UTAustin_edm has forecasts whose values do not sum to 1.0

[matthewcornell]

I'm importing all component models into the reichlab 'Zoltar' forecast repository, and the validation code identified this problem with the following files in the directory https://github.com/FluSightNetwork/cdc-flusight-ensemble/tree/master/model-forecasts/component-models/UTAustin_edm . The cause is that they have rows whose values are 'NaN':

• 20101114-UTAustin_edm-20101129.cdc.csv Bin did not sum to 1.0. csv_filename=20101114-UTAustin_edm-20101129.cdc.csv, template_location=HHS Region 5, template_target=Season peak week, forecast_bin_sum=0
• 20110403-UTAustin_edm-20110418.cdc.csv Bin did not sum to 1.0. csv_filename=20110403-UTAustin_edm-20110418.cdc.csv, template_location=HHS Region 5, template_target=Season peak week, forecast_bin_sum=0
  s 20111016-UTAustin_edm-20111031.cdc.csv
• 20111023-UTAustin_edm-20111107.cdc.csv Bin did not sum to 1.0. csv_filename=20111023-UTAustin_edm-20111107.cdc.csv, template_location=US National, template_target=Season peak week, forecast_bin_sum=0
• 20120101-UTAustin_edm-20120116.cdc.csv Bin did not sum to 1.0. csv_filename=20120101-UTAustin_edm-20120116.cdc.csv, template_location=HHS Region 2, template_target=Season peak week, forecast_bin_sum=0
• 20120108-UTAustin_edm-20120123.cdc.csv Bin did not sum to 1.0. csv_filename=20120108-UTAustin_edm-20120123.cdc.csv, template_location=HHS Region 6, template_target=Season peak week, forecast_bin_sum=0
• 20120115-UTAustin_edm-20120130.cdc.csv Bin did not sum to 1.0. csv_filename=20120115-UTAustin_edm-20120130.cdc.csv, template_location=HHS Region 2, template_target=Season peak week, forecast_bin_sum=0
• 20120401-UTAustin_edm-20120416.cdc.csv Bin did not sum to 1.0. csv_filename=20120401-UTAustin_edm-20120416.cdc.csv, template_location=HHS Region 10, template_target=Season peak week, forecast_bin_sum=0
• 20120408-UTAustin_edm-20120423.cdc.csv Bin did not sum to 1.0. csv_filename=20120408-UTAustin_edm-20120423.cdc.csv, template_location=HHS Region 1, template_target=Season peak week, forecast_bin_sum=0
• 20120415-UTAustin_edm-20120430.cdc.csv Bin did not sum to 1.0. csv_filename=20120415-UTAustin_edm-20120430.cdc.csv, template_location=HHS Region 1, template_target=Season peak week, forecast_bin_sum=0
• 20120422-UTAustin_edm-20120507.cdc.csv Bin did not sum to 1.0. csv_filename=20120422-UTAustin_edm-20120507.cdc.csv, template_location=HHS Region 2, template_target=Season peak week, forecast_bin_sum=0
• 20120429-UTAustin_edm-20120514.cdc.csv Bin did not sum to 1.0. csv_filename=20120429-UTAustin_edm-20120514.cdc.csv, template_location=HHS Region 5, template_target=Season peak week, forecast_bin_sum=0
• 20140330-UTAustin_edm-20140414.cdc.csv Bin did not sum to 1.0. csv_filename=20140330-UTAustin_edm-20140414.cdc.csv, template_location=US National, template_target=Season peak week, forecast_bin_sum=0
• 20141123-UTAustin_edm-20141208.cdc.csv Bin did not sum to 1.0. csv_filename=20141123-UTAustin_edm-20141208.cdc.csv, template_location=HHS Region 9, template_target=Season peak week, forecast_bin_sum=0
• 20151213-UTAustin_edm-20151228.cdc.csv Bin did not sum to 1.0. csv_filename=20151213-UTAustin_edm-20151228.cdc.csv, template_location=HHS Region 10, template_target=Season peak week, forecast_bin_sum=0
• 20160417-UTAustin_edm-20160502.cdc.csv Bin did not sum to 1.0. csv_filename=20160417-UTAustin_edm-20160502.cdc.csv, template_location=US National, template_target=Season peak week, forecast_bin_sum=0
• 20161023-UTAustin_edm-20161107.cdc.csv Bin did not sum to 1.0. csv_filename=20161023-UTAustin_edm-20161107.cdc.csv, template_location=HHS Region 1, template_target=Season peak week, forecast_bin_sum=0
• 20161030-UTAustin_edm-20161114.cdc.csv Bin did not sum to 1.0. csv_filename=20161030-UTAustin_edm-20161114.cdc.csv, template_location=HHS Region 10, template_target=Season peak week, forecast_bin_sum=0
• 20161120-UTAustin_edm-20161205.cdc.csv Bin did not sum to 1.0. csv_filename=20161120-UTAustin_edm-20161205.cdc.csv, template_location=HHS Region 3, template_target=Season peak week, forecast_bin_sum=0
• 20170423-UTAustin_edm-20170508.cdc.csv Bin did not sum to 1.0. csv_filename=20170423-UTAustin_edm-20170508.cdc.csv, template_location=HHS Region 8, template_target=Season peak week, forecast_bin_sum=0

[nickreich]

@sjfox this might help you track down errors...

[sjfox]

Thank you, this is extremely helpful! Hopefully can get things fixed this week.