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196 lines (184 loc) · 6.3 KB
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\documentclass[11pt]{beamer}
\usepackage{framed}
\usetheme{EastLansing}
\usepackage[utf8]{inputenc}
\usepackage[T1]{fontenc}
\usepackage{color}
\usepackage{amsmath}
\usepackage{amsfonts}
\usepackage{amssymb}
\usepackage{graphicx}
\usepackage{tabularx}
\usepackage{fancybox}
\usepackage{tikz}
\usepackage{adjustbox}
\usepackage{multicol}
\usetikzlibrary{positioning, calc}
\graphicspath{{images/}{../images/}}
\tikzset{
invisible/.style={opacity=0},
visible on/.style={alt={#1{}{invisible}}},
alt/.code args={<#1>#2#3}{%
\alt<#1>{\pgfkeysalso{#2}}{\pgfkeysalso{#3}}
},
}
\author{Raju RImal}
\title[Masters Thesis]{Evaluation of Models for predicting the average monthly Euro versus Norwegian krone exchange rate from financial and commodity information}
%\subtitle{}
%\logo{}
\institute[NMBU]{Norwegian University of Life Sciences\\(NMBU)}
%\date{}
%\subject{}
%\setbeamercovered{transparent}
%\setbeamertemplate{navigation symbols}{}
\IfFileExists{upquote.sty}{\usepackage{upquote}}{}
\begin{document}
\maketitle
\begin{frame}[t]{The BIG Picture}
\transwipe
\begin{enumerate}[<+->]
\item{Identify functional relationship of Exchange rate with financial and commodity variables} \vfill
\item{Make prediction using different models} \vfill
\item{Compare the models} \vfill
\end{enumerate}
\end{frame}
\begin{frame}[c]
\transwipe
\begin{alertblock}{\begin{center}
\LARGE Identify functional relationship of Exchange rate with financial and commodity variables
\end{center}}
\end{alertblock}
\end{frame}
\begin{frame}[t]{Exchange rate determination}
\transwipe
\begin{itemize}[<+->]
\item Exchange Rate is a price of one currency in terms of another
\item Determined from the demand and supply of the currency in Money Market (ForEx)
\end{itemize}
\begin{center}
\begin{tabularx}{0.9\textwidth}{Xr}
\only<1->{\includegraphics[width=0.4\textwidth]{currency}} &
\only<2->{\includegraphics[width=0.4\textwidth]{demandSupplyExc}} \\
\end{tabularx}
\end{center}
\end{frame}
\begin{frame}[t]{Factors affecting exchange rate}
\transwipe
\only<1->{\begin{equation}
e=f\left(\Delta\text{Inf},\Delta\text{Int},\Delta\text{Inc},\Delta\text{Gc},\Delta\text{Exp}\right)
\end{equation}}
\begin{columns}
\begin{column}[T]{0.6\textwidth}
\begin{tabularx}{\textwidth}{lX}
\onslide<2->{$\Delta\text{Inf}$ = & \textbf{Inflation} differential between two countries} \\
\onslide<3->{$\Delta\text{Int}$ = & \textbf{Interest Rate} differential between two countries} \\
\onslide<4->{$\Delta\text{Inc}$ = & \textbf{Income} differential between two countries} \\
\onslide<5->{$\Delta\text{Gc}$ = & \textbf{Government Control} differential between two countries} \\
\onslide<6->{$\Delta\text{Exp}$ = & \textbf{Expectation} differential between two countries} \\
\end{tabularx}
\end{column}
\begin{column}[T]{0.4\textwidth}
\only<2>{\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{InflationEffect.pdf}}
\only<3>{\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{InterestRateEffect.pdf}}
\only<4>{\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{IncomeEffect.pdf}}
\only<5->{\textbf{Variable Selected:} }
\begin{itemize}[<5->]
\item Consumer Price Index (CPI)
\item Interest Rate (Norway and Euro Zone)
\item Loan Interest Rate
\end{itemize}
\end{column}
\end{columns}
\end{frame}
\begin{frame}[t]{Involvement of Foreign Currency and Exchange Rate}
\transwipe
\begin{adjustbox}{width=0.8\textwidth, center}
\begin{tikzpicture}[
box/.style={draw,
rectangle,
text width=3.1cm,
text centered,
node distance = 0.8cm and 0.5cm,
minimum height=1.5cm},
]
\node[box](main) {Exchange Rate Involve\\during};
\node[box, below = of main, visible on=<5->](sub2){Foreign Investment};
\node[box, left = of sub2, visible on=<2->](sub1){Trading of Goods and Services};
\node[box, right = of sub2, visible on=<6->](sub3){Travelling and many other activities};
\node[box, below = of sub1, visible on=<3->](ssub1){Import};
\node[box, right = of ssub1, visible on=<4->](ssub2){Export};
\draw[->, visible on=<2->] (main) -- (sub1);
\draw[->, visible on=<5->] (main) -- (sub2);
\draw[->, visible on=<6->] (main) -- (sub3);
\draw[->, visible on=<3->] (sub1) -- (ssub1);
\draw[->, visible on=<4->] (sub1) -- (ssub2);
\end{tikzpicture}
\end{adjustbox}
\begin{block}<7->{}
All these activities involve exchange of currency. These activities are recorded as \textbf{Balance of Payments account}.
\end{block}
\end{frame}
\begin{frame}[t]{Balance of Payment Account}
Balance of Payment has two components - Current Account and Capital Account;
\pause
\begin{columns}
\begin{column}[t]{0.5\textwidth}
\begin{block}{Current Account\pause}
\begin{itemize}[<+->]
\item Payments for merchandise and services
\item Factor Income payments
\item Transfer payments
\end{itemize}
\end{block}
\end{column}
\begin{column}[t]{0.5\textwidth}
\begin{block}{\only{Capital Account}<6->}\pause
\begin{itemize}[<+->]
\item Direct foreign investment
\item Portfolio investment
\item Portfolio investment
\end{itemize}
\end{block}
\end{column}
\end{columns}
\pause
The balance of payment account helped identifying commodity related variables that has relation with Exchange Rate.
\end{frame}
\begin{frame}[t]{More variables that influences Exchange Rate}
\begin{multicols}{2}
\begin{itemize}[<+->]
\item Import
\begin{itemize}[<+->]
\item Elderly ships
\item New ships
\item Oil platforms
\item Excluding ships and oil platforms
\end{itemize}
\item Export
\begin{itemize}[<+->]
\item Crude oil
\item Natural gas
\item Condensates
\item Elderly ships
\item New ships
\item Oil platforms
\item Excluding ships and oil platforms
\end{itemize}
\item Oil Price
\item Lagged Variables
\end{itemize}
\end{multicols}
\includegraphics[height=4cm, page=1]{Import.pdf}
%\only{\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{ImpNewShip.pdf}}<3>
%\only{\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{ImpOilPlat.pdf}}<4>
%\only{\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{ImpExShipOilPlat.pdf}}<5>
%
%\only{\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{ExpCrdOil.pdf}}<7>
%\only{\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{ExpNatGas.pdf}}<8>
%\only{\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{ExpCond.pdf}}<9>
%\only{\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{ExpOldShip.pdf}}<10>
%\only{\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{ExpNewShip.pdf}}<11>
%\only{\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{ExpOilPlat.pdf}}<12>
%\only{\includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{ExpExShipOilPlat.pdf}}<13>
\end{frame}
\end{document}