815Z", + "numericId": "679042", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2027-04-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x8adae985e2fe2a8f8d08f19b0f65acb8c7a9574d69b0b100b59dae83f6ebbe41", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar end in a draw?", + "description": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 28, 2026\nIf the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.", + "keywords": [ + "republic", + "ireland", + "qatar", + "draw", + "upcoming", + "scheduled", + "may", + "ends", + "resolve", + "otherwise", + "postponed", + "remain", + "until", + "completed", + "canceled", + "entirely", + "gam" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.23, + "noPrice": 0.78, + "volume24h": 28975.030222999998, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fif-ire-qat-2026-05-28", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.815Z", + "numericId": "2132443", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.025, + "endDate": "2026-05-28" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x9f94a3f64e8db20bf9d1766643b3bf4c345e3439d282d779775e171c780e9ddf", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Yoon out of custody before 2027?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to \"Yes\".\n\nIf Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to \"Yes\".\n\nTransporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "yoon", + "custody", + "resolve", + "president", + "south", + "korea", + "suk", + "yeol", + "released", + "december", + "otherwise", + "but", + "remains", + "house", + "congress", + "legislation", + "house of representatives", + "arrest" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.12, + "noPrice": 0.88, + "volume24h": 28970.69698, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/yoon-out-of-custody-before-2027", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.815Z", + "numericId": "665246", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.012, + "endDate": "2026-12-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x36ffcc6df881532808b8b25b2de3eed9c640a36c93cac58ba96cb3e094dd681a", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?", + "description": "The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.", + "keywords": [ + "karen", + "bass", + "finish", + "round", + "los", + "angeles", + "mayoral", + "election", + "held", + "june", + "elect", + "mayor", + "california", + "candidate", + "receives", + "majority", + "vote", + "runoff", + "november", + "resolve" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.72, + "noPrice": 0.28, + "volume24h": 28934.489436, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/la-mayoral-election-first-round-winner", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.815Z", + "numericId": "2256139", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.105, + "endDate": "2026-06-02" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xa6c8d7d0d25f27f1b6ecadd74be78256bf7c248d9d7c6fb9bc42d2059cfdca4f", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season. \n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.\n\nIn the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”\n\nIf the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from F1.", + "keywords": [ + "alpine", + "constructors'", + "champion", + "resolve", + "according", + "winner", + "constructors", + "championship", + "season", + "soon", + "official", + "results", + "scheduled", + "race", + "known", + "case", + "tie", + "between", + "multiple", + "teams" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 28926.943477999997, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/f1-constructors-champion", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.815Z", + "numericId": "898668", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-12-06" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x7f8e9f66726ced43cf171b2522917da9351f8ff70e30dd24171bcf2f1b5f1241", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?", + "description": "This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Roland Garros Men’s Singles Tournament scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Roland Garros Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 Roland Garros Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after June 21, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Roland Garros (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "novak", + "djokovic", + "roland", + "garros", + "men's", + "singles", + "resolve", + "player", + "wins", + "tournament", + "scheduled", + "may", + "june", + "point", + "becomes", + "impossible", + "listed", + "rules", + "corresponding" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.21, + "noPrice": 0.79, + "volume24h": 28925.377779000006, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-singles-roland-garros-winner", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.815Z", + "numericId": "1920456", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.1535, + "endDate": "2026-06-08" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x84e937270df0c48143c39d4b36d5e3e29c3c10136fffd5445abfe9fb4015563f", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 28?", + "description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 May '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", + "keywords": [ + "highest", + "temperature", + "london", + "may", + "resolve", + "range", + "contains", + "recorded", + "airport", + "station", + "degrees", + "celsius", + "'26", + "resolution", + "source", + "information", + "wunderground", + "specifically" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 28816.30867199999, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-london-on-may-28-2026", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.815Z", + "numericId": "2358455", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0255, + "endDate": "2026-05-28" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x242d251e7e804f79e1f237896b0f5e73caea72375dcb84e5a60d1cd0d2f80ef5", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the \"Gross\" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. \n\nNote: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.\n\nIn the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.\n\nIf there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.", + "keywords": [ + "project", + "hail", + "mary", + "grossing", + "movie", + "film", + "cinema", + "box office", + "resolve", + "according", + "title", + "highest", + "gross", + "column", + "https", + "www", + "boxofficemojo", + "com", + "year", + "grossesoption" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 28796.394479000006, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-grossing-movie-in-2026", + "category": "technology", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.815Z", + "numericId": "678418", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-12-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x2bf80d93be42dac6c1b03298b5ec329a4b9f87b689c7892d544d1029f3a0caf0", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?", + "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. \n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).", + "keywords": [ + "mentine", + "autain", + "french", + "presidential", + "election", + "currently", + "expected", + "held", + "around", + "april", + "pertains", + "outcome", + "regardless", + "follows", + "scheduled", + "current", + "term", + "earlier", + "president", + "france" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 28774.652801000015, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-french-presidential-election", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.815Z", + "numericId": "679037", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2027-04-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xf887472a2ac013ef61840034321aa5b46de87ac093ee77ecafca477fdbaadd45", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?", + "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. \n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).", + "keywords": [ + "marine", + "tondelier", + "french", + "presidential", + "election", + "currently", + "expected", + "held", + "around", + "april", + "pertains", + "outcome", + "regardless", + "follows", + "scheduled", + "current", + "term", + "earlier", + "president", + "france" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 28731.557140000004, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-french-presidential-election", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.815Z", + "numericId": "679031", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2027-04-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x2bde6486e7067f48ee21344d8b5c1af458732536eb4d080932c88c3a7c2d2126", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Starmer out by December 31, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.", + "keywords": [ + "starmer", + "december", + "resolve", + "keir", + "ceases", + "prime", + "minister", + "kingdom", + "period", + "between", + "november", + "otherwise", + "announcement", + "starmer's", + "resignation", + "removal" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.69, + "noPrice": 0.31, + "volume24h": 28676.537549999997, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/starmer-out-in-2025", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.815Z", + "numericId": "666655", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.04, + "endDate": "2026-12-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x0b7a632def2f7c0986c2bf8d97ecb109abeb6f4d6965a35a03e506b737d69676", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 26 12:00 PM ET to June 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", + "keywords": [ + "elon", + "elon musk", + "tesla", + "spacex", + "doge", + "musk", + "post", + "tweets", + "may", + "june", + "twitter", + "x", + "resolve", + "according", + "number", + "times", + "elonmusk", + "posts", + "purposes", + "main" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 28581.126, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-26-june-2", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.815Z", + "numericId": "2336411", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-06-02" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x4f7f1f84cc0497e3f21b76628b6ed9ac9abab9893b6d23f1af6108db64c0d34c", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point after market creation during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final \"Low\" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIf the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. \n\nPer CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).\n\nThe active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.\n\nFor example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.\n\nIf the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.\n\nIn the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures \"Low\" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the \"t=\" parameter.", + "keywords": [ + "wti", + "oil", + "crude", + "energy", + "low", + "$70", + "may", + "resolve", + "point", + "creation", + "during", + "minute", + "candle", + "active", + "month", + "futures", + "equal", + "listed", + "otherwise", + "prices" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 28564.020336, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-wti-hit-in-may-2026", + "category": "climate", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.816Z", + "numericId": "2074241", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.007, + "endDate": "2026-06-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xe008a877dc235ee58a954a547b0b02531f117f1a137f45e374dbba0061c8ad04", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on May 28?", + "description": "This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final \"Low\" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Low\" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "dip", + "$71", + "000", + "may", + "immediately", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "date", + "specified", + "title" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.03, + "noPrice": 0.97, + "volume24h": 28544.139298000006, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-on-may-28", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.816Z", + "numericId": "2375523", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-05-29" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x7a6491e3c906af3657b9b5cf2b371b454f1ddb91b4f4ca3344caaabf424a8056", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.\n\nIf multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.", + "keywords": [ + "arvid", + "lindblad", + "drivers'", + "champion", + "resolve", + "according", + "listed", + "driver", + "finishes", + "1st", + "standings", + "season", + "soon", + "official", + "results", + "scheduled", + "race", + "known", + "multiple", + "drivers" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 28500.11149999997, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-f1-drivers-champion", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.816Z", + "numericId": "898426", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-12-06" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xd9fb1184af0064e5e34b129f5b79afa5a17b7e32f2953ab05efed82315fee6d4", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTerritory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "china", + "chinese", + "prc", + "beijing", + "xi", + "invade", + "taiwan", + "semiconductors", + "tsmc", + "resolve", + "commences", + "military", + "offensive", + "intended", + "establish", + "control", + "portion", + "republic", + "december", + "otherwise" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.07, + "noPrice": 0.93, + "volume24h": 28467.654877999976, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-china-invade-taiwan-before-2027", + "category": "technology", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.816Z", + "numericId": "567621", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-12-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x562d8e6be61af9176d3ed95c775b56202e5e668d7dd703be7c875926f56efdbd", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Anthropic's Claude 5 model is made available to the general public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" Claude 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.\n\nClaude 5 refers to a product explicitly named Claude 5 (e.g. Claude 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4, similar to the progression from Claude 2 to Claude 3. Products labeled as Claude 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.", + "keywords": [ + "claude", + "anthropic", + "ai", + "llm", + "released", + "june", + "resolve", + "anthropic's", + "model", + "available", + "general", + "public", + "otherwise", + "must", + "launched", + "publicly", + "accessible", + "including", + "beta" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.23, + "noPrice": 0.78, + "volume24h": 28295.758295000003, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/claude-5-released-by", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.816Z", + "numericId": "1748840", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.11, + "endDate": "2026-06-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xe0b6f4d40f33f456caba50434db5ea8c5ca93e84eb912054a80ca0c58ad70dd7", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Starmer out by May 31, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice. ", + "keywords": [ + "starmer", + "may", + "resolve", + "keir", + "ceases", + "prime", + "minister", + "kingdom", + "period", + "between", + "creation", + "otherwise", + "announcement", + "starmer's", + "resignation", + "removal" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 28262.341295, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/starmer-out-in-2025", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.816Z", + "numericId": "2231205", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x97947fe256c481e0f651723674a93ecf35c3999f782b56f41b40c31cb78b2af4", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?", + "description": "This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "$150", + "000", + "may", + "immediately", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "during", + "month", + "specified", + "title" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 28139.19, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-may-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.816Z", + "numericId": "2132768", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-06-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x1be62d973dc8fb45de714eb2113118b6ac3e47694f8b0801c0c41d992d0b7c9f", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States agrees to Iran charging fees on ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIran charging fees on ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz refers to U.S. acceptance of Iran imposing tolls, transit fees, passage charges, or other mandatory payments on commercial vessels in exchange for transit through the Strait of Hormuz.\n\nThe United States will be considered to have agreed to Iran charging such fees if:\n- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States has definitively agreed to accept Iran charging such fees on ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz.\n- Iran charging such fees is included as part of a treaty or deal formally established between the United States and Iran, including through signing or other formal means.\n\nAgreement refers to an explicit acceptance, authorization, or consent to the specified action. Only announcements of definitive agreement will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.\n\nAny definitive agreement or commitment made before the resolution date will qualify, regardless of when or whether the specified action is implemented.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of an announcement or formal agreement.", + "keywords": [ + "trump", + "president", + "potus", + "administration", + "gop", + "republican", + "agree", + "iranian", + "transit", + "fees", + "strait", + "hormuz", + "june", + "resolve", + "states", + "agrees", + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.06, + "noPrice": 0.94, + "volume24h": 28059.511243000004, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-iranian-demands-will-trump-agree-to-by-june-30", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.816Z", + "numericId": "2321467", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.105, + "endDate": "2026-06-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x747dc809fb79e1b05be09c42d6179459a58de2ef3e40f02484a4e1260f741f75", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "confirm", + "aliens", + "exist", + "resolve", + "president", + "states", + "member", + "cabinet", + "joint", + "chiefs", + "kansas city", + "nfl", + "mahomes", + "super bowl", + "staff", + "federal", + "agency", + "definitively", + "extraterrestrial", + "life" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.15, + "noPrice": 0.84, + "volume24h": 27995.912991000005, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.816Z", + "numericId": "703257", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-12-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x7f7546918378d63097393ed497ab60d8f911b742abc42b8263bb2504816b4741", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. \n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.", + "keywords": [ + "iran", + "nuclear", + "sanctions", + "middle east", + "diplomatic", + "meeting", + "june", + "resolve", + "there", + "between", + "representatives", + "states", + "listed", + "date", + "otherwise", + "refers", + "deliberate", + "countries" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.3, + "noPrice": 0.7, + "volume24h": 27938.690287, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329", + "category": "geopolitics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.816Z", + "numericId": "2354045", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.06, + "endDate": "2026-06-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x3094a2b925483a06aa72945a1472e311e5eb6be75284f61e0c008e279508ddf6", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?", + "description": "On April 12, 2026, President Donald Trump announced that the United States will blockade the Strait of Hormuz. You can read more about that here: https://www.nbcnews.com/world/iran/live-blog/live-updates-us-iran-fail-reach-deal-peace-talks-day-negotiations-rcna315918.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces the end of the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nQualifying statements must clearly and explicitly indicate that the United States has lifted, ended, or will lift or end its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on a specified date or use equivalently definitive language unambiguously signaling that such blockade has ceased or is set to cease on a specified date (e.g., statements unambiguously indicating that US naval activity in the relevant area has ceased will qualify). \n\nStatements that merely describe actions inconsistent with the blockade (e.g., \"Iran resumed shipping through the Strait of Hormuz\") without explicitly indicating the blockade as lifted will not alone suffice.\n\nInformal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.\n\nWritten public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nNote: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the blockade is effectively enforced or whether maritime traffic resumes absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered.", + "keywords": [ + "donald", + "trump", + "president", + "potus", + "administration", + "gop", + "republican", + "announce", + "states", + "blockade", + "strait", + "hormuz", + "lifted", + "june", + "donald trump", + "april", + "announced", + "you", + "can", + "read" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.47, + "noPrice": 0.53, + "volume24h": 27638.883486, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/trump-announces-us-blockade-of-hormuz-lifted-by", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.816Z", + "numericId": "2354024", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.05, + "endDate": "2026-06-15" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x5f879a52e5349db7f66d386ca75f1a9bb608fdd6a738a1582681613730b23281", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.\n\nOnly the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.\n\nNote that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.\n\nOnly days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily \"Settlement\" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.", + "keywords": [ + "crude", + "oil", + "wti", + "energy", + "$200", + "june", + "resolve", + "trading", + "official", + "cme", + "settlement", + "active", + "month", + "front", + "futures", + "equal", + "listed", + "otherwise" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.02, + "noPrice": 0.98, + "volume24h": 27623.637156, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/cl-hit-jun-2026", + "category": "climate", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.816Z", + "numericId": "1494703", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0005, + "endDate": "2026-06-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x734c6c32a62f8a27035a222e45fc388d59eeffe89bb31ab26054bc29bcc3eee7", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.", + "keywords": [ + "openai", + "ai", + "artificial intelligence", + "chatgpt", + "gpt", + "llm", + "best", + "model", + "june", + "resolve", + "according", + "company", + "which", + "owns", + "highest", + "arena", + "rank", + "based", + "chatbot", + "leaderboard" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.03, + "noPrice": 0.97, + "volume24h": 27523.662850999994, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-june", + "category": "technology", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.816Z", + "numericId": "631141", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.004, + "endDate": "2026-06-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x358a4c706ce29a1847d26244857c6272e5359a17aad079f5672c8fb40d50d66c", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?", + "description": "Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).", + "keywords": [ + "sergio", + "fajardo", + "colombian", + "presidential", + "election", + "colombia's", + "elections", + "scheduled", + "may", + "second", + "round", + "required", + "june", + "case", + "candidate", + "secures", + "valid", + "votes", + "resolve", + "according" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 27520.434999999998, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/colombia-presidential-election", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.816Z", + "numericId": "569363", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-06-21" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x752fa61c93f16c4b15e85b0bd438d9c684176b0ea7b319a84c8aca34616e8a8c", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?", + "description": "This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final \"Low\" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Low\" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.\n", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "dip", + "$55", + "000", + "december", + "immediately", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "between", + "november", + "timezone" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.55, + "noPrice": 0.45, + "volume24h": 27516.153291000002, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-before-2027", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.816Z", + "numericId": "701501", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.07, + "endDate": "2027-01-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x7abed80b88301210ee83b7b14ec41bc9a5161e1af07254fbb26c6e2bf7182766", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", + "keywords": [ + "erika", + "kirk", + "republican", + "presidential", + "nomination", + "resolve", + "named", + "individual", + "wins", + "accepts", + "party", + "president", + "otherwise", + "resolution", + "source", + "consensus", + "official", + "sources", + "replacement" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 27498.419107999976, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.816Z", + "numericId": "562002", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xbac8d3ca6cc7297022850562d9d66669d5e0a112767337f8a5955417f1984b54", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?", + "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. \n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).", + "keywords": [ + "olivier", + "faure", + "french", + "presidential", + "election", + "currently", + "expected", + "held", + "around", + "april", + "pertains", + "outcome", + "regardless", + "follows", + "scheduled", + "current", + "term", + "earlier", + "president", + "france" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 27417.205978, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-french-presidential-election", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.816Z", + "numericId": "679033", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2027-04-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xa736a3d3de247f00d620a67e2a97f08ae0d4b6de03a35b050e076d21c1db0224", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Nationalist Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?", + "description": "General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives (parliament of Malta) as a result of the 2026 Maltese general election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nParties will primarily be ranked by the number of seats won. In the event of a tie, the party with the greater number of valid votes will rank higher. If a tie persists, the party whose name appears first in alphabetical order will rank higher. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election, not any coalition it may be a part of.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).", + "keywords": [ + "nationalist", + "party", + "seats", + "house", + "congress", + "legislation", + "house of representatives", + "representatives", + "maltese", + "general", + "election", + "elections", + "scheduled", + "held", + "malta", + "may", + "resolve", + "according", + "political", + "wins" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.06, + "noPrice": 0.94, + "volume24h": 27403.520761, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/malta-parliamentary-election-winner", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.816Z", + "numericId": "2120533", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.016, + "endDate": "2026-05-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x4c799a8378d60f34f055cf5c61fc3f6f1a6e7abe5d5384ef37961c506eab867c", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?", + "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. \n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).", + "keywords": [ + "fran", + "ois", + "ruffin", + "french", + "presidential", + "election", + "currently", + "expected", + "held", + "around", + "april", + "pertains", + "outcome", + "regardless", + "follows", + "scheduled", + "current", + "term", + "earlier", + "president" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 27345.92341, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-french-presidential-election", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.816Z", + "numericId": "679025", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2027-04-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x88c7ec6160350948f568ff6dcd692b6bae11ef12b0c243533d95f0818fb395e4", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Nithya Raman finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?", + "description": "The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.", + "keywords": [ + "nithya", + "raman", + "finish", + "round", + "los", + "angeles", + "mayoral", + "election", + "held", + "june", + "elect", + "mayor", + "california", + "candidate", + "receives", + "majority", + "vote", + "runoff", + "november", + "resolve" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.13, + "noPrice": 0.87, + "volume24h": 27323.36154, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/la-mayoral-election-first-round-winner", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.816Z", + "numericId": "2256148", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.124, + "endDate": "2026-06-02" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x06ea9c02b4c6a2f7f07f78e21411bd367636564edb27c72cd038b556aada1a64", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?", + "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. \n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).", + "keywords": [ + "mathilde", + "panot", + "french", + "presidential", + "election", + "currently", + "expected", + "held", + "around", + "april", + "pertains", + "outcome", + "regardless", + "follows", + "scheduled", + "current", + "term", + "earlier", + "president", + "france" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 27178.63478500002, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-french-presidential-election", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.816Z", + "numericId": "679049", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2027-04-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x4b841c5a8624202a2b4b6d36dd26c4d802b0606f83bfaa55efbdf7158a6883ac", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 28?", + "description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 May '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", + "keywords": [ + "highest", + "temperature", + "atlanta", + "between", + "may", + "resolve", + "range", + "contains", + "recorded", + "hartsfield", + "jackson", + "international", + "airport", + "station", + "degrees", + "fahrenheit", + "'26", + "resolution", + "source", + "information" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 27143.269675, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/highest-temperature-in-atlanta-on-may-28-2026", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.816Z", + "numericId": "2358558", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.2745, + "endDate": "2026-05-28" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x960324c7d2db73740836bbd97eec770fcb9b5372e5b46d98b2999fdbbd017f7a", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?", + "description": "Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. \n\nAny individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. \n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.", + "keywords": [ + "trump", + "president", + "potus", + "administration", + "gop", + "republican", + "sell", + "101", + "gold", + "xau", + "precious metals", + "store of value", + "commodity", + "cards", + "donald", + "announced", + "card", + "offer", + "pathway", + "citizenship" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.08, + "noPrice": 0.92, + "volume24h": 27140.938438000005, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-gold-cards-will-trump-sell-in-2026", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.816Z", + "numericId": "665318", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0475, + "endDate": "2026-12-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x822e61527476cabf98927e3aad385c5ecdae7086f945535f2c1fd9ae8dbfa46e", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.", + "keywords": [ + "george", + "clooney", + "democratic", + "presidential", + "nomination", + "resolve", + "named", + "individual", + "wins", + "accepts", + "party", + "president", + "otherwise", + "resolution", + "source", + "consensus", + "official", + "sources", + "replacement" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 27086.103809000015, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.816Z", + "numericId": "559683", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2028-11-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x18b175a7f6faa5dd8942d03df7ebf3b3c244357af7bbc0f70f363311bc3b9028", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Team Liquid win IEM Cologne Major 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the IEM Cologne 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for June 2nd - June 21st, 2026.\n\nIf this tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Cologne) may also be used.", + "keywords": [ + "team", + "liquid", + "iem", + "cologne", + "resolve", + "according", + "winner", + "tournament", + "currently", + "scheduled", + "june", + "2nd", + "21st", + "cancelled", + "postponed", + "july", + "declared", + "within", + "timeframe" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 27036.462499999998, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iem-cologne-major-2026-winner", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.816Z", + "numericId": "1892292", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-06-21" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x8e94ee44bbc235f7faf9b00027ed2cd485c9a580b765eff84778f6e2d18c3c13", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "$70", + "000", + "may", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "timezone", + "noon", + "date", + "specified", + "title" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.96, + "noPrice": 0.04, + "volume24h": 27026.044496, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-may-30-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.817Z", + "numericId": "2340264", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0185, + "endDate": "2026-05-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x74ccabbcba177318cee64bc19f602c2295175a320a4a950a18299a11262b98e6", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?", + "description": "This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.", + "keywords": [ + "ethereum", + "eth", + "crypto", + "800", + "may", + "immediately", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "during", + "month", + "specified", + "title", + "equal" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 27011.645213, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-may-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.817Z", + "numericId": "2132790", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-06-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x0cf91d3955d89ec43b8ac1e918b159fa1a62531f29b26093273c4048337a84d7", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.\n\nIf multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.", + "keywords": [ + "esteban", + "ocon", + "drivers'", + "champion", + "resolve", + "according", + "listed", + "driver", + "finishes", + "1st", + "standings", + "season", + "soon", + "official", + "results", + "scheduled", + "race", + "known", + "multiple", + "drivers" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 27003.590499999955, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-f1-drivers-champion", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.817Z", + "numericId": "898419", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-12-06" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xd4cb184e5dc458f3b03e6da54c87f7272e478bffe30c2d8157c6df8e2eb8c985", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?", + "description": "This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", + "keywords": [ + "nvidia", + "nvda", + "gpu", + "ai chips", + "semiconductors", + "largest", + "company", + "cap", + "may", + "resolve", + "resolution", + "source", + "consensus", + "credible", + "reporting" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.99, + "noPrice": 0.01, + "volume24h": 26857.942876, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/largest-company-end-of-may-167", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.817Z", + "numericId": "1999716", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.002, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x8fd83fe14437877a8d4d3c55a54897c234435451b8d53bc340c688528efa7cda", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on May 28?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.", + "keywords": [ + "ethereum", + "eth", + "crypto", + "between", + "700", + "800", + "may", + "resolve", + "according", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "timezone", + "noon", + "date" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 26843.702255, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ethereum-price-on-may-28-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.817Z", + "numericId": "2322002", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.004, + "endDate": "2026-05-28" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x49fb406f7455392f2a4b502e6eeafabb37ac6d97a01a2d641157c1fb0e446c8a", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Solana reach $100 in May?", + "description": "This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.", + "keywords": [ + "solana", + "sol", + "crypto", + "$100", + "may", + "immediately", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "during", + "month", + "specified", + "title", + "equal" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 26782.109270999998, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-solana-hit-in-may-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.817Z", + "numericId": "2132815", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.011, + "endDate": "2026-06-01" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xeab018c7bf997a0b0a9f2c678ff7ea48e68d49bad09a5dbb89a5321c87a4da2b", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?", + "description": "The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.", + "keywords": [ + "spencer", + "pratt", + "finish", + "round", + "los", + "angeles", + "mayoral", + "election", + "held", + "june", + "elect", + "mayor", + "california", + "candidate", + "receives", + "majority", + "vote", + "runoff", + "november", + "resolve" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.14, + "noPrice": 0.86, + "volume24h": 26630.867706999994, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/la-mayoral-election-first-round-winner", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.817Z", + "numericId": "2256143", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.03, + "endDate": "2026-06-02" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x80ebf0a88a44bf737d4047b3accd7108285c69b84257e5c684bdc4c715c81139", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.", + "keywords": [ + "invade", + "cuba", + "resolve", + "states", + "commences", + "military", + "offensive", + "intended", + "establish", + "control", + "portion", + "cuban", + "land", + "territory", + "december", + "otherwise", + "purposes", + "facto", + "controlled" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.24, + "noPrice": 0.76, + "volume24h": 26516.566265999998, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-invade-cuba-in-2026", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.817Z", + "numericId": "1107878", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.01, + "endDate": "2026-12-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xab6fb278f753c6c10479d71429d3ef53ed213ddd208b9f4381cecd8db393974c", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?", + "description": "Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).", + "keywords": [ + "presidential", + "candidate", + "outright", + "round", + "colombia's", + "election", + "elections", + "scheduled", + "may", + "second", + "required", + "june", + "case", + "secures", + "valid", + "votes", + "resolve", + "wins", + "otherwise" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.13, + "noPrice": 0.87, + "volume24h": 26464.206441000002, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-any-presidential-candidate-win-outright-in-the-first-round-of-the-colombias-election", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.817Z", + "numericId": "569454", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.015, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xa6c3848b7861841cc9d93a5c2c1d26b3f44e0298a49889968a627214a2b177ae", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?", + "description": "The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. \n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).", + "keywords": [ + "manuel", + "bompard", + "french", + "presidential", + "election", + "currently", + "expected", + "held", + "around", + "april", + "pertains", + "outcome", + "regardless", + "follows", + "scheduled", + "current", + "term", + "earlier", + "president", + "france" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 26429.387618000015, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/next-french-presidential-election", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.817Z", + "numericId": "679048", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2027-04-30" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x596b82d8371efcfcc2fd5312d5dde04f5e9aa1f0c61fd3f93be2a8be09e0da5f", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.\n\nIf multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.", + "keywords": [ + "alexander", + "albon", + "drivers'", + "champion", + "resolve", + "according", + "listed", + "driver", + "finishes", + "1st", + "standings", + "season", + "soon", + "official", + "results", + "scheduled", + "race", + "known", + "multiple", + "drivers" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 26405.915968999994, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-f1-drivers-champion", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.817Z", + "numericId": "898427", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-12-06" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xda70183170dabffacfcaf4d3f28cc8d02654eebc5f3821d0573aa9468d5acf6d", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Ternuvate, Zaporizhzhya Oblast, (47.8301° N, 36.1268° E) between market creation and May 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTerritory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either \"Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine\", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. \n\nOnce a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.", + "keywords": [ + "russia", + "enter", + "ternuvate", + "may", + "resolve", + "according", + "isw", + "map", + "captures", + "territory", + "zaporizhzhya", + "oblast", + "8301", + "1268", + "between", + "creation", + "considered", + "captured", + "specified", + "shaded" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.04, + "noPrice": 0.95, + "volume24h": 26394.837181, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-enter-ternuvate-again-by-february-28", + "category": "technology", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.817Z", + "numericId": "2053677", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.02, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xaab42b5058676386f150f0bf65a60d1bc16f3fba70d52de70ebf80bb10692930", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 29 12:00 PM ET to June 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", + "keywords": [ + "elon", + "elon musk", + "tesla", + "spacex", + "doge", + "musk", + "post", + "480", + "499", + "tweets", + "may", + "june", + "twitter", + "x", + "resolve", + "according", + "number", + "times", + "elonmusk", + "posts" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 26356.873, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-29-june-5", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.817Z", + "numericId": "2358307", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.001, + "endDate": "2026-06-05" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xf5b13bd7887c05fcd97acff7caef1735d037934a5844d17b0de15cc8ce303686", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 28?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "between", + "$78", + "000", + "$80", + "may", + "resolve", + "according", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "timezone", + "noon" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 26281.939475999996, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-price-on-may-28-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.817Z", + "numericId": "2321945", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.013, + "endDate": "2026-05-28" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xab2beed9552ad0890b9c3de7d0f94188146c64192178596e52b2743b2340c5eb", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Tala'ea El Gaish SC win on 2026-05-28?", + "description": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 28, 2026\nIf Tala'ea El Gaish SC wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", + "keywords": [ + "tala'ea", + "gaish", + "upcoming", + "scheduled", + "may", + "wins", + "resolve", + "otherwise", + "postponed", + "remain", + "until", + "completed", + "canceled", + "entirely" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 26146.62712100001, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/egy1-teg-wds-2026-05-28", + "category": "technology", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.817Z", + "numericId": "2304944", + "oneDayPriceChange": -0.3695, + "endDate": "2026-05-28" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x37ec4c6b57a18b16eed1241f6155ee7ff45bc1697d7848f15ac33d406e38ed00", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", + "description": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", + "keywords": [ + "michelle", + "bolsonaro", + "brazilian", + "presidential", + "election", + "scheduled", + "brazil", + "october", + "resolve", + "according", + "listed", + "candidate", + "wins", + "includes", + "potential", + "second", + "round", + "result", + "isn't", + "known" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.02, + "noPrice": 0.98, + "volume24h": 26129.279344000002, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.817Z", + "numericId": "601822", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.001, + "endDate": "2026-10-04" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x0a10ea4f5d42ac33a29d73b8562f4414f5ea2219afd9da74ba950f7aefe7c630", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?", + "description": "General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) ", + "keywords": [ + "ricardo", + "belmont", + "peruvian", + "presidential", + "election", + "general", + "elections", + "scheduled", + "held", + "peru", + "april", + "resolve", + "according", + "listed", + "candidate", + "wins", + "includes", + "potential", + "second", + "round" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 26100.57, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/peru-presidential-election-winner", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.817Z", + "numericId": "947281", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-06-07" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x38bb9355fd91f6d7053465caefbbf691bd4a81ec1b08edcca656fc9dde259b14", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.\n\nIf multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.", + "keywords": [ + "fernando", + "alonso", + "drivers'", + "champion", + "resolve", + "according", + "listed", + "driver", + "finishes", + "1st", + "standings", + "season", + "soon", + "official", + "results", + "scheduled", + "race", + "known", + "multiple", + "drivers" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 26037.104631000017, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/2026-f1-drivers-champion", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.817Z", + "numericId": "898417", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-12-06" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x9324cd367ed5a257f5990d50a054bfbe39099da3c555a119679cd8a24c7767fe", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 26 12:00 PM ET to June 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", + "keywords": [ + "elon", + "elon musk", + "tesla", + "spacex", + "doge", + "musk", + "post", + "tweets", + "may", + "june", + "twitter", + "x", + "resolve", + "according", + "number", + "times", + "elonmusk", + "posts", + "purposes", + "main" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.02, + "noPrice": 0.98, + "volume24h": 26008.678024000008, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-26-june-2", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.817Z", + "numericId": "2336430", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.015, + "endDate": "2026-06-02" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0xa381e4e679fb188524e97450ed448f08c29bdb120434e25be0d009277ff7c65e", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 31?", + "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.", + "keywords": [ + "bitcoin", + "btc", + "crypto", + "$86", + "000", + "may", + "resolve", + "binance", + "crypto", + "exchange", + "minute", + "candle", + "usdt", + "stablecoin", + "tether", + "timezone", + "noon", + "date", + "specified", + "title" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 25820.508166, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-may-31-2026", + "category": "crypto", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.817Z", + "numericId": "2347250", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0015, + "endDate": "2026-05-31" + }, + { + "id": "polymarket-0x433587daba653f972f1bf49d41712ff02a0e73196c3a498a1e9d8e80c6587861", + "platform": "polymarket", + "title": "Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?", + "description": "This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.", + "keywords": [ + "alex", + "padilla", + "california", + "governor", + "election", + "resolve", + "according", + "candidate", + "wins", + "gubernatorial", + "currently", + "scheduled", + "november", + "results", + "confirmed", + "july", + "resolution", + "source" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 25810.447, + "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/california-governor-election-2026", + "category": "us_politics", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.817Z", + "numericId": "628937", + "oneDayPriceChange": 0, + "endDate": "2026-11-03" + }, + { + "id": "kalshi-KXAAAGASM-26MAY31-4.39", + "platform": "kalshi", + "title": "Will average **gas prices** be above $4.39?", + "description": "", + "keywords": [ + "average", + "gas", + "prices" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.5, + "noPrice": 0.5, + "volume24h": 0, + "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaaagasm/will-average-gas-prices-be-above-439/kxaaagasm-26may31", + "category": "other", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.899Z" + }, + { + "id": "kalshi-KXMLBSPREAD-26MAY281410MINCWS-CWS9", + "platform": "kalshi", + "title": "White Sox wins by over 8.5 runs?", + "description": "", + "keywords": [ + "white", + "sox", + "wins", + "runs" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 0, + "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlbspread/white-sox-wins-by-over-85-runs/kxmlbspread-26may281410mincws", + "category": "sports", + "lastUpdated": "2026-05-28T20:25:58.899Z" + }, + { + "id": "kalshi-KXMLBSPREAD-26MAY281410MINCWS-CWS8", + "platform": "kalshi", + "title": "White Sox wins by over 7.5 runs?", + "description": "", + "keywords": [ + "white", + "sox", + "wins", + "runs" + ], + "yesPrice": 0.01, + "noPrice": 0.99, + "volume24h": 0, + "url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlbspread/white-sox-wins-by-over-75-runs/kxmlbspread-26may281410mincws", + 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Subject: [PATCH 4/5] Comments on collect-data script --- src/benchmark/collect-data.ts | 4 +++- 1 file changed, 3 insertions(+), 1 deletion(-) diff --git a/src/benchmark/collect-data.ts b/src/benchmark/collect-data.ts index 1e8f041..16a6dec 100644 --- a/src/benchmark/collect-data.ts +++ b/src/benchmark/collect-data.ts @@ -8,7 +8,8 @@ import { } from '../../src/data/twitter-accounts'; import fs from 'fs/promises'; -const MAX_ACCOUNTS_PER_BATCH = -1; + +const MAX_ACCOUNTS_PER_BATCH = -1; //Cap for twitter accounts (or -1 for all) const COLLECTION_MINUTES = 15 const allHighPriorityAccounts = getHighPriorityAccounts(); @@ -18,6 +19,7 @@ export async function collect_data() { const collectionEnd = new Date(); const collectionStart = new Date(collectionEnd.getTime() - COLLECTION_MINUTES * 60 * 1000); + //batchFetchTimelines() automatically ends collection time at current time const tweet_results = await twitterClient.batchFetchTimelines( highPriorityAccounts.map(a => a.username), COLLECTION_MINUTES From 154cfeac928e585cb734ed9cd9d3aaf9aad930af Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: Ryan-Siglag Date: Fri, 29 May 2026 16:04:01 -0400 Subject: [PATCH 5/5] Fixed Kalshi rate limit error --- package.json | 3 +- src/benchmark/collect-data.ts | 73 ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++------- 2 files changed, 61 insertions(+), 15 deletions(-) diff --git a/package.json b/package.json index cca47cd..4f517d2 100644 --- a/package.json +++ b/package.json @@ -10,7 +10,8 @@ "test:agent": "node --import tsx scripts/test-agent-api.ts", "test:agent:local": "MUSASHI_API_BASE_URL=http://127.0.0.1:3000 node --import tsx scripts/test-agent-api.ts", "typecheck": "tsc --noEmit -p tsconfig.json && tsc --noEmit -p api/tsconfig.json", - "clean": "rm -rf dist .vercel" + "clean": "rm -rf dist .vercel", + "collect": "tsx src/benchmark/collect-data.ts" }, "keywords": [ "musashi", diff --git a/src/benchmark/collect-data.ts b/src/benchmark/collect-data.ts index 16a6dec..85d83e5 100644 --- a/src/benchmark/collect-data.ts +++ b/src/benchmark/collect-data.ts @@ -7,29 +7,74 @@ import { getMediumPriorityAccounts, } from '../../src/data/twitter-accounts'; import fs from 'fs/promises'; +import path from 'path'; - -const MAX_ACCOUNTS_PER_BATCH = -1; //Cap for twitter accounts (or -1 for all) -const COLLECTION_MINUTES = 15 +// Cap the number of Twitter accounts to fetch (-1 = all) +const MAX_ACCOUNTS_PER_BATCH = -1; +// How far back to collect tweets (in minutes) +const COLLECTION_MINUTES = 15; const allHighPriorityAccounts = getHighPriorityAccounts(); const highPriorityAccounts = allHighPriorityAccounts.slice(0, MAX_ACCOUNTS_PER_BATCH); +/** + * Calls an async fetch function with exponential backoff on 429 rate-limit errors. + * Returns an empty array if all retries are exhausted or a non-429 error occurs, + * so a single failing source never blocks the rest of the collection run. + * + * @param fn - The fetch function to call + * @param name - Display name used in warning messages (e.g. 'Kalshi') + * @param retries - Maximum number of attempts (default: 3) + * @param delayMs - Base delay in ms; multiplied by attempt number each retry (default: 2000) + */ +async function fetchWithRetry( + fn: () => Promise, + name: string, + retries = 3, + delayMs = 2000 +): Promise { + for (let attempt = 1; attempt <= retries; attempt++) { + try { + return await fn(); + } catch (err: any) { + if (err.message?.includes('429') && attempt < retries) { + console.warn(`${name} rate limited, retrying in ${attempt * delayMs}ms... (${attempt}/${retries})`); + await new Promise(res => setTimeout(res, attempt * delayMs)); + } else { + console.warn(`${name} fetch failed, skipping:`, err.message); + return []; + } + } + } + return []; +} + +/** + * Main collection routine. Fetches tweets and prediction market data in parallel, + * then writes a timestamped JSON snapshot to src/benchmark/unlabeled_data/. + * + * Output shape: + * { + * meta: { collection window, account list, counts, ... }, + * tweets: Tweet[], + * markets: Market[] -- polymarket + kalshi combined + * } + */ export async function collect_data() { const collectionEnd = new Date(); const collectionStart = new Date(collectionEnd.getTime() - COLLECTION_MINUTES * 60 * 1000); - //batchFetchTimelines() automatically ends collection time at current time + // batchFetchTimelines() automatically uses current time as the window end const tweet_results = await twitterClient.batchFetchTimelines( highPriorityAccounts.map(a => a.username), COLLECTION_MINUTES ); - // Flatten all tweets from all accounts into a single array + // Flatten per-account tweet arrays into one list const tweets = Array.from(tweet_results.values()).flatMap(account => account.tweets); - const polymarket_markets = await fetchPolymarkets() - const kalshi_markets = await fetchKalshiMarkets() + const polymarket_markets = await fetchWithRetry(fetchPolymarkets, 'Polymarket'); + const kalshi_markets = await fetchWithRetry(fetchKalshiMarkets, 'Kalshi'); const markets = [...polymarket_markets, ...kalshi_markets]; const serializable = { @@ -52,16 +97,16 @@ export async function collect_data() { .toISOString() .replace(/[:.]/g, '-'); - await fs.mkdir('unlabeled_data', { recursive: true }); + // Save to src/benchmark/unlabeled_data/ (absolute path relative to this file) + const outDir = path.join(__dirname, 'unlabeled_data'); + const filename = path.join(outDir, `results_${timestamp}.json`); - const filename = `unlabeled_data/results_${timestamp}.json`; - - await fs.writeFile( - filename, - JSON.stringify(serializable, null, 2) - ); + await fs.mkdir(outDir, { recursive: true }); + await fs.writeFile(filename, JSON.stringify(serializable, null, 2)); console.log(`Saved results to ${filename}`); + console.log(` tweets: ${tweets.length}`); + console.log(` markets: ${markets.length} (polymarket: ${polymarket_markets.length}, kalshi: ${kalshi_markets.length})`); } collect_data().catch(console.error); \ No newline at end of file